Scotland - League OnePalmerston ParkData current as of 17 October 2026

Queen of the South vs Ross County: match statistics

Queen of the South vs Ross County: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Queen of the South played Ross County in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 17 October 2026. Venue: Palmerston Park. Final score: 1:7.

Current form

Queen of the South: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ross County: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Queen of the South scores 1.10 and concedes 2.70 goals per match. Ross County scores 3.44 and concedes 0.56. League average: 2.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Queen of the South 60%, Ross County 44%. Over 2.5: Queen of the South 60%, Ross County 78%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

Ross County has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.00. Queen of the South: 8.4 shots per match, Ross County: 13.3.

Match halves

Queen of the South: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.70. Ross County: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 2.22.

Goals by minute

Queen of the South: 76-90+ (4 goals). Ross County: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 8.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Ross County are favourites: they lead the table, are unbeaten in all 9 league matches and have won their last 5 games, while Queen of the South sit 6th and have won 3 of their last 5. Away from home, the visitors score an average of 2.6 goals per game, compared with the hosts’ 1.4 at home, and their shot conversion rate stands at 24% versus 14%. The defensive advantage is just as clear: Ross County concede an average of 0.6 goals away from home and keep a clean sheet in 60% of matches, whereas Queen of the South concede 1.6 goals at home and have yet to record a clean sheet. The quality of chances created also favours the visitors, whose away xG is 1.44 compared with the hosts’ 1.15 at home. Although the hosts have won their last 3 matches, Ross County’s away record — an 80% win rate and 0% losses — points to the visitors having the better chance.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal points to Queen of the South potentially failing to score: Ross County keep a clean sheet in 60% of matches, concede an average of 0.6 goals, and restrict opponents to an xG of 0.74. In their last 5 matches, the visitors conceded just 2 goals in total, while the hosts averaged an xG of 1.06 over that period. On the other hand, Ross County have recently scored an average of 6.0 goals per match, while Queen of the South have conceded 2.0, so an away goal seems likely. The risk to the BTTS - No pick is that both teams scored in 80% of the hosts’ last five matches; however, Ross County’s solid defence makes it slightly more likely that at least one side will fail to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of Queen of the South’s home matches and 80% of Ross County’s away matches. The visitors have won their last 5 matches, scoring 30 goals, while the hosts have conceded 10 over the same period. Ross County’s attacking edge is also reflected in their xG of 1.95 across their last 5 matches, compared with the 1.58 xG conceded by Queen of the South. The hosts could also find the net, although their xG over their last 5 matches is 1.06, and Ross County have conceded only 2 goals during that span. The projected total of 3.04 goals also supports the higher Over 2.5 line, but given the visitors’ solid defence, Over 1.5 offers a clearer edge.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Ross County were leading at half-time and won each of their last five matches, while Queen of the South won three, drew one and lost one over the same period. In those five games, the visitors averaged 2.4 first-half goals and did not concede before the break, supporting the case for them to lead at the break here as well. The signal that they will maintain their advantage is equally strong: Ross County won the second half in each of their last five matches, scoring an average of 3.6 goals after the break, compared with 1.2 for the hosts. However, the 2/2 HT/FT pick is not clear-cut, as Queen of the South have won all four of their home matches and average 2.09 xG, compared with the visitors' 1.44.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

-1Possession (%)-1
Queen of the SouthRoss County
-1Shots-1
Queen of the SouthRoss County
-1Shots on target-1
Queen of the SouthRoss County
0xG0
Queen of the SouthRoss County
-1Corners-1
Queen of the SouthRoss County
0Dangerous attacks0
Queen of the SouthRoss County
-1Fouls-1
Queen of the SouthRoss County
-1Cards-1
Queen of the SouthRoss County

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Queen of the SouthRoss County
1.1Goals scored / match3.44
Queen of the SouthRoss County
2.7Goals conceded / match0.56
Queen of the SouthRoss County
49%Average possession54%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
3.3Shots on target / match6.78
Queen of the SouthRoss County

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.4Shots per match13.33
Queen of the SouthRoss County
3.3Shots on target6.78
Queen of the SouthRoss County
13.1%Shot conversion25.8%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
49%Possession54%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
1xG for1.73
Queen of the SouthRoss County
1.72xG against0.75
Queen of the SouthRoss County

Shooting quality

Queen of the South: Efficient finishingRoss County: Efficient finishing
Queen of the SouthRoss County
Accuracy (shots on target)39%51%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.51

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ross County is 86% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Queen of the South · 2.6 pts / match - Ross County

Queen of the South
DLLWW
Season result split
30% W10% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 3.2xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Ross County
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
89% W11% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-0
2.78 pts / match · goal difference +26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-0
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 4.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 0.63BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ross County is 213% better for: goals scored per match.

