Qingdao Youth Island vs Shanghai SIPG: match statistics
Qingdao Youth Island vs Shanghai SIPG: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Qingdao Youth Island play Shanghai SIPG in Chinese Super League (China). The match date is 4 July 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Qingdao Youth Island: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Shanghai SIPG: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Qingdao Youth Island scores 1.21 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Shanghai SIPG scores 1.56 and concedes 1.44. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qingdao Youth Island 74%, Shanghai SIPG 78%. Over 2.5: Qingdao Youth Island 42%, Shanghai SIPG 67%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Shanghai SIPG has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.22. Qingdao Youth Island: 10.6 shots per match, Shanghai SIPG: 10.9.
Match halves
Qingdao Youth Island: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.68. Shanghai SIPG: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Qingdao Youth Island: 76-90+ (6 goals). Shanghai SIPG: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-2-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a draw because Qingdao Youth Island record as hosts is an outstanding 75% draws and 0% losses at their stadium, which substantially increases the likelihood of a split of points. The home side creates more chances — on average 10.88 shots and 3.88 shots on target per home match, xG 1.30, and averages 1.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded at home, while scoring 10 goals in their last 5 matches. Shanghai SIPG is, however, more efficient in front of goal (conversion 15% vs 11%), has higher possession (53% vs 44%) and better recent form (2.0 points per match in the last 5 and 3 wins), so they can capitalize on isolated opportunities. The xG gap (1.30 vs 0.97) and the hosts’ superior defensive numbers (0.88 conceded at home vs 1.5 conceded by Shanghai away) point to an evenly contested game with a limited number of goals. Therefore I assign a 50% probability to a draw, 30% to a home win and 20% to an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qingdao Youth Island | Shanghai SIPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qingdao Youth Island is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Qingdao Youth Island · 1 pts / match - Shanghai SIPG
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shanghai SIPG is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Qingdao Youth Island · 1.56 goals / match - Shanghai SIPG
Shanghai SIPG is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Qingdao Youth Island · 1.44 goals / match - Shanghai SIPG
Qingdao Youth Island scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Shanghai SIPG keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
Shanghai SIPG scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Qingdao Youth Island keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Qingdao Youth Island
Over / Under — Shanghai SIPG
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qingdao Youth Island - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Shanghai SIPG - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Qingdao Youth Island
Shanghai SIPG
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Qingdao Youth Island | Liga | Shanghai SIPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.74 | 3.09 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 65% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 19% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 89% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Qingdao Youth Island 0 - 2 - 1 Shanghai SIPG. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Qingdao Youth Island vs Shanghai SIPG?
The Chinese Super League match finished Qingdao Youth Island 2:1 Shanghai SIPG. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Qingdao Youth Island and Shanghai SIPG?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Qingdao Youth Island won 0, Shanghai SIPG won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Qingdao Youth Island vs Shanghai SIPG?
Qingdao Youth Island score 1.21 goals per game on average and Shanghai SIPG 1.56. The Chinese Super League average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Qingdao Youth Island's matches and 78% of Shanghai SIPG's.
What form are Qingdao Youth Island and Shanghai SIPG in?
Over the last 5 games Qingdao Youth Island have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Shanghai SIPG 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qingdao Youth Island vs Shanghai SIPG?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Qingdao Youth Island vs Shanghai SIPG: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.