PSM vs Bali United: match statistics
Bali United is showing significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.2 points per match compared to just 0.8 points for PSM. The visitors have not conceded a single goal in their last five encounters, demonstrating excellent defensive solidity. Bali United also holds a superior away record with a 50% win rate and never finishes away games without scoring (0% FTS). In contrast, PSM has lost three of their last five matches and has only a 25% home win rate this season. Bali United's higher efficiency (15% conversion rate vs 10% for PSM) and advantage in xG (1.55 vs 1.53) further support the prediction of an away victory.
PSM vs Bali United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PSM played Bali United in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match was played on 9 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
PSM: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Bali United: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
PSM scores 1.31 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Bali United scores 1.25 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PSM 63%, Bali United 50%. Over 2.5: PSM 31%, Bali United 44%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Bali United has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.47. PSM: 12.4 shots per match, Bali United: 13.3.
Match halves
PSM: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.81. Bali United: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
PSM: 76-90+ (6 goals). Bali United: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bali United is showing significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.2 points per match compared to just 0.8 points for PSM. The visitors have not conceded a single goal in their last five encounters, demonstrating excellent defensive solidity. Bali United also holds a superior away record with a 50% win rate and never finishes away games without scoring (0% FTS). In contrast, PSM has lost three of their last five matches and has only a 25% home win rate this season. Bali United's higher efficiency (15% conversion rate vs 10% for PSM) and advantage in xG (1.55 vs 1.53) further support the prediction of an away victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PSM | Bali United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bali United is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - PSM · 2.2 pts / match - Bali United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSM is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - PSM · 1.25 goals / match - Bali United
PSM is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - PSM · 1.13 goals / match - Bali United
PSM scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Bali United keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).
Bali United scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while PSM keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSM
Over / Under - Bali United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSM is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - PSM · 1.13 pts / match - Bali United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSM - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bali United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PSM
Bali United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| PSM | Liga | Bali United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 48% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 66% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 84% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of PSM vs Bali United?
The Liga 1 match finished PSM 0:2 Bali United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSM vs Bali United?
PSM score 1.31 goals per game on average and Bali United 1.25. The Liga 1 average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 63% of PSM's matches and 50% of Bali United's.
What form are PSM and Bali United in?
Over the last 5 games PSM have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bali United 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSM vs Bali United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.