Queen of the South vs Hamilton Academical: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Queen of the South play Hamilton Academical in League One (Scotland). The match date is 27 December 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

Queen of the South: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Hamilton Academical: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Queen of the South scores 1.61 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Hamilton Academical scores 1.47 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Queen of the South 58%, Hamilton Academical 42%. Over 2.5: Queen of the South 50%, Hamilton Academical 58%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Queen of the South has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.27. Queen of the South: 11.1 shots per match, Hamilton Academical: 9.7.

Match halves

Queen of the South: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.06. Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Queen of the South: 76-90+ (16 goals). Hamilton Academical: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

63Possession (%)37
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
20Shots7
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
10Shots on target1
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
2.48xG0.78
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
9Corners1
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
73Dangerous attacks36
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
5Fouls11
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
3Cards3
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
1.61Goals scored / match1.47
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
1.25Goals conceded / match1.19
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
52%Average possession47%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
4.78Shots on target / match4.58
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.14Shots per match9.67
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
4.78Shots on target4.58
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
14.5%Shot conversion15.2%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
52%Possession47%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
1.39xG for1.27
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
1.31xG against1.29
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

Shooting quality

Queen of the South: Efficient finishingHamilton Academical: Counter-attacking
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
Accuracy (shots on target)43%47%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Queen of the South
DWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
42% W31% R28% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-11-10
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-5-4
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LDWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Hamilton Academical
LWWWL
Season result split
44% W19% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-7-13
1.53 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-7
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Queen of the South is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

1.61 goals / match - Queen of the South · 1.47 goals / match - Hamilton Academical

Hamilton Academical is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.25 goals / match - Queen of the South · 1.19 goals / match - Hamilton Academical

Queen of the South scoring profile: strong

Queen of the South scores in 81% of matches (29 of 36 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).

Hamilton Academical scoring profile: very strong

Hamilton Academical scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).

58Goals scored (season)53
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
45Goals conceded (season)43
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
2.86Average goals in match2.67
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
10Goals scored (last 5)7
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal72%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
44%2 goals42%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
22%3 goals25%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
11%4 goals8%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal61%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
33%2 goals36%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
11%3 goals17%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
6%4 goals6%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
Queen of the South - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 36 matches
42%
Hamilton Academical - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 36 matches
50%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time17%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
3%BTTS in both halves6%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
31%Scored in both halves36%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
80%BTTS - last 540%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hamilton Academical is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Queen of the South · 1.56 pts / match - Hamilton Academical

Queen of the South - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Hamilton Academical - half-time state
39% leading39% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.56
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.69
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.19
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
53%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
56%No goal before half-time44%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

After half-time (2nd half)

1.64Points per match (2nd half)1.58
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
1.06Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
1.72Average goals (2nd half)1.47
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
42%Clean sheet after half-time53%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
33%No goal after half-time47%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

Queen of the South - second-half results

47% W22% R31% P
48
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
59
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hamilton Academical - second-half results

44% W25% R31% P
56
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
57
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Queen of the South - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.20
Goals scored / match0.21.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.62.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%100%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference-1+6
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Hamilton Academical - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.40
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Queen of the South
ScoredConceded
7
7
0-15
8
7
16-30
5
7
31-45
13
9
46-60
9
6
61-75
16
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Hamilton Academical
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
9
7
16-30
8
7
31-45
10
12
46-60
8
7
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.76
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+45%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Queen of the South

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Hamilton Academical

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Queen of the SouthLigaHamilton Academical
Average goals in match 2.862.62 2.67
Both teams scored 58%50% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%49% 58%
Clean sheets 25%28% 39%
Goal before half-time 78%73% 75%
Goal after half-time 94%83% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Queen of the South 2 - 0 - 1 Hamilton Academical. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Hamilton Academical FC
1 : 3
Queen of the South FC
Hamilton Academical FC
0 : 3
Queen of the South FC
Queen of the South FC
1 : 4
Hamilton Academical FC

FAQ

What was the result of Queen of the South vs Hamilton Academical?

The League One match finished Queen of the South 4:1 Hamilton Academical. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Queen of the South and Hamilton Academical?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 2, Hamilton Academical won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Queen of the South vs Hamilton Academical?

Queen of the South score 1.61 goals per game on average and Hamilton Academical 1.47. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Queen of the South's matches and 42% of Hamilton Academical's.

What form are Queen of the South and Hamilton Academical in?

Over the last 5 games Queen of the South have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Hamilton Academical 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Queen of the South vs Hamilton Academical?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.