PSV II vs AZ II: match statistics

PSV II remain unbeaten at home, winning 75% of their matches and averaging 2 goals per game while conceding just 1. The hosts tend to control the game more often, recording 57% possession and an xG of 1.94, whereas AZ II have an away xG of 2.14 and an impressive average of 4 goals scored. However, the visitors are significantly more vulnerable defensively: they concede an average of 2.67 goals away from home, have kept no clean sheets, and their xG against stands at 1.88 compared with PSV II’s 1.43. AZ II register more shots on target away from home, 9.67 compared with their opponents’ 7.75, so the match should produce chances at both ends. Home advantage and PSV II’s clearly more solid defence give the hosts a slight edge, although AZ II’s high scoring efficiency makes this a closely contested fixture.

The signal for goals from both sides is very strong: BTTS - Yes occurred in 67% of PSV II matches and in every AZ II fixture, compared with a league average of 77%. Neither team has kept a clean sheet so far, while the hosts concede an average of 1.33 goals and AZ II as many as 2.67. In their last five matches, PSV II scored 1.6 goals and conceded 1.4, whereas AZ II scored 3.0 and allowed their opponents 2.2 goals. Their attacking potential is confirmed by an xG of 1.88 for PSV II and 2.01 for AZ II over their last five appearances. The visitors’ attack looks particularly dangerous, as they average 9.67 shots on target per match, but their weak defence significantly increases the hosts’ chances of scoring.

AZ II boasts exceptionally high offensive potential: it averages 4.0 goals, records 9.67 shots on target per match, and has an xG of 2.14. PSV II scored 1.6 goals per game in its last five matches, with an xG of 1.88, while AZ II’s opponents conceded an average of 2.2 goals. Neither team has kept a clean sheet yet, and AZ II’s matches have gone Over 2.5 goals in 100% of cases; the same percentage applies to matches involving this team where both sides scored. The league average of 3.9 goals and 73% of matches featuring at least three goals further confirm the open nature of this fixture. The strongest signal is Over 1.5, as AZ II scored at least two goals in every match, while both teams regularly create high-quality chances.

AZ II have the clearer attacking potential: they average 4.0 goals compared with PSV II’s 1.0, while also recording a higher xG, 2.14 versus 1.65. The visitors average 9.67 shots on target per match, more than twice the hosts’ 4.67, and convert 22% of their attempts compared with PSV II’s mere 7%. A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome after 45 minutes, as both teams recorded a draw in 67% of their previous matches under these conditions, while AZ II were level at the break in 60% of their last five games. After the interval, AZ II’s advantage should grow: they score an average of 2.67 goals in the second half, compared with just 0.67 for PSV II, and each of the visitors’ three matches so far has produced at least three second-half goals. The HT/FT scenario of a draw at half-time followed by an AZ II win best combines a cautious start with the visitors’ very high attacking output after the break.