Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa: match statistics
The match promises to be highly competitive. Qatar SC displays solid home form with a 50% home win rate and a +1 goal difference, but Al Gharafa occupies a high 2nd place in the table and also wins half of their away fixtures. A key factor is the weaker recent form of both teams - Qatar SC has been picking up 1.6 PPG in their last 5 games, while Al Gharafa has only managed 1.2 PPG, suggesting a dip in performance. The xG stats are nearly identical for both sides (Qatar 1.48 vs Al Gharafa 1.35), as is their shot conversion (14% vs 13%). Al Gharafa holds an edge in ball possession (51% vs 46%), but finishing 50% of their away matches without scoring could be a major issue. Given the balanced statistics, Qatar's home advantage, and the unstable form of both teams, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome, although a win for either side is equally possible.
Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Qatar SC played Al Gharafa in Stars League (Qatar). The match was played on 12 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Qatar SC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Al Gharafa: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Qatar SC scores 1.69 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Al Gharafa scores 1.71 and concedes 1.35. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qatar SC 69%, Al Gharafa 59%. Over 2.5: Qatar SC 56%, Al Gharafa 65%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Al Gharafa has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.42. Qatar SC: 12.5 shots per match, Al Gharafa: 13.4.
Match halves
Qatar SC: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.19. Al Gharafa: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.24.
Goals by minute
Qatar SC: 76-90+ (8 goals). Al Gharafa: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Stars League: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be highly competitive. Qatar SC displays solid home form with a 50% home win rate and a +1 goal difference, but Al Gharafa occupies a high 2nd place in the table and also wins half of their away fixtures. A key factor is the weaker recent form of both teams - Qatar SC has been picking up 1.6 PPG in their last 5 games, while Al Gharafa has only managed 1.2 PPG, suggesting a dip in performance. The xG stats are nearly identical for both sides (Qatar 1.48 vs Al Gharafa 1.35), as is their shot conversion (14% vs 13%). Al Gharafa holds an edge in ball possession (51% vs 46%), but finishing 50% of their away matches without scoring could be a major issue. Given the balanced statistics, Qatar's home advantage, and the unstable form of both teams, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome, although a win for either side is equally possible.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qatar SC | Al Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qatar SC is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Qatar SC · 1.2 pts / match - Al Gharafa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Gharafa is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Qatar SC · 1.35 goals / match - Al Gharafa
Qatar SC scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Al Gharafa keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
Al Gharafa scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Qatar SC keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qatar SC
Over / Under - Al Gharafa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qatar SC is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Qatar SC · 1.18 pts / match - Al Gharafa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qatar SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Gharafa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Qatar SC
Al Gharafa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Qatar SC | Liga | Al Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.31 | 3.30 | ▼ 3.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 58% | • 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 24% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Qatar SC 0 - 0 - 1 Al Gharafa. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa?
The Stars League match finished Qatar SC 2:0 Al Gharafa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa?
Qatar SC score 1.69 goals per game on average and Al Gharafa 1.71. The Stars League average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Qatar SC's matches and 59% of Al Gharafa's.
What form are Qatar SC and Al Gharafa in?
Over the last 5 games Qatar SC have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Al Gharafa 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa?
The statistical background for Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.