Queen of the South vs Hamilton Academical: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Queen of the South played Hamilton Academical in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 27 December 2025. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

Queen of the South: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Hamilton Academical: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Queen of the South scores 1.28 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Hamilton Academical scores 1.72 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Queen of the South 33%, Hamilton Academical 39%. Over 2.5: Queen of the South 44%, Hamilton Academical 61%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Hamilton Academical has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.32. Queen of the South: 10.9 shots per match, Hamilton Academical: 10.2.

Match halves

Queen of the South: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.78. Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Queen of the South: 46-60 (6 goals). Hamilton Academical: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

63Possession (%)37
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
20Shots7
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
10Shots on target1
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
2.48xG0.78
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
9Corners1
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
73Dangerous attacks36
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
5Fouls11
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
3Cards3
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
1.28Goals scored / match1.72
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
1.17Goals conceded / match1
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
51%Average possession48%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
4.33Shots on target / match5.11
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.89Shots per match10.22
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
4.33Shots on target5.11
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
11.7%Shot conversion16.8%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
51%Possession48%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
1.32xG for1.37
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
1.41xG against1.18
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

Shooting quality

Queen of the South: BalancedHamilton Academical: Efficient finishing
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
Accuracy (shots on target)40%50%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Queen of the South is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Queen of the South · 1.4 pts / match - Hamilton Academical

Queen of the South
DLDWW
Season result split
44% W22% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-6
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-2
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Hamilton Academical
LWDLW
Season result split
50% W22% D28% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-5
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
WDLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hamilton Academical is 34% better for: goals scored per match.

1.28 goals / match - Queen of the South · 1.72 goals / match - Hamilton Academical

Hamilton Academical is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.17 goals / match - Queen of the South · 1 goals / match - Hamilton Academical

Queen of the South scoring profile: strong

Queen of the South scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).

Hamilton Academical scoring profile: strong

Hamilton Academical scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).

23Goals scored (season)31
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
21Goals conceded (season)18
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
2.44Average goals in match2.72
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
5Goals scored (last 5)5
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal72%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
33%2 goals50%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
17%3 goals33%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
6%4 goals17%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal56%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
33%2 goals28%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
17%3 goals11%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
11%4 goals6%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

33%
Queen of the South - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.6 of 18 matches
39%
Hamilton Academical - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 18 matches
42%
League average

Goal patterns

6%BTTS at half-time17%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
0%BTTS in both halves6%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
33%Scored in both halves50%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

BTTS and goal count

17%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
28%Min. 3 goals without BTTS28%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
40%BTTS - last 540%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hamilton Academical is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Queen of the South · 1.83 pts / match - Hamilton Academical

Queen of the South - half-time state
39% leading33% draw28% trailing
Hamilton Academical - half-time state
50% leading33% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.83
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.89
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
1Average goals (1st half)1.28
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
67%Clean sheet before half-time72%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
56%No goal before half-time33%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.67
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
1.44Average goals (2nd half)1.44
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
50%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical
39%No goal after half-time44%
Queen of the SouthHamilton Academical

Queen of the South - second-half results

44% W17% D39% L
27
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hamilton Academical - second-half results

44% W33% D22% L
33
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Queen of the South - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Hamilton Academical - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.60.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Queen of the South
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
4
2
16-30
2
4
31-45
6
4
46-60
3
5
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Hamilton Academical
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
7
3
16-30
5
3
31-45
5
6
46-60
6
5
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+55%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Queen of the South

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Hamilton Academical

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
145%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Queen of the SouthLigaHamilton Academical
Average goals in match 2.442.55 2.72
Both teams scored 33%42% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%52% 61%
Clean sheets 44%32% 44%
Goal before half-time 72%72% 78%
Goal after half-time 94%81% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
42%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.36
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Queen of the SouthGoalMatthew DouglasAssist: Kai Kennedy
  2. Hamilton AcademicalYellow cardCale Loughrey
  3. Queen of the SouthGoalMatthew Douglas
  4. Hamilton AcademicalGoalConnor Smith
  5. Queen of the SouthGoalMatthew Douglas
  6. Hamilton AcademicalYellow cardKevin O'Hara
  7. Hamilton AcademicalSubstitutionOn: Steven BradleyOff: Ewan Simpson
  8. Hamilton AcademicalSubstitutionOn: Dominic ShielsOff: Lee Kilday
  9. Queen of the SouthYellow cardJack Hannah
  10. Queen of the SouthSubstitutionOn: Jack StottOff: Kurtis Guthrie
  11. Hamilton AcademicalYellow cardSteven Hendrie
  12. Queen of the SouthYellow cardKai Kennedy
  13. Queen of the SouthGoalJack Stott
  14. Hamilton AcademicalSubstitutionOn: Finlay CameronOff: Scott Robinson
  15. Queen of the SouthYellow cardReece Lyon

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Queen of the South 1 - 0 - 1 Hamilton Academical. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Hamilton Academical FC
0 : 3
Queen of the South FC
Queen of the South FC
1 : 4
Hamilton Academical FC

FAQ

What was the result of Queen of the South vs Hamilton Academical?

The League One match finished Queen of the South 4:1 Hamilton Academical. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Queen of the South and Hamilton Academical?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 1, Hamilton Academical won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Queen of the South vs Hamilton Academical?

Queen of the South score 1.28 goals per game on average and Hamilton Academical 1.72. The League One average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Queen of the South's matches and 39% of Hamilton Academical's.

What form are Queen of the South and Hamilton Academical in?

Over the last 5 games Queen of the South have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Hamilton Academical 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Queen of the South vs Hamilton Academical?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.