Qabala vs Karvan FK: match statistics
Qabala appears as the clear favorite in this encounter despite weaker form in recent weeks. The hosts hold the advantage in key offensive statistics—averaging 1 goal per home match with a higher xG (1.22 vs 0.81), taking significantly more shots (10.5 vs 5.3), and maintaining better possession (47% vs 40%). Karvan FK is in catastrophic form with a streak of five consecutive defeats and zero points in recent matches, scoring just 1 goal during this period. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals away and have a negative goal difference of -13, which, combined with a 70% loss rate in away matches, makes them a very weak opponent. Although Qabala is also experiencing a crisis, the home advantage and superior offensive indicators should tip the scales in their favor, especially against the league's weakest team.
Qabala vs Karvan FK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Qabala play Karvan FK in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Qabala: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Karvan FK: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Qabala scores 0.97 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Karvan FK scores 0.70 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qabala 45%, Karvan FK 48%. Over 2.5: Qabala 42%, Karvan FK 48%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Qabala has higher xG: 1.24 vs 0.90. Qabala: 10.5 shots per match, Karvan FK: 6.7.
Match halves
Qabala: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.52. Karvan FK: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Qabala: 31-45+ (7 goals). Karvan FK: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Qabala appears as the clear favorite in this encounter despite weaker form in recent weeks. The hosts hold the advantage in key offensive statistics—averaging 1 goal per home match with a higher xG (1.22 vs 0.81), taking significantly more shots (10.5 vs 5.3), and maintaining better possession (47% vs 40%). Karvan FK is in catastrophic form with a streak of five consecutive defeats and zero points in recent matches, scoring just 1 goal during this period. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals away and have a negative goal difference of -13, which, combined with a 70% loss rate in away matches, makes them a very weak opponent. Although Qabala is also experiencing a crisis, the home advantage and superior offensive indicators should tip the scales in their favor, especially against the league's weakest team.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qabala | Karvan FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qabala is 700% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Qabala · 0.2 pts / match - Karvan FK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qabala is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Qabala · 0.7 goals / match - Karvan FK
Qabala is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Qabala · 2 goals / match - Karvan FK
Qabala scores in 55% of matches (18 of 33 matches), while Karvan FK keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 33 matches).
Karvan FK scores in 52% of matches (17 of 33 matches), while Qabala keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Qabala
Over / Under — Karvan FK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Karvan FK is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Qabala · 1.03 pts / match - Karvan FK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qabala - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Karvan FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Qabala
Karvan FK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Qabala | Liga | Karvan FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | • 45% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 48% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 31% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Qabala 1 - 1 - 0 Karvan FK. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Qabala vs Karvan FK?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Qabala 1:1 Karvan FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Qabala and Karvan FK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Qabala won 1, Karvan FK won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Qabala vs Karvan FK?
Qabala score 0.97 goals per game on average and Karvan FK 0.70. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Qabala's matches and 48% of Karvan FK's.
What form are Qabala and Karvan FK in?
Over the last 5 games Qabala have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Karvan FK 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qabala vs Karvan FK?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Qabala vs Karvan FK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.