Qabala vs Araz: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Qabala played Araz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 30 November 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Qabala: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Araz: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Qabala scores 0.67 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Araz scores 1.58 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.47 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Qabala 33%, Araz 75%. Over 2.5: Qabala 33%, Araz 58%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Araz has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.12. Qabala: 9.3 shots per match, Araz: 9.5.

Match halves

Qabala: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33. Araz: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Qabala: 46-60 (3 goals). Araz: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

35Possession (%)65
QabalaAraz
12Shots14
QabalaAraz
4Shots on target4
QabalaAraz
1.25xG1.54
QabalaAraz
5Corners14
QabalaAraz
30Dangerous attacks54
QabalaAraz
12Fouls11
QabalaAraz
3Cards3
QabalaAraz

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.67Goals scored / match1.58
QabalaAraz
1.42Goals conceded / match1.5
QabalaAraz
48%Average possession50%
QabalaAraz
2.92Shots on target / match3.17
QabalaAraz

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.25Shots per match9.5
QabalaAraz
2.92Shots on target3.17
QabalaAraz
7.2%Shot conversion16.7%
QabalaAraz
48%Possession50%
QabalaAraz
1.12xG for1.22
QabalaAraz
1.48xG against1.56
QabalaAraz

Shooting quality

Qabala: BalancedAraz: Efficient finishing
QabalaAraz
Accuracy (shots on target)32%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Araz is 500% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Qabala · 1.2 pts / match - Araz

Qabala
DLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
8% W17% D75% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-9
0.42 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-4
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Araz
DDLWD
Season result split
42% W42% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Araz is 136% better for: goals scored per match.

0.67 goals / match - Qabala · 1.58 goals / match - Araz

Qabala is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.42 goals / match - Qabala · 1.5 goals / match - Araz

Qabala scoring profile: strong

Qabala scores in 42% of matches (5 of 12 matches), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).

Araz scoring profile: very strong

Araz scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Qabala keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).

8Goals scored (season)19
QabalaAraz
17Goals conceded (season)18
QabalaAraz
2.08Average goals in match3.08
QabalaAraz
2Goals scored (last 5)9
QabalaAraz
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
QabalaAraz

How often they score at least...

42%1 goal92%
QabalaAraz
17%2 goals67%
QabalaAraz
8%3 goals0%
QabalaAraz
0%4 goals0%
QabalaAraz

How often they concede at least...

92%1 goal83%
QabalaAraz
50%2 goals33%
QabalaAraz
0%3 goals17%
QabalaAraz
0%4 goals8%
QabalaAraz

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time25%
QabalaAraz
0%BTTS in both halves17%
QabalaAraz
17%Scored in both halves33%
QabalaAraz

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
QabalaAraz
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
QabalaAraz
20%BTTS - last 5100%
QabalaAraz

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
QabalaAraz
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
QabalaAraz
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
QabalaAraz

2nd half

58%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
QabalaAraz
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
QabalaAraz
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
QabalaAraz

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Araz is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.83 pts / match - Qabala · 1.33 pts / match - Araz

Qabala - half-time state
17% leading33% draw50% trailing
Araz - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.83Points per match (1st half)1.33
QabalaAraz
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.58
QabalaAraz
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
QabalaAraz
1Average goals (1st half)1.25
QabalaAraz
50%Clean sheet before half-time42%
QabalaAraz
67%No goal before half-time50%
QabalaAraz

After half-time (2nd half)

0.75Points per match (2nd half)1.58
QabalaAraz
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)1
QabalaAraz
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
QabalaAraz
1.08Average goals (2nd half)1.83
QabalaAraz
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
QabalaAraz
75%No goal after half-time25%
QabalaAraz

Qabala - second-half results

8% W50% D42% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding47%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Araz - second-half results

42% W33% D25% L
16
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Qabala - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.40
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Araz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Qabala
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
4
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
0
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Araz
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
5
16-30
5
1
31-45
4
3
46-60
4
3
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
39%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Qabala

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
55%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Araz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

QabalaLigaAraz
Average goals in match 2.082.47 3.08
Both teams scored 33%43% 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%46% 58%
Clean sheets 8%33% 17%
Goal before half-time 67%63% 83%
Goal after half-time 58%75% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.22
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+-2%
Home attack advantage
+-2%
Home defence advantage
+-5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. QabalaGoalPrince Owusu
  2. QabalaYellow cardMurad Musayev
  3. QabalaSubstitutionOn: Eshgin AhmadovOff: Nijat Aliyev
  4. ArazYellow cardBa-Muaka Simakala
  5. ArazSubstitutionOn: Slavik AlxasovOff: Bruno Alexandre Franco
  6. QabalaYellow cardSəlahət Ağayev
  7. QabalaSubstitutionOn: Farid IskandarovOff: Prince Owusu
  8. QabalaSubstitutionOn: Eduardo KundeOff: Suleyman Damadayev
  9. QabalaYellow cardMurad Musayev

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Qabala 0 - 0 - 1 Araz. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Araz FK
2 : 1
FK Qabala

FAQ

What was the result of Qabala vs Araz?

The Premyer Liqası match finished Qabala 2:1 Araz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Qabala vs Araz?

Qabala score 0.67 goals per game on average and Araz 1.58. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Qabala's matches and 75% of Araz's.

What form are Qabala and Araz in?

Over the last 5 games Qabala have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Araz 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qabala vs Araz?

The statistical background for Qabala vs Araz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.