Qingdao Youth Island vs Wuhan Three Towns: match statistics
Qingdao Youth Island vs Wuhan Three Towns: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Qingdao Youth Island played Wuhan Three Towns in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Qingdao Youth Island: 0-5-0, 1.00 points/match. Wuhan Three Towns: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Qingdao Youth Island scores 0.70 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Wuhan Three Towns scores 1.30 and concedes 2.10. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qingdao Youth Island 60%, Wuhan Three Towns 60%. Over 2.5: Qingdao Youth Island 20%, Wuhan Three Towns 60%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Wuhan Three Towns has higher xG: 1.16 vs 1.15. Qingdao Youth Island: 10.4 shots per match, Wuhan Three Towns: 10.0.
Match halves
Qingdao Youth Island: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.30. Wuhan Three Towns: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Qingdao Youth Island: 76-90+ (3 goals). Wuhan Three Towns: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). Wuhan concedes an average of 2.8 goals away, while Qingdao concede only 0.5 goals per home match and keep 50% clean sheets, giving the hosts a clear defensive edge. Offensively Qingdao score 0.75 goals at home with xG 1.27, 11 average shots and 3.75 shots on target, but a low conversion rate of 7% and only 1 win this season limit their attacking threat; visitors score 1.2 goals away with xG 1.02 and a 15% conversion. Form supports a cautious home approach: Qingdao are 0-5-0 in their last 5 (0 wins, 5 draws, 0 losses) and average 1.0 point per game, while Wuhan are 1-1-3 and 0.8 points per game. Considering the superior home defense (0.5 GA at home) versus the very poor away defense of the visitors (2.8 GA), I assign Qingdao 55% probability, draw 30%, and Wuhan 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS (both teams to score) because Wuhan has a season BTTS rate of 80% and no clean sheets on the road (0%), conceding an average of 2.8 goals per away match — a strong indicator that the hosts should find the net. Qingdao at home averages 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded, averages about 12 shots per game and has an xG of 1.29, showing it creates chances equivalent to xG 1.29. Wuhan, meanwhile, has xG for 1.02 and xG against 1.56 and a season average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded, meaning it both creates and gives up chances. In the last 5 matches Qingdao scored 3 and conceded 3 (0.6/0.6), while Wuhan scored 5 and conceded 10 (1.0/2.0), further confirming Wuhan's vulnerability to conceding. Overall, with seasonal BTTS 40% for Qingdao versus 80% for Wuhan and a league average BTTS of 57%, I assess BTTS 70% vs 30% and pick 'yes' as the strongest signal from the data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect Over 1.5 goals because calculated xG and shot conversion yield 1.43 goals for Qingdao and 1.22 for Wuhan, totaling 2.65 goals. Using a Poisson distribution with λ=2.65, the probability of at least 2 goals is ~74.2%, and at least 3 goals ~49.5% — therefore Over 1.5 is stronger than Over 2.5. Seasonal stats confirm this trend: the home side has Over 1.5 in 80% of matches, the away side in 100%, both teams have scored at least one goal in 100% of their season matches, and Wuhan concedes on average 2.8 goals per match (10 goals conceded in the last 5 matches, i.e. 2.0 per match). Qingdao averages 12 shots with 12% conversion (≈1.44 goals from conversion), Wuhan 8 shots with 15% conversion (≈1.20), which aligns with the xG calculation and increases the likelihood of additional goals. Therefore the best signal is Over 1.5; Over 2.5 is roughly 50/50, and Over 3.5 has relatively low chances (~28%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics clearly indicate that Qingdao holds the advantage at Half-Time and Full-Time: the home side led at the break in 40% of matches, whereas Wuhan led at the break in 0% of cases. Qingdao scores on average 0.6 goals by half-time versus 0.0 for the visitors, and the visitors concede on average 2.8 goals per match, which favors an HT/FT outcome in favor of the home team. After the break Wuhan are more active — they score on average 1.2 goals in the second half and their away second halves yield an average of 2.8 goals — this increases the chance of a turnaround, but on the road Wuhan have a 0% win rate and only 0.4 points per match, so recovering to win is unlikely. Additionally, Qingdao has higher xG (1.29 vs 1.02), a 40% full-time win rate and recently 5 draws in 5 matches, therefore the scenario of the home team leading at the break and holding on to win (1/1) is the strongest signal; I assign it a 36% probability, with 18% for 1/X and 14% for X/1 as alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qingdao Youth Island | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qingdao Youth Island is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Qingdao Youth Island · 0.8 pts / match - Wuhan Three Towns
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wuhan Three Towns is 86% better for: goals scored per match.
0.7 goals / match - Qingdao Youth Island · 1.3 goals / match - Wuhan Three Towns
Qingdao Youth Island is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Qingdao Youth Island · 2.1 goals / match - Wuhan Three Towns
Qingdao Youth Island scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Wuhan Three Towns keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
Wuhan Three Towns scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Qingdao Youth Island keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qingdao Youth Island
Over / Under - Wuhan Three Towns
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qingdao Youth Island is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Qingdao Youth Island · 0.9 pts / match - Wuhan Three Towns
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qingdao Youth Island - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wuhan Three Towns - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Qingdao Youth Island
Wuhan Three Towns
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Qingdao Youth Island | Liga | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 57% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Qingdao Youth Island 1 - 1 - 0 Wuhan Three Towns. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Qingdao Youth Island vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The Chinese Super League match finished Qingdao Youth Island 1:1 Wuhan Three Towns. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Qingdao Youth Island and Wuhan Three Towns?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Qingdao Youth Island won 1, Wuhan Three Towns won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Qingdao Youth Island vs Wuhan Three Towns?
Qingdao Youth Island score 0.70 goals per game on average and Wuhan Three Towns 1.30. The Chinese Super League average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Qingdao Youth Island's matches and 60% of Wuhan Three Towns's.
What form are Qingdao Youth Island and Wuhan Three Towns in?
Over the last 5 games Qingdao Youth Island have a 0-5-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Wuhan Three Towns 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qingdao Youth Island vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The statistical background for Qingdao Youth Island vs Wuhan Three Towns — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.