Puebla vs Pumas UNAM: match statistics
Pumas UNAM is displaying significantly better form than Puebla, averaging 1.8 points per match in their last five games compared to the hosts' mere 1.0. Puebla has a very poor home record with a 50% loss rate and only 30% win rate, conceding an average of 2 goals per match at home. Pumas UNAM shows solid attacking efficiency with a 15% shot conversion rate on the road and just 8% of matches without scoring a goal. The visitors are unbeaten in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses), which contrasts sharply with Puebla's weak run of form. Pumas's goal difference (-3 away) is significantly better than Puebla's (-7 at home), further supporting the visitors' advantage. I predict a win or draw for Pumas UNAM, with a slight edge for the away side.
Puebla vs Pumas UNAM: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Puebla played Pumas UNAM in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Puebla: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Pumas UNAM: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Puebla scores 1.05 and concedes 2.05 goals per match. Pumas UNAM scores 1.48 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Puebla 50%, Pumas UNAM 70%. Over 2.5: Puebla 59%, Pumas UNAM 48%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Puebla: 11.6 shots per match, Pumas UNAM: 11.4.
Match halves
Puebla: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.68. Pumas UNAM: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Puebla: 76-90+ (8 goals). Pumas UNAM: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pumas UNAM is displaying significantly better form than Puebla, averaging 1.8 points per match in their last five games compared to the hosts' mere 1.0. Puebla has a very poor home record with a 50% loss rate and only 30% win rate, conceding an average of 2 goals per match at home. Pumas UNAM shows solid attacking efficiency with a 15% shot conversion rate on the road and just 8% of matches without scoring a goal. The visitors are unbeaten in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses), which contrasts sharply with Puebla's weak run of form. Pumas's goal difference (-3 away) is significantly better than Puebla's (-7 at home), further supporting the visitors' advantage. I predict a win or draw for Pumas UNAM, with a slight edge for the away side.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Puebla | Pumas UNAM | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pumas UNAM is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Puebla · 1.8 pts / match - Pumas UNAM
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pumas UNAM is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Puebla · 1.48 goals / match - Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.05 goals / match - Puebla · 1.39 goals / match - Pumas UNAM
Puebla scores in 55% of matches (12 of 22 matches), while Pumas UNAM keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
Pumas UNAM scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Puebla keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Puebla
Over / Under - Pumas UNAM
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pumas UNAM is 92% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.77 pts / match - Puebla · 1.48 pts / match - Pumas UNAM
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Puebla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pumas UNAM - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Puebla
Pumas UNAM
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Puebla | Liga | Pumas UNAM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.09 | 2.93 | • 2.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 25% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Puebla 0 - 1 - 0 Pumas UNAM. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Puebla vs Pumas UNAM?
The Liga MX match finished Puebla 2:3 Pumas UNAM. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Puebla vs Pumas UNAM?
Puebla score 1.05 goals per game on average and Pumas UNAM 1.48. The Liga MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Puebla's matches and 70% of Pumas UNAM's.
What form are Puebla and Pumas UNAM in?
Over the last 5 games Puebla have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Pumas UNAM 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Puebla vs Pumas UNAM?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.