Qarabağ vs Araz: match statistics
Qarabağ vs Araz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Qarabağ played Araz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 14 December 2025. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Qarabağ: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Araz: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Qarabağ scores 1.85 and concedes 0.46 goals per match. Araz scores 1.57 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qarabağ 31%, Araz 71%. Over 2.5: Qarabağ 23%, Araz 57%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Qarabağ has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.32. Qarabağ: 15.4 shots per match, Araz: 10.4.
Match halves
Qarabağ: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.23. Araz: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Qarabağ: 76-90+ (8 goals). Araz: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qarabağ | Araz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qarabağ is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Qarabağ · 1.4 pts / match - Araz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qarabağ is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.85 goals / match - Qarabağ · 1.57 goals / match - Araz
Qarabağ is 211% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.46 goals / match - Qarabağ · 1.43 goals / match - Araz
Qarabağ scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
Araz scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 62% (8 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qarabağ
Over / Under - Araz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qarabağ is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / match - Qarabağ · 1.43 pts / match - Araz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Araz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Qarabağ
Araz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Qarabağ | Liga | Araz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.31 | 2.46 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 44% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 46% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 62% | 32% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 62% | 62% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 76% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Qarabağ 1 - 0 - 0 Araz. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Qarabağ vs Araz?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Qarabağ 5:1 Araz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Qarabağ vs Araz?
Qarabağ score 1.85 goals per game on average and Araz 1.57. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Qarabağ's matches and 71% of Araz's.
What form are Qarabağ and Araz in?
Over the last 5 games Qarabağ have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Araz 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qarabağ vs Araz?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.