PSV vs Heerenveen: match statistics
PSV, as the league leaders, display dominant form at their home stadium, scoring an average of 3.27 goals per match with just a 9% loss rate in home games. The hosts boast an impressive 73% win rate at home, along with a significant advantage in ball possession (63%) and shot accuracy (17%). Heerenveen in away matches average a 45% loss rate and a goal difference of -1, conceding an average of 1.64 goals per game. The difference in xG values is clear - PSV generates 2.23 xG in home matches, while Heerenveen only 1.66 xG away. The recent form of both teams (PSV: lwwwl, Heerenveen: dllww) indicates some fluctuations, but PSV's decisive qualitative and statistical advantage at home points to a win for the hosts.
PSV vs Heerenveen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PSV played Heerenveen in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
PSV: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Heerenveen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
PSV scores 2.91 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Heerenveen scores 1.70 and concedes 1.70. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PSV 70%, Heerenveen 70%. Over 2.5: PSV 83%, Heerenveen 70%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
PSV has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.73. PSV: 17.3 shots per match, Heerenveen: 15.7.
Match halves
PSV: half-time lead 61%, second-half goals 1.35. Heerenveen: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.04.
Goals by minute
PSV: 16-30 (15 goals). Heerenveen: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PSV, as the league leaders, display dominant form at their home stadium, scoring an average of 3.27 goals per match with just a 9% loss rate in home games. The hosts boast an impressive 73% win rate at home, along with a significant advantage in ball possession (63%) and shot accuracy (17%). Heerenveen in away matches average a 45% loss rate and a goal difference of -1, conceding an average of 1.64 goals per game. The difference in xG values is clear - PSV generates 2.23 xG in home matches, while Heerenveen only 1.66 xG away. The recent form of both teams (PSV: lwwwl, Heerenveen: dllww) indicates some fluctuations, but PSV's decisive qualitative and statistical advantage at home points to a win for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PSV | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PSV is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - PSV · 1.4 pts / match - Heerenveen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSV is 71% better for: goals scored per match.
2.91 goals / match - PSV · 1.7 goals / match - Heerenveen
PSV is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - PSV · 1.7 goals / match - Heerenveen
PSV scores in 96% of matches (22 of 23 matches), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 matches).
Heerenveen scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while PSV keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSV
Over / Under - Heerenveen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSV is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.04 pts / match - PSV · 1.22 pts / match - Heerenveen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 61% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PSV
Heerenveen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| PSV | Liga | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.13 | 3.22 | ▲ 3.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 64% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 62% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 19% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 96% | 82% | • 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 85% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: PSV 1 - 0 - 0 Heerenveen. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PSV vs Heerenveen?
The Eredivisie match finished PSV 3:1 Heerenveen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSV vs Heerenveen?
PSV score 2.91 goals per game on average and Heerenveen 1.70. The Eredivisie average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 70% of PSV's matches and 70% of Heerenveen's.
What form are PSV and Heerenveen in?
Over the last 5 games PSV have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Heerenveen 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSV vs Heerenveen?
The statistical background for PSV vs Heerenveen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.