PSV vs PEC Zwolle: match statistics
PSV vs PEC Zwolle: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PSV played PEC Zwolle in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 23 April 2026. Final score: 6:1.
Current form
PSV: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. PEC Zwolle: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
PSV scores 2.80 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. PEC Zwolle scores 1.33 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PSV 73%, PEC Zwolle 70%. Over 2.5: PSV 83%, PEC Zwolle 63%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
PSV has higher xG: 2.07 vs 1.13. PSV: 17.8 shots per match, PEC Zwolle: 9.9.
Match halves
PSV: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.33. PEC Zwolle: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
PSV: 76-90+ (17 goals). PEC Zwolle: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PSV sit top (1st) with 24 wins and 84 goals scored this season, while PEC Zwolle are 13th with 8 wins and 40 goals. At home PSV average 3.13 goals per game with 19.6 shots and 7.2 shots on target per match and 64% possession, whereas PEC away average only 1.33 goals with 9.67 shots and 3.53 on target and 47% possession. xG differential favors the hosts (2.2 xG vs 1.1 xG), and defensively PEC concede on average 2.73 goals away compared to 1.6 conceded by PSV at home. In the last 5 matches PSV have scored 11 goals, recorded 3 wins and averaged 1.8 points per game, while PEC scored 6 goals, won 1 match and average 1.2 points per game; both teams conceded 10 goals in those five fixtures. Considering the home form differential (+23 for PSV vs -21 away for PEC), the clear advantage in possession and shots on target, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data strongly support BTTS - Yes: PEC Zwolle posts BTTS in 87% of matches this season versus 53% for PSV, and both teams recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 fixtures. PEC concedes on average 2.73 goals per game (60 conceded this season), while PSV scored 11 goals in their last 5 (2.2 per game), indicating the hosts have realistic scoring potential. PEC averages 1.33 goals away and has 6 goals in the last 5 (1.2 per game), whereas PSV concedes 2.0 goals over that span (10 conceded) and has a 27% clean sheet rate this season, so the visitors can also find the net. xG analysis confirms this: in the last 5 matches PSV’s attacking xG is 1.95 against PEC’s xG conceded 1.96, and PEC has xG 1.42 versus PSV’s xG conceded 1.45, meaning both sides create quality chances. Considering season-long metrics (87% vs 53%), PEC’s low clean sheet rate of 7% and the league BTTS average of 63%, I assign an 80% probability to the "both teams to score" scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Data indicate a high probability of multiple goals: PEC Zwolle have 100% of matches over 1.5 goals this season, PSV 73%, and the league average is 3.17 goals per game. Form further confirms this trend — in their last 5 matches PSV have scored 2.2 and conceded 2.0 on average (a combined 4.2 goals per game), while PEC in their last 5 have scored 1.2 and conceded 2.0 (3.2 goals per game); recent xG is 1.95 for PSV and 1.42 for PEC. PEC matches finish with both teams scoring in 87% of cases, for PSV that figure is 53%, and PEC concedes 2.73 goals per game on average this season, which increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. Based on the combination of xG and form I estimate expected goals of 1.96 for PSV and 1.44 for PEC, i.e. a total of 3.40 goals per match. Therefore the strongest signal is to back Over 1.5 (suggested ~94%), Over 2.5 has significant chances (~72%), while Over 3.5 remains less likely (~40%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
PSV leads at the break in 47% of matches, while PEC Zwolle does so in only 13%, so the highest probability is for the home side to be leading after the first 45 minutes. In the first half PSV averages 0.87 goals scored and concedes 0.53, whereas PEC averages 0.6 scored and concedes 1.53, which amplifies the home advantage before the break. Over the full match PSV has a 47% win rate (60% in the last 5 home games) and an xG of 1.17 versus PEC’s 1.10, while PEC concedes an average of 2.73 goals per game and has only a 7% away win rate, so PSV holding the lead is likely. In my model I assign 38% to the 1/1 scenario as the strongest signal, with alternatives at 18% for X/1 and 16% for X/X, and I assess PEC comebacks as relatively low overall.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PSV | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PSV is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - PSV · 1.2 pts / match - PEC Zwolle
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSV is 111% better for: goals scored per match.
2.8 goals / match - PSV · 1.33 goals / match - PEC Zwolle
PSV is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - PSV · 2 goals / match - PEC Zwolle
PSV scores in 97% of matches (29 of 30 matches), while PEC Zwolle keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
PEC Zwolle scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while PSV keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSV
Over / Under - PEC Zwolle
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSV is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - PSV · 1.27 pts / match - PEC Zwolle
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
PEC Zwolle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PSV
PEC Zwolle
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| PSV | Liga | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.13 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 63% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 62% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 23% | 20% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 97% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 84% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: PSV 1 - 0 - 0 PEC Zwolle. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PSV vs PEC Zwolle?
The Eredivisie match finished PSV 6:1 PEC Zwolle. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSV vs PEC Zwolle?
PSV score 2.80 goals per game on average and PEC Zwolle 1.33. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 73% of PSV's matches and 70% of PEC Zwolle's.
What form are PSV and PEC Zwolle in?
Over the last 5 games PSV have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and PEC Zwolle 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSV vs PEC Zwolle?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for PSV vs PEC Zwolle: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.