Qarabağ vs Turan: match statistics
As the home team, Qarabağ displays solid form with a 60% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +10. The team dominates possession (68%) and generates high xG values (2.16), which indicates offensive strength. Turan shows good away efficiency (63% win rate), however their average xG (1.13) and significantly lower number of shots on target (2.5) suggest difficulty in creating chances against stronger opponents. Qarabağ's recent form is concerning (3 losses in 5 matches), but the home advantage and seasonal statistics speak in their favor. I expect a tight encounter in which the hosts will utilize their possession advantage and offensive quality to secure three points, although Turan could cause problems thanks to their solid away defense.
Qarabağ vs Turan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Qarabağ played Turan in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Qarabağ: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Turan: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Qarabağ scores 1.88 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Turan scores 1.31 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qarabağ 41%, Turan 44%. Over 2.5: Qarabağ 35%, Turan 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Qarabağ has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.25. Qarabağ: 15.9 shots per match, Turan: 9.8.
Match halves
Qarabağ: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.18. Turan: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Qarabağ: 76-90+ (10 goals). Turan: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As the home team, Qarabağ displays solid form with a 60% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +10. The team dominates possession (68%) and generates high xG values (2.16), which indicates offensive strength. Turan shows good away efficiency (63% win rate), however their average xG (1.13) and significantly lower number of shots on target (2.5) suggest difficulty in creating chances against stronger opponents. Qarabağ's recent form is concerning (3 losses in 5 matches), but the home advantage and seasonal statistics speak in their favor. I expect a tight encounter in which the hosts will utilize their possession advantage and offensive quality to secure three points, although Turan could cause problems thanks to their solid away defense.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qarabağ | Turan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Turan is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Qarabağ · 1.6 pts / match - Turan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qarabağ is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.88 goals / match - Qarabağ · 1.31 goals / match - Turan
Qarabağ is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Qarabağ · 0.81 goals / match - Turan
Qarabağ scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Turan keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).
Turan scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qarabağ
Over / Under - Turan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qarabağ is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / match - Qarabağ · 1.56 pts / match - Turan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Turan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Qarabağ
Turan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Qarabağ | Liga | Turan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.59 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 46% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 31% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Qarabağ 1 - 0 - 0 Turan. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Qarabağ vs Turan?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Qarabağ 1:0 Turan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Qarabağ vs Turan?
Qarabağ score 1.88 goals per game on average and Turan 1.31. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Qarabağ's matches and 44% of Turan's.
What form are Qarabağ and Turan in?
Over the last 5 games Qarabağ have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Turan 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qarabağ vs Turan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Qarabağ vs Turan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.