Pumas UNAM vs Querétaro: match statistics

Querétaro have significantly better away numbers: they have won 100% of their matches on the road so far, scoring an average of 2 goals and avoiding defeat in every one of them. Pumas lost their only home match to date, failed to score and conceded an average of 3 goals per game. The visitors create considerably more danger, averaging 18 shots and 5 on target compared with Pumas’ 9 attempts and just 1 shot on target, while their average xG stands at 1.83 versus 1.06 for the hosts. Querétaro’s defense also looks more solid, allowing opponents an xG of 1.31, whereas Pumas allow 1.64. Both teams have identical records of 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last five matches, but the visitors’ superior efficiency and away data point to a Querétaro win.

The signal for BTTS - Yes is moderately positive, as both teams scored in 100% of Querétaro’s matches so far, compared with 50% for Pumas. The hosts have not kept a clean sheet in any match and allow opponents an xG of 2.02, while Querétaro averages 1.83 xG and records 5 shots on target per match. The visitors have also failed to keep a clean sheet, while Pumas scores an average of 1.50 goals; their last five matches produced an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Querétaro’s recent form is less stable, as the team averaged only 1.0 goals scored across its last five matches, while conceding 1.8, which still supports the prospect of a Pumas goal. A league BTTS rate of 59%, along with 60% in Pumas’ last five matches, further supports the scenario in which both sides score at least once.

The match profile points to at least two goals: Pumas average 1.5 goals, while Querétaro average 2.0, with neither team having kept a clean sheet so far. Querétaro also create more chances, averaging 18 shots and 5 on target compared with Pumas’ 13 and 4, while their average xG stands at 1.83. Pumas’ defence allows opponents an xG of 2.02, which clearly strengthens the outlook for an away goal, although Querétaro’s last five matches have reduced their scoring average to 1.0. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 100% of Querétaro’s matches so far and in 60% of the last five appearances of both teams, making Over 1.5 the strongest selection.

A draw at half-time followed by Querétaro turning the game in their favour is the most likely outcome. The visitors average 1.83 xG and 18 shots per match, compared with Pumas’ 1.34 xG and 13 attempts, while the home side’s defence concedes an average of as much as 2.02 xG. In the current campaign, Querétaro average 2.0 goals per match and have won 100% of their games, whereas Pumas concede 1.5 goals on average. A more cautious opening is supported by the fact that the visitors have scored just 0.4 goals before half-time across their last five matches, with a draw at the break recorded in 40% of their games. After the interval, however, Querétaro have the potential to settle the match, as Pumas concede an average of 1.0 goal in the second half this season, while the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their appearances during that period.