PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita: match statistics

PSIM Yogyakarta have a slight edge in current form: they have collected 6 points from their last five matches, while Persita have taken just 4. During this period, the hosts scored 5 goals and conceded 6, a record clearly superior to Persita’s, with just 3 goals scored and 9 conceded. Persita have lost 3 of their last 5 matches, while their defence allowed opponents to score an average of 1.8 goals per game over that run. PSIM have also suffered 3 defeats, but they won 2 matches and appear to offer greater attacking potential than the visitors. With limited seasonal data available, the home advantage and Persita’s weaker recent defensive record point towards a PSIM victory, although a draw remains a realistic outcome.

The BTTS signal is limited, as both teams have landed this outcome in only 40% of their last 5 matches. Persita have scored just 3 goals during this period, averaging 0.6 per game, which significantly increases the risk that they will fail to score here as well. PSIM Yogyakarta concede an average of 1.2 goals per match, but their recent xG against stands at 1.20, while Persita create only 1.17 xG. The home side have greater attacking potential, averaging 1.0 goal and 1.79 xG per game across their last five appearances, while Persita concede as many as 1.8 goals per match. The more likely scenario is therefore that PSIM will score, but the visitors’ weaker finishing means at least one team is likely to end the match without scoring — BTTS - No.

PSIM Yogyakarta’s last five matches produced an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Persita scored just 0.6 goals per game and conceded 1.8. However, the hosts created chances worth an average of 1.79 xG, while Persita allowed opponents 1.67 xG, raising the projection for PSIM to around 1.6 goals. The visitors’ attack remains weaker: 1.17 xG compared with the 1.20 xG allowed by PSIM points to approximately 0.9 goals for Persita. Only 40% of the last five matches involving either team went Over 2.5 goals, so with a projected total of 2.50 goals, the clearest edge is on Under 3.5 goals.

PSIM Yogyakarta have the better record over their last five matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, compared with Persita’s 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The hosts won 40% of those matches, while the visitors won 20%, reinforcing the home side’s advantage in the full-time victory scenario. PSIM led at the break in 40% of their recent outings, compared with 20% for Persita. In addition, the visitors conceded an average of 0.8 goals before half-time while scoring just 0.4. After the break, Persita averaged only 0.2 goals and failed to win any of their five second halves, making a turnaround from a potential deficit unlikely. The strongest individual outcome is therefore PSIM leading at half-time and maintaining their advantage through the final whistle: 1/1.