Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda: match statistics
Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Qingdao Youth Island played Tianjin Teda in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 5 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Qingdao Youth Island: 0-5-0, 1.00 points/match. Tianjin Teda: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Qingdao Youth Island scores 0.67 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Tianjin Teda scores 1.44 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qingdao Youth Island 56%, Tianjin Teda 56%. Over 2.5: Qingdao Youth Island 22%, Tianjin Teda 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Qingdao Youth Island has higher xG: 1.10 vs 1.02. Qingdao Youth Island: 10.0 shots per match, Tianjin Teda: 8.8.
Match halves
Qingdao Youth Island: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.33. Tianjin Teda: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Qingdao Youth Island: 76-90+ (3 goals). Tianjin Teda: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a draw (X): Qingdao Youth Island have a very tight home defense, conceding only 0.33 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 67% of home games, but they score just 0.67 goals per match with a conversion rate of 7% and 3.67 shots on target. Tianjin Teda are clearly more dangerous away — averaging 1.75 goals per match, 4 shots on target and a high conversion of 19%; they have also scored 11 goals in the last 5 matches and are worth about 1.6 points per match over that period. xG analysis shows a balance: Qingdao have home xG 1.15 versus xG against 1.33 (suggesting they defend better than xG implies), while Tianjin have home xG 1.05 and away xG against 1.95 (indicating defensive vulnerability despite creating more chances). Considering Qingdao’s 5 draws in the last 5 matches and a high home draw rate (67%) alongside the visitors’ attacking efficiency, the most likely outcome is a low-scoring game ending in a shared point.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis supports a Both Teams To Score (BTTS - Yes) outcome: Qingdao has a season BTTS rate of 80% vs 25% for Tianjin, but in the last 5 matches Qingdao is at 60% and Tianjin at 80%, which gives a strong recency signal. Both sides concede roughly 1.5 goals per game (Qingdao 1.6, Tianjin 1.5), while the visitors score noticeably more — 1.75 goals on average for the season and 2.2 in the last 5. Clean sheets are uncommon (Qingdao 20% of matches without conceding, Tianjin 25%), and chance quality favors goals: attacking xG is 0.99 (Qingdao) and 1.05 (Tianjin), whereas xG against Tianjin is as high as 1.95 and the visitors average 4.0 shots on target vs 2.8 for the hosts. Season totals (Qingdao 6 scored/14 conceded vs Tianjin 13/14) and the league goals average of 2.94 point to matches with goals at both ends; given the low clean sheet percentages and Tianjin’s recent scoring form, the BTTS scenario is more likely. Recommend a BTTS - Yes bet with an estimated probability of 70% vs 30% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and statistical indicators, I expect a total around 2.64 goals: home xG 0.99 combined with opponents’ average xG conceded 1.95 yields ≈1.47 for Qingdao, while away xG 1.05 and home xG conceded 1.29 yield ≈1.17 for Tianjin. Season percentages show both teams frequently exceed 1.5 goals (Qingdao 80% and Tianjin 75%) and tend toward matches over 2.5 goals (Qingdao 60%, Tianjin 75%), which together with the league average of 2.94 supports an Over 2.5 scenario. In the last 5 matches Tianjin scored 11 goals (2.2 avg) with 0.94 average xG, whereas Qingdao scored 3 goals in their last 5 (0.6), indicating the visitors are the primary goal engine; additionally Tianjin records 4.0 shots on target vs 2.8 for the hosts and a higher conversion rate of 19% vs 14%. Given this, the 2.5 line and the Over side present the strongest signal: I forecast a 68% probability for Over 2.5 (Under 32%), with a high probability for Over 1.5 at 88% and a low probability for Over 3.5 at 31%, therefore I recommend playing Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back X/2 (draw at half-time, away win) because the home side drew in 5 of their last 5 matches and were level at the break in 80% of their games. Tianjin have won 50% of their matches this season and held a lead at the break in 50% of games, while their average xG is 1.05 versus the hosts’ 0.99, indicating greater offensive potential from the visitors. In second halves the hosts score at least once in 80% of matches and the visitors in 100% of cases, so decisive action after the break is common. The hosts average 0.4 goals by half-time and the visitors 0.75, and the lack of home wins in the last five fixtures limits the probability of scenarios ending in a home victory. Therefore the probability distribution favors X/2 (39%), followed by 2/2 (23%) and X/X (18%), with a low share for variants ending in a home win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qingdao Youth Island | Tianjin Teda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tianjin Teda is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Qingdao Youth Island · 1.6 pts / match - Tianjin Teda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tianjin Teda is 115% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Qingdao Youth Island · 1.44 goals / match - Tianjin Teda
Qingdao Youth Island scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Tianjin Teda keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Tianjin Teda scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Qingdao Youth Island keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qingdao Youth Island
Over / Under - Tianjin Teda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tianjin Teda is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Qingdao Youth Island · 1.56 pts / match - Tianjin Teda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qingdao Youth Island - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tianjin Teda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Qingdao Youth Island
Tianjin Teda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Qingdao Youth Island | Liga | Tianjin Teda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.22 | 2.94 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 25% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 67% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 88% | • 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Qingdao Youth Island 0 - 2 - 0 Tianjin Teda. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda?
The Chinese Super League match finished Qingdao Youth Island 1:1 Tianjin Teda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Qingdao Youth Island and Tianjin Teda?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Qingdao Youth Island won 0, Tianjin Teda won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda?
Qingdao Youth Island score 0.67 goals per game on average and Tianjin Teda 1.44. The Chinese Super League average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Qingdao Youth Island's matches and 56% of Tianjin Teda's.
What form are Qingdao Youth Island and Tianjin Teda in?
Over the last 5 games Qingdao Youth Island have a 0-5-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Tianjin Teda 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda?
The statistical background for Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.