Qizilqum vs Dinamo Samarqand: match statistics
Qizilqum vs Dinamo Samarqand: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Qizilqum played Dinamo Samarqand in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 18 July 2026. Venue: Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Qizilqum: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Dinamo Samarqand: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Qizilqum scores 0.73 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Dinamo Samarqand scores 1.55 and concedes 1.91. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qizilqum 27%, Dinamo Samarqand 100%. Over 2.5: Qizilqum 36%, Dinamo Samarqand 91%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Dinamo Samarqand has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.18. Qizilqum: 9.9 shots per match, Dinamo Samarqand: 11.7.
Match halves
Qizilqum: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.36. Dinamo Samarqand: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Qizilqum: 31-45+ (3 goals). Dinamo Samarqand: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Forecast: Dinamo Samarqand to win. The visitors have a clear offensive edge — averaging 1.4 goals scored away versus Qizilqum’s 0.83 at home, and 4.8 shots on target per match compared to the hosts’ 2.5. The difference in chance quality is supported by xG 1.51 for Dinamo vs 1.17 for Qizilqum, and a higher conversion rate 13% vs 8% indicates greater finishing efficiency from the visitors. Conversely Dinamo’s defence is vulnerable (conceding 2.4 goals on average away), while Qizilqum concedes 1.67 at home, suggesting an open game with opportunities for both sides. In the last 5 matches Dinamo scored 12 goals and averages 1.4 points per game, while Qizilqum has 5 goals and 0.8 points; also considering Qizilqum fail to score in 50% of home matches while Dinamo have 0% away matches without a goal, I assess a 60% chance for the visitors to win, 25% for a draw and 15% for the home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 100% (Qizilqum 100% and Dinamo Samarqand 100%) with no clean sheets recorded (0% CS for both), which is the strongest signal for BTTS - Yes. Supporting factors include high over 2.5 rates: 83% for the home side and 100% for the away side, and combined average attacking xG of 1.44 + 1.51 = 2.95, suggesting roughly 3 expected goals in the match. Both teams register a similar number of on-target shots (4.5 vs 4.8) and concede a high total of goals season-to-date (1.5 + 2.4 = 3.9), increasing the likelihood that both sides will score. The only weakening signal is Qizilqum’s form over the last 5 matches with BTTS at 40% (2/5) and a lower average goals scored of 1.0 versus Dinamo’s 2.4, therefore I assign a high but not absolute probability of 88% for "yes" and 12% for "no".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a season Over 1.5 rate of 100% (home 100%, away 100%), which is a very strong signal for more than 1.5 goals. xG analysis shows about 1.40 expected goals for the home side (xG attack 1.44 vs Dinamo xG defense 1.36) and 1.46 for the visitors (xG attack 1.51 vs home xG defense 1.40), total ≈2.86. Season Over 2.5 percentages are 83% for Qizilqum and 100% for Dinamo (average 91.5%), but the surplus over the 2.5 threshold is moderate (~0.36 xG), so Over 2.5 is likely but less certain than Over 1.5. Additionally both teams have BTTS 100%, which increases the chance of a multi-goal game, therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 (Qizilqum leading at the break and ultimately winning), because the hosts led at the break in 3 of their matches to date (50%) and have a higher season points average: 1.33 points versus Dinamo’s 0.6. Qizilqum score an average of 1.67 goals per game compared to the visitors’ 1.4, while Dinamo concede 2.4 goals per game overall and on average 1.8 goals after the break, which increases the hosts’ chances of victory in the second half. Both teams have both scored and conceded in every match this season (100%), and the hosts have scored 12 goals before half-time versus the visitors’ 8, so goals before the break are likely. For this reason I assign 36% to 1/1 as the strongest scenario, with an additional 15% to a draw at half-time followed by a home win (X/1) and 10% to a turnaround after the break (2/1); smaller probabilities are allocated to draws at full-time and away wins.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qizilqum | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qizilqum is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Qizilqum · 0.8 pts / match - Dinamo Samarqand
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Samarqand is 112% better for: goals scored per match.
0.73 goals / match - Qizilqum · 1.55 goals / match - Dinamo Samarqand
Qizilqum is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Qizilqum · 1.91 goals / match - Dinamo Samarqand
Qizilqum scores in 45% of matches (5 of 11 matches), while Dinamo Samarqand keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 11 matches).
Dinamo Samarqand scores in 100% of matches (11 of 11 matches), while Qizilqum keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qizilqum
Over / Under - Dinamo Samarqand
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dinamo Samarqand is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Qizilqum · 1.64 pts / match - Dinamo Samarqand
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qizilqum - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dinamo Samarqand - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Qizilqum
Dinamo Samarqand
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Qizilqum | Liga | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.09 | 2.55 | ▲ 3.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 53% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 51% | ▲ 91% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 27% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Qizilqum 1 - 0 - 1 Dinamo Samarqand. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Qizilqum vs Dinamo Samarqand?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Qizilqum 1:2 Dinamo Samarqand. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Qizilqum and Dinamo Samarqand?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Qizilqum won 1, Dinamo Samarqand won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Qizilqum vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Qizilqum score 0.73 goals per game on average and Dinamo Samarqand 1.55. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Qizilqum's matches and 100% of Dinamo Samarqand's.
What form are Qizilqum and Dinamo Samarqand in?
Over the last 5 games Qizilqum have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Dinamo Samarqand 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qizilqum vs Dinamo Samarqand?
The statistical background for Qizilqum vs Dinamo Samarqand — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.