PSM vs Persita: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced encounter leaning towards a draw. PSM presents poor form at home with only 18% victories in domestic matches; however, they possess a positive goal difference (+1) and higher expected goals (xG 1.34 vs 1.18). Persita fares even worse in away matches, with a win rate of just 27% and a negative goal difference (-4). Both teams have an identical FTS% indicator at the level of 45%, suggesting problems with finishing. The recent form of both teams is dismal (PSM: 0.8 PPG, Persita: 0.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), which increases the probability of a split of points. Given PSM's high percentage of draws at home (45%) and Persita's difficulties on the road, the most probable result is a draw.
PSM vs Persita: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PSM played Persita in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match was played on 2 March 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
PSM: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Persita: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
PSM scores 1.04 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Persita scores 1.17 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PSM 52%, Persita 39%. Over 2.5: PSM 30%, Persita 39%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
PSM has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.22. PSM: 11.1 shots per match, Persita: 9.9.
Match halves
PSM: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.61. Persita: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
PSM: 76-90+ (6 goals). Persita: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced encounter leaning towards a draw. PSM presents poor form at home with only 18% victories in domestic matches; however, they possess a positive goal difference (+1) and higher expected goals (xG 1.34 vs 1.18). Persita fares even worse in away matches, with a win rate of just 27% and a negative goal difference (-4). Both teams have an identical FTS% indicator at the level of 45%, suggesting problems with finishing. The recent form of both teams is dismal (PSM: 0.8 PPG, Persita: 0.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), which increases the probability of a split of points. Given PSM's high percentage of draws at home (45%) and Persita's difficulties on the road, the most probable result is a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PSM | Persita | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PSM is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - PSM · 0.6 pts / match - Persita
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Persita is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - PSM · 1.17 goals / match - Persita
Persita is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - PSM · 0.91 goals / match - Persita
PSM scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Persita keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Persita scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while PSM keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSM
Over / Under - Persita
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSM - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Persita - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PSM
Persita
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| PSM | Liga | Persita | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.22 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 53% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 51% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 70% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 82% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: PSM 0 - 0 - 1 Persita. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PSM vs Persita?
The Liga 1 match finished PSM 2:4 Persita. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSM vs Persita?
PSM score 1.04 goals per game on average and Persita 1.17. The Liga 1 average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 52% of PSM's matches and 39% of Persita's.
What form are PSM and Persita in?
Over the last 5 games PSM have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Persita 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSM vs Persita?
The statistical background for PSM vs Persita — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.