PSV vs Heracles: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

PSV played Heracles in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 13 December 2025. Final score: 4:3.

Current form

PSV: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Heracles: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

PSV scores 3.07 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Heracles scores 1.53 and concedes 2.47. League average: 3.30 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: PSV 60%, Heracles 60%. Over 2.5: PSV 73%, Heracles 80%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

PSV has higher xG: 2.04 vs 1.36. PSV: 17.6 shots per match, Heracles: 11.9.

Match halves

PSV: half-time lead 73%, second-half goals 1.40. Heracles: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.87.

Goals by minute

PSV: 16-30 (11 goals). Heracles: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
2 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

66Possession (%)34
PSVHeracles
21Shots11
PSVHeracles
6Shots on target6
PSVHeracles
2.19xG1.26
PSVHeracles
10Corners4
PSVHeracles
63Dangerous attacks19
PSVHeracles
12Fouls7
PSVHeracles
2Cards4
PSVHeracles

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

3.07Goals scored / match1.53
PSVHeracles
1.13Goals conceded / match2.47
PSVHeracles
60%Average possession44%
PSVHeracles
7.2Shots on target / match4.4
PSVHeracles

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.6Shots per match11.93
PSVHeracles
7.2Shots on target4.4
PSVHeracles
17.4%Shot conversion12.8%
PSVHeracles
60%Possession44%
PSVHeracles
2.04xG for1.36
PSVHeracles
1.31xG against1.92
PSVHeracles

Shooting quality

PSV: DominantHeracles: Counter-attacking
PSVHeracles
Accuracy (shots on target)41%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

PSV is 36% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - PSV · 2.2 pts / match - Heracles

PSV
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
87% W7% D7% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-1-1
2.67 pts / match · goal difference +29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Heracles
WWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
27% W13% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-9
0.93 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.84Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

PSV is 101% better for: goals scored per match.

3.07 goals / match - PSV · 1.53 goals / match - Heracles

PSV is 119% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.13 goals / match - PSV · 2.47 goals / match - Heracles

PSV scoring profile: very strong

PSV scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 matches).

Heracles scoring profile: strong

Heracles scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while PSV keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).

46Goals scored (season)23
PSVHeracles
17Goals conceded (season)37
PSVHeracles
4.2Average goals in match4
PSVHeracles
16Goals scored (last 5)16
PSVHeracles
3Goals conceded (last 5)7
PSVHeracles

How often they score at least...

93%1 goal67%
PSVHeracles
87%2 goals27%
PSVHeracles
53%3 goals20%
PSVHeracles
40%4 goals13%
PSVHeracles

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal93%
PSVHeracles
40%2 goals73%
PSVHeracles
7%3 goals33%
PSVHeracles
0%4 goals27%
PSVHeracles

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time27%
PSVHeracles
20%BTTS in both halves7%
PSVHeracles
80%Scored in both halves20%
PSVHeracles

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
PSVHeracles
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
PSVHeracles
40%BTTS - last 5100%
PSVHeracles

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time93%
PSVHeracles
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
PSVHeracles
27%Min. 3 goals before half-time27%
PSVHeracles

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
PSVHeracles
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time73%
PSVHeracles
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
PSVHeracles

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

PSV is 140% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.4 pts / match - PSV · 1 pts / match - Heracles

PSV - half-time state
73% leading20% draw7% trailing
Heracles - half-time state
27% leading20% draw53% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.4Points per match (1st half)1
PSVHeracles
1.67Goals scored (1st half)0.67
PSVHeracles
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)1.13
PSVHeracles
2.07Average goals (1st half)1.8
PSVHeracles
60%Clean sheet before half-time27%
PSVHeracles
7%No goal before half-time53%
PSVHeracles

After half-time (2nd half)

1.87Points per match (2nd half)1.07
PSVHeracles
1.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.87
PSVHeracles
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)1.33
PSVHeracles
2.13Average goals (2nd half)2.2
PSVHeracles
47%Clean sheet after half-time27%
PSVHeracles
20%No goal after half-time60%
PSVHeracles

PSV - second-half results

47% W47% D7% L
36
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+19
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 73% of matches and wins 87%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Heracles - second-half results

33% W7% D60% L
15
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

PSV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.001.80
Goals scored / match2.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match2.41.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+10+3
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 11
Heracles - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.60
Goals scored / match1.02.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match2.02.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference0+9
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

PSV
ScoredConceded
7
1
0-15
11
1
16-30
7
4
31-45
9
2
46-60
6
6
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Heracles
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
9
31-45
6
5
46-60
3
6
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.10
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
124%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

PSV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.73
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
168%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Heracles

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

PSVLigaHeracles
Average goals in match 4.203.30 4.00
Both teams scored 60%63% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 73%64% 80%
Clean sheets 33%19% 7%
Goal before half-time 100%86% 93%
Goal after half-time 87%86% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.30
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.83
Home goals / match
1.47
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. HeraclesYellow cardDamon Mirani
  2. HeraclesYellow cardIvan Mesík
  3. HeraclesYellow cardTristan van Gilst
  4. HeraclesGoalJizz Hornkamp
  5. HeraclesYellow cardWalid Ould-Chikh
  6. HeraclesGoalLuka KulenovićAssist: Mario Engels
  7. PSVSubstitutionOn: Ivan PerišićOff: Dennis Man
  8. PSVYellow cardCouhaib Driouech
  9. HeraclesGoalJizz HornkampAssist: Walid Ould-Chikh
  10. HeraclesSubstitutionOn: Djevencio van der KustOff: Walid Ould-Chikh

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Alex BosMatches officiated: 17
3.65Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 228%Home wins47%Draws24%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of PSV vs Heracles?

The Eredivisie match finished PSV 4:3 Heracles. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before PSV vs Heracles?

PSV score 3.07 goals per game on average and Heracles 1.53. The Eredivisie average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 60% of PSV's matches and 60% of Heracles's.

What form are PSV and Heracles in?

Over the last 5 games PSV have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Heracles 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSV vs Heracles?

The statistical background for PSV vs Heracles — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.