PSV vs AZ: match statistics
PSV displays impressive form as the table leader with 21 wins this season and a 75% win rate at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 3.25 goals per home match, with only 8% of games ending without a goal, confirming their offensive dominance. AZ shows weaker disposition on the road with 46% of matches lost and a negative goal difference (-2). Although both teams have identical PPG (1.8) in the last five matches, PSV possesses significantly better xG statistics (2.27 vs 1.68) and ball possession (63% vs 55%). The difference in quality between the two squads, especially in the context of the home advantage, points to a certain victory for PSV.
PSV vs AZ: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PSV played AZ in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
PSV: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. AZ: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
PSV scores 2.92 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. AZ scores 1.68 and concedes 1.60. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PSV 72%, AZ 72%. Over 2.5: PSV 84%, AZ 64%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
PSV has higher xG: 2.09 vs 1.72. PSV: 18.0 shots per match, AZ: 15.4.
Match halves
PSV: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.32. AZ: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
PSV: 16-30 (15 goals). AZ: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PSV displays impressive form as the table leader with 21 wins this season and a 75% win rate at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 3.25 goals per home match, with only 8% of games ending without a goal, confirming their offensive dominance. AZ shows weaker disposition on the road with 46% of matches lost and a negative goal difference (-2). Although both teams have identical PPG (1.8) in the last five matches, PSV possesses significantly better xG statistics (2.27 vs 1.68) and ball possession (63% vs 55%). The difference in quality between the two squads, especially in the context of the home advantage, points to a certain victory for PSV.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PSV | AZ | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PSV is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - PSV · 1.4 pts / match - AZ
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSV is 74% better for: goals scored per match.
2.92 goals / match - PSV · 1.68 goals / match - AZ
PSV is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - PSV · 1.6 goals / match - AZ
PSV scores in 96% of matches (24 of 25 matches), while AZ keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
AZ scores in 92% of matches (23 of 25 matches), while PSV keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSV
Over / Under - AZ
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSV is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.04 pts / match - PSV · 1.28 pts / match - AZ
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 84%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AZ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PSV
AZ
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| PSV | Liga | AZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.12 | 3.18 | • 3.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 64% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 84% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 24% | 19% | • 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 96% | 81% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: PSV 1 - 0 - 0 AZ. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PSV vs AZ?
The Eredivisie match finished PSV 2:1 AZ. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSV vs AZ?
PSV score 2.92 goals per game on average and AZ 1.68. The Eredivisie average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 72% of PSV's matches and 72% of AZ's.
What form are PSV and AZ in?
Over the last 5 games PSV have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and AZ 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSV vs AZ?
The statistical background for PSV vs AZ — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.