Qarabağ vs Karvan FK: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Qarabağ played Karvan FK in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Qarabağ: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Karvan FK: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Qarabağ scores 1.91 and concedes 0.45 goals per match. Karvan FK scores 0.83 and concedes 2.17. League average: 2.47 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Qarabağ 27%, Karvan FK 58%. Over 2.5: Qarabağ 27%, Karvan FK 67%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Qarabağ has higher xG: 2.00 vs 0.92. Qarabağ: 15.8 shots per match, Karvan FK: 7.1.

Match halves

Qarabağ: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.27. Karvan FK: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.42.

Goals by minute

Qarabağ: 76-90+ (6 goals). Karvan FK: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

72Possession (%)28
QarabağKarvan FK
13Shots1
QarabağKarvan FK
4Shots on target0
QarabağKarvan FK
2.02xG0.38
QarabağKarvan FK
8Corners1
QarabağKarvan FK
126Dangerous attacks42
QarabağKarvan FK
11Fouls16
QarabağKarvan FK
0Cards1
QarabağKarvan FK

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.91Goals scored / match0.83
QarabağKarvan FK
0.45Goals conceded / match2.17
QarabağKarvan FK
66%Average possession44%
QarabağKarvan FK
5.64Shots on target / match1.92
QarabağKarvan FK

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.82Shots per match7.08
QarabağKarvan FK
5.64Shots on target1.92
QarabağKarvan FK
12.1%Shot conversion11.8%
QarabağKarvan FK
66%Possession44%
QarabağKarvan FK
2xG for0.92
QarabağKarvan FK
0.84xG against1.66
QarabağKarvan FK

Shooting quality

Qarabağ: DominantKarvan FK: Balanced
QarabağKarvan FK
Accuracy (shots on target)36%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Qarabağ
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
73% W18% R9% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-1
2.36 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.94Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Karvan FK
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
8% W17% R75% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-9
0.42 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 0.95Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Qarabağ is 130% better for: goals scored per match.

1.91 goals / match - Qarabağ · 0.83 goals / match - Karvan FK

Qarabağ is 382% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.45 goals / match - Qarabağ · 2.17 goals / match - Karvan FK

Qarabağ scoring profile: very strong

Qarabağ scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Karvan FK keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).

Karvan FK scoring profile: more difficult

Karvan FK scores in 58% of matches (7 of 12 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 64% (7 of 11 matches).

21Goals scored (season)10
QarabağKarvan FK
5Goals conceded (season)26
QarabağKarvan FK
2.36Average goals in match3
QarabağKarvan FK
10Goals scored (last 5)6
QarabağKarvan FK
3Goals conceded (last 5)13
QarabağKarvan FK

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal58%
QarabağKarvan FK
64%2 goals17%
QarabağKarvan FK
18%3 goals8%
QarabağKarvan FK
18%4 goals0%
QarabağKarvan FK

How often they concede at least...

36%1 goal92%
QarabağKarvan FK
9%2 goals83%
QarabağKarvan FK
0%3 goals33%
QarabağKarvan FK
0%4 goals8%
QarabağKarvan FK

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time17%
QarabağKarvan FK
9%BTTS in both halves0%
QarabağKarvan FK
36%Scored in both halves17%
QarabağKarvan FK

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
QarabağKarvan FK
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
QarabağKarvan FK
40%BTTS - last 5100%
QarabağKarvan FK

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
QarabağKarvan FK
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
QarabağKarvan FK
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
QarabağKarvan FK

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
QarabağKarvan FK
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
QarabağKarvan FK
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
QarabağKarvan FK

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Qarabağ is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.73 pts / match - Qarabağ · 1.17 pts / match - Karvan FK

Qarabağ - half-time state
45% leading36% draw18% trailing
Karvan FK - half-time state
25% leading42% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.73Points per match (1st half)1.17
QarabağKarvan FK
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.42
QarabağKarvan FK
0.27Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
QarabağKarvan FK
0.91Average goals (1st half)1.08
QarabağKarvan FK
73%Clean sheet before half-time50%
QarabağKarvan FK
55%No goal before half-time58%
QarabağKarvan FK

After half-time (2nd half)

2.36Points per match (2nd half)0.33
QarabağKarvan FK
1.27Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
QarabağKarvan FK
0.18Goals conceded (2nd half)1.5
QarabağKarvan FK
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.92
QarabağKarvan FK
82%Clean sheet after half-time17%
QarabağKarvan FK
27%No goal after half-time67%
QarabağKarvan FK

Qarabağ - second-half results

73% W18% R9% P
19
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Karvan FK - second-half results

0% W33% R67% P
14
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding32%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Qarabağ - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.60
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference0+7
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Karvan FK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.00
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.42.2
Average goals in match1.22.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-9
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Qarabağ
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
3
31-45
4
0
46-60
4
1
61-75
6
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Karvan FK
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
4
31-45
1
4
46-60
2
7
61-75
2
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.68
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 0.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Qarabağ

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
157%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
36%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Karvan FK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.51
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
178%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

QarabağLigaKarvan FK
Average goals in match 2.362.47 3.00
Both teams scored 27%43% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 27%46% 67%
Clean sheets 64%33% 8%
Goal before half-time 64%65% 75%
Goal after half-time 82%74% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.22
Home goals / match
1.26
Away goals / match
+-3%
Home attack advantage
+-3%
Home defence advantage
+-5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Karvan FKYellow cardEltun Turabov
  2. QarabağSubstitutionOn: Elvin CəfərquliyevOff: Daniel Lima de Castro
  3. QarabağGoalEmmanuel Addai
  4. Karvan FKSubstitutionOn: Saeed IrankhahOff: Eltun Turabov

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Qarabağ 1 - 0 - 0 Karvan FK. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Karvan FK
0 : 2
Qarabağ Ağdam FK

FAQ

What was the result of Qarabağ vs Karvan FK?

The Premyer Liqası match finished Qarabağ 2:0 Karvan FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Qarabağ vs Karvan FK?

Qarabağ score 1.91 goals per game on average and Karvan FK 0.83. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Qarabağ's matches and 58% of Karvan FK's.

What form are Qarabağ and Karvan FK in?

Over the last 5 games Qarabağ have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Karvan FK 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qarabağ vs Karvan FK?

The statistical background for Qarabağ vs Karvan FK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.