Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai SIPG: match statistics
Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai SIPG: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Qingdao Jonoon played Shanghai SIPG in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Qingdao Jonoon: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Shanghai SIPG: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Qingdao Jonoon scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Shanghai SIPG scores 1.63 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qingdao Jonoon 50%, Shanghai SIPG 63%. Over 2.5: Qingdao Jonoon 38%, Shanghai SIPG 63%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Shanghai SIPG has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.25. Qingdao Jonoon: 11.5 shots per match, Shanghai SIPG: 13.1.
Match halves
Qingdao Jonoon: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63. Shanghai SIPG: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
Qingdao Jonoon: 76-90+ (3 goals). Shanghai SIPG: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a Qingdao Jonoon win: at home they average 1.5 goals per game and have a 50% home win rate. In home matches they average 11 shots and 3.5 shots on target with a conversion rate of 14%, while Shanghai away average 8.33 shots, 2 on target and have a conversion rate of just 4%. The visitors have not won away (0% wins), failed to score in 67% of away matches and average only 0.33 goals per away game. Qingdao keep a clean sheet in 50% of home games and concede 1.25 goals per match on average, and the hosts’ average xG is 1.21 versus 0.99 xG for Shanghai away, indicating a superiority in quality chances for the hosts. In the last 5 matches Qingdao are 2-2-1 (goals 6-4), while Shanghai are 2-1-2 (goals 8-5); however, the visitors’ poor away efficiency leads me to assign greater probability to the hosts. I give the hosts a 67% chance to win, 18% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Qingdao has a seasonal BTTS of 80% vs 33% for Shanghai, while the league average is 53%, providing a strong signal for a both teams to score scenario at the home venue. Offensively the hosts generate 1.88 xG and 5.4 shots on target with a seasonal goals average of 2.4, while Shanghai posts 0.99 xG, 2.0 shots on target and a seasonal goals average of 0.33 — Qingdao therefore creates significantly more chances (1.88 vs 0.99 xG and 5.4 vs 2.0 shots on target). In the last 5 matches Shanghai has 60% BTTS and averages 1.6 goals in L5 versus Qingdao’s 40% BTTS and 1.2 goals, which increases the likelihood that the away side will also score. Additionally Shanghai has 0% clean sheets this season and concedes 1.0 goal per match on average, while Qingdao concedes 1.2 goals seasonally, so both teams are susceptible to being scored against. Considering the dominant home BTTS rate of 80%, the higher home xG of 1.88 and the away form (60% BTTS and 1.6 goals in L5), I forecast BTTS - Yes with a probability of 70% vs 30% No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model forecasts 1.74 goals for Qingdao (xG 1.88 vs Shanghai defense 1.59) and 1.08 for Shanghai (xG 0.99 vs Qingdao defense 1.17), totalling 2.82 goals. With λ=2.82 the Poisson distribution yields ~77% probability for Over 1.5 goals, ~53% for Over 2.5 and ~31% for Over 3.5, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Season stats confirm the hosts' offensive pressure: Qingdao averages 2.4 goals per match, has 100% of matches Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 and records 5.4 shots on target with a 15% conversion, while Shanghai averages 0.33 goals this season, 2.0 shots on target and a 4% conversion. Additionally, the hosts have 80% of matches with both teams scoring (BTTS), and the league average is 2.86 goals per match, which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. Therefore I recommend an Over bet at the 1.5 line as the optimal choice: 77% probability from the model combined with the hosts' season 100% occurrence Over 1.5 provides a solid safety margin.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Qingdao Jonoon are clear favorites: the home side’s average goals at home are 2.4 versus Shanghai SIPG’s 0.33 away, xG 1.88 vs 0.99 and 60% home wins compared to 0% away wins for the visitors. At Half-Time the statistics also favor Qingdao — the hosts have scored 7 first-half goals versus 1 for the visitors, averaging 0.6 vs 0.33, and 80% of home matches featured at least one goal before the break (vs 33% for the visitors). In the second half Qingdao further increases the pressure: they average 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in the second half, while Shanghai statistically records 0.0 second-half goals; the hosts register an average of 5.4 on-target shots vs 2.0 for the visitors, which raises the likelihood of maintaining or extending a lead. On this basis the strongest signal is a home lead at the break and a Home win at Full-Time (1/1 — 45%); alternatively a Half-Time draw and a Home turnaround to win at Full-Time (X/1 — 22%) is possible.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qingdao Jonoon | Shanghai SIPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qingdao Jonoon is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Qingdao Jonoon · 1.4 pts / match - Shanghai SIPG
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shanghai SIPG is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Qingdao Jonoon · 1.63 goals / match - Shanghai SIPG
Shanghai SIPG is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Qingdao Jonoon · 1.13 goals / match - Shanghai SIPG
Qingdao Jonoon scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Shanghai SIPG keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Shanghai SIPG scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Qingdao Jonoon keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qingdao Jonoon
Over / Under - Shanghai SIPG
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shanghai SIPG is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Qingdao Jonoon · 1.5 pts / match - Shanghai SIPG
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qingdao Jonoon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Shanghai SIPG - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Qingdao Jonoon
Shanghai SIPG
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Qingdao Jonoon | Liga | Shanghai SIPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 38% | 65% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 88% | 87% | • 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Qingdao Jonoon 0 - 0 - 2 Shanghai SIPG. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai SIPG?
The Chinese Super League match finished Qingdao Jonoon 3:1 Shanghai SIPG. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Qingdao Jonoon and Shanghai SIPG?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Qingdao Jonoon won 0, Shanghai SIPG won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai SIPG?
Qingdao Jonoon score 1.00 goals per game on average and Shanghai SIPG 1.63. The Chinese Super League average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Qingdao Jonoon's matches and 63% of Shanghai SIPG's.
What form are Qingdao Jonoon and Shanghai SIPG in?
Over the last 5 games Qingdao Jonoon have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Shanghai SIPG 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai SIPG?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.