Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced match with a slight advantage for a draw. Puszcza Niepołomice shows solid disposition in recent matches (3 wins in the last 5 games, PPG 2.0), however, their home form raises doubts – only 18% home wins and a negative goal difference (-3). Pogoń Siedlce is characterized by a high percentage of away draws (42%) and a balanced goal difference (0), suggesting defensive stability despite weaker recent form (PPG 1.0). Both teams have similar xG indicators (1.40 vs 1.26) and similar scoring efficiency, which further argues for a split of points. Given that Puszcza has 45% draws at home and Pogoń 42% draws away, the most likely scenario is sharing the points, though the hosts have a slight edge due to better current form.
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Puszcza Niepołomice played Pogoń Siedlce in 1. Liga (Poland). The match was played on 6 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Puszcza Niepołomice: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Pogoń Siedlce: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Puszcza Niepołomice scores 1.26 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Pogoń Siedlce scores 1.09 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Puszcza Niepołomice 65%, Pogoń Siedlce 57%. Over 2.5: Puszcza Niepołomice 52%, Pogoń Siedlce 35%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Puszcza Niepołomice has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.34. Puszcza Niepołomice: 10.9 shots per match, Pogoń Siedlce: 11.0.
Match halves
Puszcza Niepołomice: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65. Pogoń Siedlce: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Puszcza Niepołomice: 76-90+ (8 goals). Pogoń Siedlce: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced match with a slight advantage for a draw. Puszcza Niepołomice shows solid disposition in recent matches (3 wins in the last 5 games, PPG 2.0), however, their home form raises doubts – only 18% home wins and a negative goal difference (-3). Pogoń Siedlce is characterized by a high percentage of away draws (42%) and a balanced goal difference (0), suggesting defensive stability despite weaker recent form (PPG 1.0). Both teams have similar xG indicators (1.40 vs 1.26) and similar scoring efficiency, which further argues for a split of points. Given that Puszcza has 45% draws at home and Pogoń 42% draws away, the most likely scenario is sharing the points, though the hosts have a slight edge due to better current form.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Puszcza Niepołomice | Pogoń Siedlce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Puszcza Niepołomice is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Puszcza Niepołomice · 1 pts / match - Pogoń Siedlce
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Puszcza Niepołomice is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Puszcza Niepołomice · 1.09 goals / match - Pogoń Siedlce
Pogoń Siedlce is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Puszcza Niepołomice · 1.09 goals / match - Pogoń Siedlce
Puszcza Niepołomice scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Pogoń Siedlce keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
Pogoń Siedlce scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Puszcza Niepołomice keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Puszcza Niepołomice
Over / Under - Pogoń Siedlce
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Puszcza Niepołomice is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Puszcza Niepołomice · 1.26 pts / match - Pogoń Siedlce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Puszcza Niepołomice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pogoń Siedlce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Puszcza Niepołomice
Pogoń Siedlce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Puszcza Niepołomice | Liga | Pogoń Siedlce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.57 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 65% | 67% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 61% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 19% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Puszcza Niepołomice 0 - 1 - 0 Pogoń Siedlce. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce?
The 1. Liga match finished Puszcza Niepołomice 3:0 Pogoń Siedlce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Puszcza Niepołomice score 1.26 goals per game on average and Pogoń Siedlce 1.09. The 1. Liga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Puszcza Niepołomice's matches and 57% of Pogoń Siedlce's.
What form are Puszcza Niepołomice and Pogoń Siedlce in?
Over the last 5 games Puszcza Niepołomice have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Pogoń Siedlce 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.