1.1 goals / match - Queen of the South · 3.44 goals / match - Ross County

Ross County is 382% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.7 goals / match - Queen of the South · 0.56 goals / match - Ross County

Queen of the South scoring profile: mixed

Queen of the South scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Ross County keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).

Ross County scoring profile: very strong

Ross County scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

11Goals scored (season)31
Queen of the SouthRoss County
27Goals conceded (season)5
Queen of the SouthRoss County
3.8Average goals in match4
Queen of the SouthRoss County
7Goals scored (last 5)21
Queen of the SouthRoss County
16Goals conceded (last 5)3
Queen of the SouthRoss County

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal100%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
20%2 goals89%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
10%3 goals56%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
10%4 goals44%
Queen of the SouthRoss County

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal44%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
60%2 goals11%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
40%3 goals0%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
30%4 goals0%
Queen of the SouthRoss County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
Queen of the South - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.6 of 10 matches
45%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time11%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
10%Scored in both halves78%
Queen of the SouthRoss County

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
60%BTTS - last 540%
Queen of the SouthRoss County

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Queen of the SouthRoss County

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
70%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time44%
Queen of the SouthRoss County

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ross County is 288% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.6 pts / match - Queen of the South · 2.33 pts / match - Ross County

Queen of the South - half-time state
10% leading30% draw60% trailing
Ross County - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.6Points per match (1st half)2.33
Queen of the SouthRoss County
0.4Goals scored (1st half)1.22
Queen of the SouthRoss County
1.1Goals conceded (1st half)0.11
Queen of the SouthRoss County
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.33
Queen of the SouthRoss County
40%Clean sheet before half-time89%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
70%No goal before half-time22%
Queen of the SouthRoss County

After half-time (2nd half)

0.9Points per match (2nd half)2.56
Queen of the SouthRoss County
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)2.22
Queen of the SouthRoss County
1.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
Queen of the SouthRoss County
2.3Average goals (2nd half)2.67
Queen of the SouthRoss County
30%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Queen of the SouthRoss County
50%No goal after half-time0%
Queen of the SouthRoss County

Queen of the South - second-half results

20% W30% D50% L
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ross County - second-half results

78% W22% D0% L
21
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 89%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Queen of the South - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.02.2
Average goals in match1.63.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-7
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Ross County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.602.60
Goals scored / match1.42.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match1.43.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+7+11
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Queen of the South
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
2
2
16-30
0
5
31-45
2
7
46-60
1
6
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Ross County
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
4
0
16-30
4
1
31-45
6
2
46-60
7
0
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 3.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
139%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+105%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Queen of the South

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.72
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.88
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.98
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
68%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
229%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Ross County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.98
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.90
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.71
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
292%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
35%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Queen of the SouthLigaRoss County
Average goals in match▲ 3.802.80▲ 4.00
Both teams scored▲ 60%45%• 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 60%59%▲ 78%
Clean sheets▼ 10%32%▲ 56%
Goal before half-time▲ 70%67%▲ 78%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%80%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.80
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Queen of the South 0 - 0 - 1 Ross County. Average goals 8.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Queen of the South vs Ross County?

The League One match finished Queen of the South 1:7 Ross County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Queen of the South vs Ross County?

Queen of the South score 1.10 goals per game on average and Ross County 3.44. The League One average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Queen of the South's matches and 44% of Ross County's.

What form are Queen of the South and Ross County in?

Over the last 5 games Queen of the South have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ross County 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Queen of the South vs Ross County?

The statistical background for Queen of the South vs Ross County — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.