Qabala vs Qarabağ: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Qabala played Qarabağ in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 21 December 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Qabala: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Qarabağ: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Qabala scores 0.71 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Qarabağ scores 2.00 and concedes 0.60. League average: 2.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Qabala 36%, Qarabağ 40%. Over 2.5: Qabala 36%, Qarabağ 33%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Qarabağ has higher xG: 2.04 vs 1.10. Qabala: 9.3 shots per match, Qarabağ: 15.9.

Match halves

Qabala: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.36. Qarabağ: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.27.

Goals by minute

Qabala: 46-60 (4 goals). Qarabağ: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

35Possession (%)65
QabalaQarabağ
8Shots16
QabalaQarabağ
2Shots on target3
QabalaQarabağ
1.03xG1.83
QabalaQarabağ
1Corners6
QabalaQarabağ
53Dangerous attacks84
QabalaQarabağ
7Fouls9
QabalaQarabağ
3Cards2
QabalaQarabağ

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.71Goals scored / match2
QabalaQarabağ
1.36Goals conceded / match0.6
QabalaQarabağ
47%Average possession65%
QabalaQarabağ
2.86Shots on target / match5.53
QabalaQarabağ

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.29Shots per match15.87
QabalaQarabağ
2.86Shots on target5.53
QabalaQarabağ
7.7%Shot conversion12.6%
QabalaQarabağ
47%Possession65%
QabalaQarabağ
1.1xG for2.04
QabalaQarabağ
1.48xG against0.93
QabalaQarabağ

Shooting quality

Qabala: BalancedQarabağ: Dominant
QabalaQarabağ
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Qarabağ is 233% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Qabala · 2 pts / match - Qarabağ

Qabala
LLLWL
Season result split
14% W14% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-10
0.57 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-4
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Qarabağ
WWDWL
Season result split
67% W20% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-3-2
2.20 pts / match · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.13Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Qarabağ is 182% better for: goals scored per match.

0.71 goals / match - Qabala · 2 goals / match - Qarabağ

Qarabağ is 127% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.36 goals / match - Qabala · 0.6 goals / match - Qarabağ

Qabala scoring profile: more difficult

Qabala scores in 43% of matches (6 of 14 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 matches).

Qarabağ scoring profile: very strong

Qarabağ scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Qabala keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 matches).

10Goals scored (season)30
QabalaQarabağ
19Goals conceded (season)9
QabalaQarabağ
2.07Average goals in match2.6
QabalaQarabağ
2Goals scored (last 5)13
QabalaQarabağ
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
QabalaQarabağ

How often they score at least...

43%1 goal87%
QabalaQarabağ
21%2 goals60%
QabalaQarabağ
7%3 goals20%
QabalaQarabağ
0%4 goals20%
QabalaQarabağ

How often they concede at least...

93%1 goal47%
QabalaQarabağ
43%2 goals13%
QabalaQarabağ
0%3 goals0%
QabalaQarabağ
0%4 goals0%
QabalaQarabağ

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time13%
QabalaQarabağ
0%BTTS in both halves7%
QabalaQarabağ
21%Scored in both halves33%
QabalaQarabağ

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
QabalaQarabağ
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
QabalaQarabağ
20%BTTS - last 580%
QabalaQarabağ

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
QabalaQarabağ
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
QabalaQarabağ
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
QabalaQarabağ

2nd half

64%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
QabalaQarabağ
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
QabalaQarabağ
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
QabalaQarabağ

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Qarabağ is 109% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.86 pts / match - Qabala · 1.8 pts / match - Qarabağ

Qabala - half-time state
14% leading43% draw43% trailing
Qarabağ - half-time state
47% leading40% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.86Points per match (1st half)1.8
QabalaQarabağ
0.36Goals scored (1st half)0.73
QabalaQarabağ
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.27
QabalaQarabağ
1Average goals (1st half)1
QabalaQarabağ
50%Clean sheet before half-time73%
QabalaQarabağ
64%No goal before half-time47%
QabalaQarabağ

After half-time (2nd half)

0.86Points per match (2nd half)2.2
QabalaQarabağ
0.36Goals scored (2nd half)1.27
QabalaQarabağ
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
QabalaQarabağ
1.07Average goals (2nd half)1.6
QabalaQarabağ
50%Clean sheet after half-time73%
QabalaQarabağ
71%No goal after half-time33%
QabalaQarabağ

Qabala - second-half results

14% W43% D43% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Qarabağ - second-half results

67% W20% D13% L
27
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding143%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Qabala - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.00
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Qarabağ - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.00
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Qabala
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
5
31-45
4
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
0
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Qarabağ
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
5
4
31-45
5
1
46-60
5
1
61-75
9
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.7 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Qabala

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
56%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Qarabağ

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
163%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
48%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

QabalaLigaQarabağ
Average goals in match 2.072.49 2.60
Both teams scored 36%46% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%47% 33%
Clean sheets 7%32% 53%
Goal before half-time 64%64% 67%
Goal after half-time 64%76% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+2%
Home attack advantage
+2%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. QabalaGoalPrince Owusu
  2. QabalaYellow cardAdriel D'Avila Ba Loua
  3. QarabağGoalBadavi Hüseynov
  4. QabalaSubstitutionOn: Nijat AliyevOff: Nugay Rashidov
  5. QabalaYellow cardNijat Aliyev
  6. QabalaYellow cardJaime Sierra Mateos
  7. QarabağSubstitutionOn: Elvin CəfərquliyevOff: Toral Bayramov
  8. QarabağGoalMarko Janković
  9. QabalaSubstitutionOn: Farid IskandarovOff: Shahin Shahniyarov
  10. QabalaSubstitutionOn: Elşad TağıyevOff: Domi Jaurès Massoumou
  11. QarabağYellow cardDaniel Lima de Castro
  12. QarabağYellow cardMarko Janković

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Qabala 0 - 0 - 1 Qarabağ. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Qarabağ Ağdam FK
2 : 0
FK Qabala

FAQ

What was the result of Qabala vs Qarabağ?

The Premyer Liqası match finished Qabala 1:2 Qarabağ. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Qabala vs Qarabağ?

Qabala score 0.71 goals per game on average and Qarabağ 2.00. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Qabala's matches and 40% of Qarabağ's.

What form are Qabala and Qarabağ in?

Over the last 5 games Qabala have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Qarabağ 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qabala vs Qarabağ?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Qabala vs Qarabağ: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.