Puebla vs Guadalajara: match statistics
Puebla vs Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Puebla played Guadalajara in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 1 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Puebla: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Guadalajara: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Puebla scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Guadalajara scores 0.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Puebla 50%, Guadalajara 0%. Over 2.5: Puebla 50%, Guadalajara 0%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Guadalajara has higher xG: 2.05 vs 1.26. Puebla: 11.5 shots per match, Guadalajara: 17.5.
Match halves
Puebla: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00. Guadalajara: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Puebla: 0-15 (1 goals). Guadalajara: 76-90+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guadalajara appears favored based on recent data: in the last 5 matches they scored 6 goals and average 1.4 points per match, while Puebla has 4 goals and only 0.6 points per match in that period. Numerically the visitors’ defense is better — Puebla conceded 11 goals in 5 games (2.2 goals per match), and Guadalajara 6 goals (1.2 per match). Form confirms the visitors’ edge: Guadalajara has 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (wdllw), whereas Puebla has only 1 win and 4 losses (lllwl). In the season both teams have 1 win and 1 loss, but higher scoring efficiency and better defensive record in recent matches speak in Guadalajara’s favor, so I back a Guadalajara win, with moderate risk of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Liga MX has a BTTS rate of 61%, indicating matches in this league frequently end with goals for both teams. In their last 5 matches Puebla had BTTS in 60% of games, scored 4 goals (0.8 per game) and conceded 11 goals (2.2 per game), so their defense has been unstable recently. Guadalajara in their last 5 matches scored 6 goals (1.2 per game) and posts an average attacking xG of 2.03 with xG conceded of 1.25, which indicates the visitors create chances and have realistic scoring opportunities. Seasonally Puebla have 50% clean sheets, but the form 'lllwl' and opponents' xG vs the home side of 2.07 show they have been conceding more recently than the seasonal metric suggests. Given the league 61% BTTS, Puebla’s 60% BTTS in the last 5 home matches and the visitors’ attacking xG of 2.03, a BTTS - Yes (Goal/Goal) scenario appears more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on the last 5 matches, Puebla generates an average of 0.98 xG per match and Guadalajara 2.03 xG, totaling 3.01 expected goals. Puebla scored 4 and conceded 11 in those five games (avg 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded), while Guadalajara scored 6 and conceded 6 (1.2/1.2), indicating an offensive edge for the visitors and defensive vulnerability for the hosts. The league goals average is 2.78, and Puebla had 80% of their last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, so the total 3.01 xG further favors an Over 2.5 goals outcome. However, note the seasonal data divergence: Puebla’s seasonal xG is 2.05 versus an actual scoring average of 0.5, suggesting low finishing efficiency and some risk of underperformance. Despite that, the xG balance and the high frequency of Over 2.5 in form lead to recommending Over 2.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal indicates a Half-Time/Full-Time outcome of draw at the break and Guadalajara to win after the match (X/2): Guadalajara were level at half-time in 80% of their last five matches, while Puebla scored on average only 0.8 goals by half-time across those five games compared to 0.4 for the visitors. In the second half the advantage lies with the away side — Guadalajara average 0.8 goals after the break, have 100% of matches with more than 0.5 goals in second halves and record 1.4 points in second halves over the last five matches, whereas Puebla average 0.0 after half-time and only 0.4 points. Despite Puebla’s high xG (2.05), the home side average just 0.5 goals per match this season and exhibit low finishing efficiency (3% conversion), which suggests chance waste and increases the likelihood of a turnaround by the visitors. Additionally, Puebla conceded goals in minutes 31–45 and 61–75 (one goal each) and only scored in 76–90 (one goal), reinforcing the trend for goals after the break and supporting X/2 as the most probable scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Puebla | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.08 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Puebla is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Puebla · 0.5 goals / match - Guadalajara
Puebla scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Guadalajara scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Puebla keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Puebla
Over / Under — Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Puebla is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Puebla · 0.5 pts / match - Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Puebla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Guadalajara - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Puebla
Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Puebla | Liga | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.78 | ▼ 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 19% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 94% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Puebla 0 - 0 - 2 Guadalajara. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Puebla vs Guadalajara?
The Liga MX match finished Puebla 1:1 Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Puebla and Guadalajara?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Puebla won 0, Guadalajara won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Puebla vs Guadalajara?
Puebla score 1.00 goals per game on average and Guadalajara 0.50. The Liga MX average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Puebla's matches and 0% of Guadalajara's.
What form are Puebla and Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Puebla have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Guadalajara 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Puebla vs Guadalajara?
The statistical background for Puebla vs Guadalajara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.