Qarabağ vs Sabah: match statistics
Sabah is in impressive form as the league leaders with an 80% win rate away from home and only one defeat all season. The visitors have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, conceding only 2, which confirms their excellent form. Qarabağ, despite being in 2nd place, shows weaker form with 3 defeats in their last 5 matches and conceding as many as 12 goals in that period. Sabah has a better shot conversion rate (18% vs 9%) and a higher average of goals scored away (2.2 vs 1.45 for the hosts at home). Sabah's positive goal difference away from home (+15) compared to Qarabağ's at home (+11) and the advantage in recent results (WDWWW run vs LWWLL) indicate a higher chance of an away win, although Qarabağ's solid performance at their own stadium (64% wins) does not rule out a draw or an upset.
Qarabağ vs Sabah: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Qarabağ played Sabah in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Qarabağ: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Sabah: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Qarabağ scores 1.80 and concedes 0.65 goals per match. Sabah scores 2.00 and concedes 0.57. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qarabağ 40%, Sabah 48%. Over 2.5: Qarabağ 35%, Sabah 52%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Qarabağ has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.85. Qarabağ: 15.0 shots per match, Sabah: 13.8.
Match halves
Qarabağ: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.10. Sabah: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
Qarabağ: 76-90+ (12 goals). Sabah: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sabah is in impressive form as the league leaders with an 80% win rate away from home and only one defeat all season. The visitors have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, conceding only 2, which confirms their excellent form. Qarabağ, despite being in 2nd place, shows weaker form with 3 defeats in their last 5 matches and conceding as many as 12 goals in that period. Sabah has a better shot conversion rate (18% vs 9%) and a higher average of goals scored away (2.2 vs 1.45 for the hosts at home). Sabah's positive goal difference away from home (+15) compared to Qarabağ's at home (+11) and the advantage in recent results (WDWWW run vs LWWLL) indicate a higher chance of an away win, although Qarabağ's solid performance at their own stadium (64% wins) does not rule out a draw or an upset.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qarabağ | Sabah | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sabah is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Qarabağ · 3 pts / match - Sabah
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sabah is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - Qarabağ · 2 goals / match - Sabah
Sabah is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.65 goals / match - Qarabağ · 0.57 goals / match - Sabah
Qarabağ scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Sabah keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
Sabah scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qarabağ
Over / Under - Sabah
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sabah is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / match - Qarabağ · 1.9 pts / match - Sabah
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sabah - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 76%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +9 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Qarabağ
Sabah
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Qarabağ | Liga | Sabah | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.45 | 2.42 | ▲ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 42% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 45% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 34% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 65% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Qarabağ 0 - 0 - 1 Sabah. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Qarabağ vs Sabah?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Qarabağ 3:3 Sabah. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Qarabağ vs Sabah?
Qarabağ score 1.80 goals per game on average and Sabah 2.00. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Qarabağ's matches and 48% of Sabah's.
What form are Qarabağ and Sabah in?
Over the last 5 games Qarabağ have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Sabah 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qarabağ vs Sabah?
The statistical background for Qarabağ vs Sabah — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.