Mexico - Liga MXEstadio CuauhtémocData current as of 19 October 2026

Puebla vs Monterrey: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Puebla vs Monterrey: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Puebla play Monterrey in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 22 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc.

Current form

Puebla: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Monterrey: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Puebla scores 1.00 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Monterrey scores 1.70 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.00 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Puebla 50%, Monterrey 60%. Over 2.5: Puebla 25%, Monterrey 50%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Monterrey has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.39. Puebla: 12.9 shots per match, Monterrey: 17.1.

Match halves

Puebla: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Monterrey: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

Puebla: 16-30 (3 goals). Monterrey: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga MX: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.15)
(3.60)
(2.06)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match1.7
PueblaMonterrey
1.08Goals conceded / match1.5
PueblaMonterrey
43%Average possession56%
PueblaMonterrey
4.17Shots on target / match6.1
PueblaMonterrey

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.92Shots per match17.1
PueblaMonterrey
4.17Shots on target6.1
PueblaMonterrey
7.7%Shot conversion9.9%
PueblaMonterrey
43%Possession56%
PueblaMonterrey
1.39xG for1.86
PueblaMonterrey
1.66xG against1.24
PueblaMonterrey

Shooting quality

Puebla: BalancedMonterrey: Dominant
PueblaMonterrey
Accuracy (shots on target)32%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Monterrey is 67% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Puebla · 1 pts / match - Monterrey

Puebla
LDLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-4
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-1
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DWLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%
Monterrey
LDWLD
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-4
1.40 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.84Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Monterrey is 70% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Puebla · 1.7 goals / match - Monterrey

Puebla is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.08 goals / match - Puebla · 1.5 goals / match - Monterrey

Puebla scoring profile: strong

Puebla scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Monterrey keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).

Monterrey scoring profile: very strong

Monterrey scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Puebla keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

12Goals scored (season)17
PueblaMonterrey
13Goals conceded (season)15
PueblaMonterrey
2.08Average goals in match3.2
PueblaMonterrey
2Goals scored (last 5)5
PueblaMonterrey
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
PueblaMonterrey

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal80%
PueblaMonterrey
17%2 goals40%
PueblaMonterrey
17%3 goals20%
PueblaMonterrey
0%4 goals10%
PueblaMonterrey

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal70%
PueblaMonterrey
33%2 goals50%
PueblaMonterrey
0%3 goals20%
PueblaMonterrey
0%4 goals10%
PueblaMonterrey

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time40%
PueblaMonterrey
17%BTTS in both halves10%
PueblaMonterrey
17%Scored in both halves30%
PueblaMonterrey

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
PueblaMonterrey
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PueblaMonterrey
40%BTTS - last 560%
PueblaMonterrey

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
PueblaMonterrey
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
PueblaMonterrey
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
PueblaMonterrey

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
PueblaMonterrey
17%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
PueblaMonterrey
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
PueblaMonterrey

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Monterrey is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / match - Puebla · 1.6 pts / match - Monterrey

Puebla - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Monterrey - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)1.6
PueblaMonterrey
0.5Goals scored (1st half)1.1
PueblaMonterrey
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
PueblaMonterrey
1Average goals (1st half)1.8
PueblaMonterrey
50%Clean sheet before half-time40%
PueblaMonterrey
58%No goal before half-time40%
PueblaMonterrey

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)1
PueblaMonterrey
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
PueblaMonterrey
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
PueblaMonterrey
1.08Average goals (2nd half)1.4
PueblaMonterrey
42%Clean sheet after half-time50%
PueblaMonterrey
58%No goal after half-time50%
PueblaMonterrey

Puebla - second-half results

33% W25% D42% L
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Monterrey - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
16
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Puebla - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.40.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Monterrey - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%40%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Puebla
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Monterrey
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
6
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
0
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.64
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+70%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Puebla

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Monterrey

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.62
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).

Teams vs league

PueblaLigaMonterrey
Average goals in match▼ 2.083.00▲ 3.20
Both teams scored▼ 50%60%• 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 25%52%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 25%23%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%70%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 83%85%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.00
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Puebla 0 - 0 - 2 Monterrey. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

CF Monterrey
2 : 1
Puebla FC
Puebla FC
2 : 4
CF Monterrey

FAQ

When do Puebla and Monterrey play?

Puebla face Monterrey on 22 October 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio Cuauhtémoc. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Puebla and Monterrey?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Puebla won 0, Monterrey won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Puebla vs Monterrey?

Puebla score 1.00 goals per game on average and Monterrey 1.70. The Liga MX average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Puebla's matches and 60% of Monterrey's.

What form are Puebla and Monterrey in?

Over the last 5 games Puebla have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Monterrey 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Puebla vs Monterrey?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.