PSM vs Persik Kediri: match statistics
PSM vs Persik Kediri: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PSM played Persik Kediri in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match was played on 23 April 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
PSM: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Persik Kediri: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
PSM scores 1.18 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Persik Kediri scores 1.21 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PSM 61%, Persik Kediri 71%. Over 2.5: PSM 39%, Persik Kediri 68%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Persik Kediri has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.28. PSM: 10.9 shots per match, Persik Kediri: 10.8.
Match halves
PSM: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.64. Persik Kediri: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
PSM: 76-90+ (9 goals). Persik Kediri: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a PSM win. PSM average 11.71 shots per home match (3.5 on target) and have 1.32 xG per game, while Persik away records 9.71 shots (3.21 on target), 1.23 xG and 52% possession (PSM 45%). PSM score 1.07 goals per home game, Persik only 0.79 away; conversion rate 9% vs 8% indicates a slight finishing edge for the hosts. Defensively the hosts concede 1.21 goals per home game with xG against 1.17 and have 29% clean sheets, whereas Persik concede 2.07 goals away with xG against 1.6 and only 7% clean sheets. Although PSM have conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches (Persik 6) and average 1.0 point in those five vs 1.4 for the visitors, superior chance creation (1.32 vs 1.23), more goals scored in the last 5 matches (9 vs 4) and Persik’s clearly worse away record (goal difference -18 vs -2 at the hosts) lead to favoring PSM.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
PSM has BTTS - Yes in 86% of matches this season and 100% in the last 5 games, while Persik has BTTS - Yes in 57% this season and 40% in the last 5, which is a strong signal for goals from both sides. Home side averages 1.64 goals scored and concedes 1.29 per match, visitors score 0.79 and concede 2.07, meaning both teams regularly allow opponent goals (1.29 and 2.07). xG shows 1.63 for PSM vs 1.23 for Persik, and xG against is 1.33 vs 1.60, suggesting PSM creates more chances while Persik concedes more expected chances; additionally PSM has 5.07 shots on target vs 3.21 and a conversion rate 14% vs 8%. Clean sheets are rare: 14% for the hosts and 7% for the visitors, and in the league BTTS occurs in 56% of matches; over 2.5 is 64% for the hosts and 71% for the visitors, which also favors a Goal/Goal scenario. Considering PSM's 86% season BTTS, 100% in the last 5 and Persik's high xG against (1.60) and low clean sheet percentages, the strongest signal is BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Forecast based on xG and current form indicates an expected total around 2.90 goals: home xG 1.63 correlated with Persik’s average xG conceded 1.60 yields 1.62 expected goals for PSM, while Persik xG 1.23 against PSM’s defense 1.33 gives 1.28 for the away side. Seasonal stats confirm a goal-prone tendency — PSM have 86% of matches over 1.5 and 64% over 2.5, Persik 93% over 1.5 and 71% over 2.5, which strongly supports Over 1.5 and moderately supports Over 2.5. Additionally, PSM average 11.86 shots with 5.07 on target and a 14% conversion versus Persik 9.71 shots, 3.21 on target and 8% conversion, so the hosts are notably more clinical. Both teams-to-score rate is 86% for PSM and 57% for Persik, and over 0.5 seasonally is 93% and 100%, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals in the match. Considering total xG 2.90 and the given percentages, I recommend a bet on Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (pick); I estimate 92% probability for Over 1.5, 68% for Over 2.5 and only 24% for Over 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
PSM shows a clear statistical advantage: on average 1.64 goals per match versus 0.79 for Persik, with a home win rate of 50% vs 14% and an average of 1.86 points per match vs 0.50. Hosts often lead at the break — PSM were leading in 6 of 14 matches (43%), while Persik only in 2 of 14 (14%); average goals by half-time are 1.00 for PSM vs 0.21 for Persik, and hosts concede on average 0.36 goals by half-time vs 0.71 for the visitors. PSM also have higher xG (1.63 vs 1.23), more shots on target (5.07 vs 3.21) and better conversion (14% vs 8%), which increases the likelihood they will maintain the lead and close out the match. Persik struggle away (79% away loss rate) and concede on average 2.07 goals per match this season, so the scenario of PSM leading at half-time and winning at full-time is the strongest. Therefore I assign the highest probability to 1/1 (38%), the second strongest signal is half-time draw and home win (X/1 — 22%), and I assess the combined probability of an away win at about 10%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PSM | Persik Kediri | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Persik Kediri is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - PSM · 1.4 pts / match - Persik Kediri
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSM is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - PSM · 1.68 goals / match - Persik Kediri
PSM scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Persik Kediri keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).
Persik Kediri scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while PSM keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSM
Over / Under - Persik Kediri
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSM - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Persik Kediri - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PSM
Persik Kediri
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| PSM | Liga | Persik Kediri | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.54 | 2.73 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 53% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 25% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 72% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 82% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: PSM 0 - 1 - 0 Persik Kediri. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PSM vs Persik Kediri?
The Liga 1 match finished PSM 3:1 Persik Kediri. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSM vs Persik Kediri?
PSM score 1.18 goals per game on average and Persik Kediri 1.21. The Liga 1 average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 61% of PSM's matches and 71% of Persik Kediri's.
What form are PSM and Persik Kediri in?
Over the last 5 games PSM have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Persik Kediri 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSM vs Persik Kediri?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for PSM vs Persik Kediri: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.