Qizilqum vs Termez Surkhon: match statistics
Qizilqum vs Termez Surkhon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Qizilqum played Termez Surkhon in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Qizilqum: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Termez Surkhon: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Qizilqum scores 1.05 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Termez Surkhon scores 0.86 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Qizilqum 36%, Termez Surkhon 45%. Over 2.5: Qizilqum 45%, Termez Surkhon 41%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Termez Surkhon has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.22. Qizilqum: 9.8 shots per match, Termez Surkhon: 11.1.
Match halves
Qizilqum: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.45. Termez Surkhon: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Qizilqum: 31-45+ (7 goals). Termez Surkhon: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Qizilqum have the home advantage, having won 55% of their matches at home, while Termez Surkhon have won 36% of their away games. The hosts average 1.36 goals per match at home compared with the visitors’ 0.91 away, and have scored 8 goals in their last five league matches, while their opponents have managed just 3. Qizilqum also have the edge over the last five meetings: 3 wins to Termez’s 2. However, the advantage is not decisive, as both teams create chances worth an average xG of 1.22 in their respective home and away matches, and the visitors have conceded only 3 goals in their last five league matches. Despite Termez’s defensive improvement, their away average of 1.36 goals conceded gives the hosts a genuine opportunity to make the most of their superior scoring rate.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
This season, both teams have scored in 45% of their matches, below the league average of 55%. The main obstacle to BTTS - Yes is Qizilqum’s lack of scoring efficiency: the hosts average 0.82 goals and have failed to score in 45% of their matches. Termez Surkhon also average less than one goal per game (0.91), and their average has fallen to 0.6 goals across their last 5 appearances, with both teams scoring in just 20% of those matches. Although Qizilqum have averaged 1.6 goals recently, the visitors have conceded only 0.6 goals per game over the same period. Therefore, BTTS - No is more likely, meaning at least one team will fail to score; this does not necessarily imply a 0-0 result.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: both teams have finished 82% of their league matches this way. Qizilqum average 0.82 goals scored, while Termez Surkhon average 0.91, limiting the likelihood of a high-scoring game despite average xG figures of 1.32 and 1.22, respectively. The hosts have averaged 1.6 goals per game across their last five matches, but the visitors have scored just 0.6 and conceded 0.6. In addition, Over 2.5 goals has landed in 45% of Qizilqum’s matches and 36% of Termez Surkhon’s matches this season, making the 3.5-goal line a clearer signal than lower lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Qizilqum leading at the break: the hosts led in 4 of 11 home matches, while Termez Surkhon were trailing in 6 of 11 away matches and never led. The visitors have yet to score before half-time away from home, whereas the hosts average 0.55 goals in the first half, supporting a home lead at the break. Holding that lead is supported by recent form: Qizilqum averaged 1.6 goals across their last five matches, compared with 0.6 for Termez. The risk of a turnaround remains significant, as the visitors average 0.91 goals after half-time away from home and the hosts concede 0.82 at home; nevertheless, 1/1 has the highest individual probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Qizilqum | Termez Surkhon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qizilqum is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Qizilqum · 1.6 pts / match - Termez Surkhon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qizilqum is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Qizilqum · 0.86 goals / match - Termez Surkhon
Termez Surkhon is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Qizilqum · 1.27 goals / match - Termez Surkhon
Qizilqum scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Termez Surkhon keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Termez Surkhon scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Qizilqum keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qizilqum
Over / Under - Termez Surkhon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qizilqum is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Qizilqum · 0.95 pts / match - Termez Surkhon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qizilqum - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Termez Surkhon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Qizilqum
Termez Surkhon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Qizilqum | Liga | Termez Surkhon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.70 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 55% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 55% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 26% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 77% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Qizilqum 2 - 1 - 0 Termez Surkhon. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Qizilqum vs Termez Surkhon?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Qizilqum 0:0 Termez Surkhon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Qizilqum and Termez Surkhon?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Qizilqum won 2, Termez Surkhon won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Qizilqum vs Termez Surkhon?
Qizilqum score 1.05 goals per game on average and Termez Surkhon 0.86. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Qizilqum's matches and 45% of Termez Surkhon's.
What form are Qizilqum and Termez Surkhon in?
Over the last 5 games Qizilqum have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Termez Surkhon 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qizilqum vs Termez Surkhon?
The statistical background for Qizilqum vs Termez Surkhon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.