PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

PSM played Persebaya Surabaya in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match was played on 6 December 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

PSM: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Persebaya Surabaya: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

PSM scores 1.58 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Persebaya Surabaya scores 1.17 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: PSM 67%, Persebaya Surabaya 58%. Over 2.5: PSM 33%, Persebaya Surabaya 25%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

PSM has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.19. PSM: 12.7 shots per match, Persebaya Surabaya: 9.2.

Match halves

PSM: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.08. Persebaya Surabaya: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

PSM: 76-90+ (6 goals). Persebaya Surabaya: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga 1: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
16Shots11
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
3Shots on target2
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.59xG1.07
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
8Corners8
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
53Dangerous attacks33
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
8Fouls12
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
4Cards2
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.58Goals scored / match1.17
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1Goals conceded / match1
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
47%Average possession47%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
4.42Shots on target / match3.83
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.67Shots per match9.17
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
4.42Shots on target3.83
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
12.5%Shot conversion12.7%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
47%Possession47%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.51xG for1.19
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.26xG against1.73
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

Shooting quality

PSM: Counter-attackingPersebaya Surabaya: Counter-attacking
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
Accuracy (shots on target)35%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

PSM is 57% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - PSM · 1.4 pts / match - Persebaya Surabaya

PSM
DDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W50% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-2
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.86Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Persebaya Surabaya
DWDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W42% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-3
1.42 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-1
Last 5 away
0-4-1
LDDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.88BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

PSM is 35% better for: goals scored per match.

1.58 goals / match - PSM · 1.17 goals / match - Persebaya Surabaya

PSM scoring profile: very strong

PSM scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Persebaya Surabaya keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

Persebaya Surabaya scoring profile: strong

Persebaya Surabaya scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while PSM keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).

19Goals scored (season)14
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
12Goals conceded (season)12
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
2.58Average goals in match2.17
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
12Goals scored (last 5)5
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal75%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
25%2 goals17%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
17%3 goals8%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
17%4 goals8%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal75%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
25%2 goals17%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
8%3 goals8%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0%4 goals0%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
Persebaya Surabaya - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 12 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time17%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0%BTTS in both halves8%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
8%Scored in both halves17%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
60%BTTS - last 580%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
8%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

PSM is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - PSM · 1.25 pts / match - Persebaya Surabaya

PSM - half-time state
42% leading25% draw33% trailing
Persebaya Surabaya - half-time state
17% leading75% draw8% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.25
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.33
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0.83Average goals (1st half)0.67
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
67%Clean sheet before half-time75%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
58%No goal before half-time75%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

After half-time (2nd half)

1.58Points per match (2nd half)1.33
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.08Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.5
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
50%Clean sheet after half-time33%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
42%No goal after half-time33%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

PSM - second-half results

42% W33% D25% L
18
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding79%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Persebaya Surabaya - second-half results

25% W58% D17% L
15
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

PSM - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.20
Goals scored / match0.61.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.02.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Persebaya Surabaya - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.41.4
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

PSM
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
5
2
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Persebaya Surabaya
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
4
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

PSM

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Persebaya Surabaya

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.73
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).

Teams vs league

PSMLigaPersebaya Surabaya
Average goals in match 2.582.54 2.17
Both teams scored 67%58% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%49% 25%
Clean sheets 33%24% 25%
Goal before half-time 75%66% 33%
Goal after half-time 83%85% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / match
1.16
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Persebaya SurabayaYellow cardMihailo Perović
  2. PSMYellow cardAloísio Soares Neto
  3. Persebaya SurabayaSubstitutionOn: Kadek Raditya MaheswaraOff: Rachmat Irianto
  4. PSMSubstitutionOn: Akbar TanjungOff: Muhammad Arfan
  5. Persebaya SurabayaSubstitutionOn: Randy Hanson Christian MayOff: Dejan Tumbas
  6. Persebaya SurabayaYellow cardMiloš Raičković
  7. PSMYellow cardAkbar Tanjung
  8. PSMYellow cardAkbar Tanjung

FAQ

What was the result of PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya?

The Liga 1 match finished PSM 1:1 Persebaya Surabaya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya?

PSM score 1.58 goals per game on average and Persebaya Surabaya 1.17. The Liga 1 average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 67% of PSM's matches and 58% of Persebaya Surabaya's.

What form are PSM and Persebaya Surabaya in?

Over the last 5 games PSM have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Persebaya Surabaya 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.