Uzbekistan - Uzbekistan Super LeagueData current as of 21 October 2026

Qizilqum vs Lokomotiv: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Qizilqum vs Lokomotiv: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Qizilqum play Lokomotiv in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 25 October 2026.

Current form

Qizilqum: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Lokomotiv: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Qizilqum scores 1.00 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Lokomotiv scores 1.63 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Qizilqum 33%, Lokomotiv 67%. Over 2.5: Qizilqum 42%, Lokomotiv 58%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Lokomotiv has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.21. Qizilqum: 9.7 shots per match, Lokomotiv: 12.7.

Match halves

Qizilqum: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.42. Lokomotiv: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.96.

Goals by minute

Qizilqum: 31-45+ (8 goals). Lokomotiv: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uzbekistan Super League: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match1.63
QizilqumLokomotiv
1.25Goals conceded / match1.25
QizilqumLokomotiv
39%Average possession54%
QizilqumLokomotiv
3.04Shots on target / match4.92
QizilqumLokomotiv

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.67Shots per match12.67
QizilqumLokomotiv
3.04Shots on target4.92
QizilqumLokomotiv
10.3%Shot conversion12.8%
QizilqumLokomotiv
39%Possession54%
QizilqumLokomotiv
1.21xG for1.63
QizilqumLokomotiv
1.46xG against1.4
QizilqumLokomotiv

Shooting quality

Qizilqum: BalancedLokomotiv: Balanced
QizilqumLokomotiv
Accuracy (shots on target)31%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Qizilqum is 25% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Qizilqum · 1.6 pts / match - Lokomotiv

Qizilqum
WLWDW
Season result split
42% W13% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-3-11
1.38 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-2-4
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Lokomotiv
DWLWD
Season result split
46% W25% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-7
1.63 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lokomotiv is 63% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Qizilqum · 1.63 goals / match - Lokomotiv

Qizilqum scoring profile: strong

Qizilqum scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Lokomotiv keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).

Lokomotiv scoring profile: very strong

Lokomotiv scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Qizilqum keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).

24Goals scored (season)39
QizilqumLokomotiv
30Goals conceded (season)30
QizilqumLokomotiv
2.25Average goals in match2.88
QizilqumLokomotiv
7Goals scored (last 5)7
QizilqumLokomotiv
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
QizilqumLokomotiv

How often they score at least...

58%1 goal79%
QizilqumLokomotiv
29%2 goals46%
QizilqumLokomotiv
13%3 goals33%
QizilqumLokomotiv
0%4 goals4%
QizilqumLokomotiv

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal79%
QizilqumLokomotiv
33%2 goals38%
QizilqumLokomotiv
13%3 goals8%
QizilqumLokomotiv
8%4 goals0%
QizilqumLokomotiv

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time25%
QizilqumLokomotiv
0%BTTS in both halves8%
QizilqumLokomotiv
17%Scored in both halves25%
QizilqumLokomotiv

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS54%
QizilqumLokomotiv
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
QizilqumLokomotiv
40%BTTS - last 540%
QizilqumLokomotiv

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
QizilqumLokomotiv
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
QizilqumLokomotiv
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
QizilqumLokomotiv

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
QizilqumLokomotiv
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
QizilqumLokomotiv
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
QizilqumLokomotiv

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Qizilqum - half-time state
29% leading42% draw29% trailing
Lokomotiv - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)1.25
QizilqumLokomotiv
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.67
QizilqumLokomotiv
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
QizilqumLokomotiv
1.04Average goals (1st half)1.29
QizilqumLokomotiv
58%Clean sheet before half-time54%
QizilqumLokomotiv
63%No goal before half-time54%
QizilqumLokomotiv

After half-time (2nd half)

1.04Points per match (2nd half)1.63
QizilqumLokomotiv
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.96
QizilqumLokomotiv
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
QizilqumLokomotiv
1.08Average goals (2nd half)1.58
QizilqumLokomotiv
54%Clean sheet after half-time54%
QizilqumLokomotiv
67%No goal after half-time42%
QizilqumLokomotiv

Qizilqum - second-half results

17% W54% D29% L
31
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding145%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Lokomotiv - second-half results

42% W38% D21% L
30
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding184%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Qizilqum - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Lokomotiv - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.00
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Qizilqum
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
2
6
16-30
8
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
8
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Lokomotiv
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
2
5
16-30
11
3
31-45
6
0
46-60
8
10
61-75
9
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-61%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Qizilqum

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.62
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Lokomotiv

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).

Teams vs league

QizilqumLigaLokomotiv
Average goals in match▼ 2.252.67▲ 2.88
Both teams scored▼ 33%55%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 42%54%▲ 58%
Clean sheets▲ 33%26%▼ 21%
Goal before half-time• 67%68%• 67%
Goal after half-time▼ 63%76%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Qizilqum 0 - 0 - 1 Lokomotiv. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Qizilqum and Lokomotiv play?

Qizilqum face Lokomotiv on 25 October 2026 in Uzbekistan Super League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Qizilqum vs Lokomotiv?

Qizilqum score 1.00 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv 1.63. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Qizilqum's matches and 67% of Lokomotiv's.

What form are Qizilqum and Lokomotiv in?

Over the last 5 games Qizilqum have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lokomotiv 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qizilqum vs Lokomotiv?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.