Queen's Park vs Greenock Morton: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams, favoring a draw. Queen's Park displays poor home form with only 18% wins and a high draw rate (45%) at their home ground, confirmed by a streak of 11 consecutive home matches without a victory. Greenock Morton exhibits an even greater tendency for draws away (50%), which is the highest rate in their statistics. Both teams have a negative goal difference in their matches (Queen's Park -3, Morton -4) as well as similar issues in offensive efficiency – the hosts average only 0.82 goals per home match, while the visitors score 1.08 goals per away game. The recent form of both sides is comparable (Queen's Park: 1.4 PPG, Morton: 1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), and the xG difference is minimal, further supporting the prediction of a drawn outcome.
Queen's Park vs Greenock Morton: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Queen's Park played Greenock Morton in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Queen's Park: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Greenock Morton: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Queen's Park scores 1.04 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Greenock Morton scores 1.00 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Queen's Park 61%, Greenock Morton 52%. Over 2.5: Queen's Park 52%, Greenock Morton 32%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Greenock Morton has higher xG: 1.13 vs 1.00. Queen's Park: 7.8 shots per match, Greenock Morton: 8.9.
Match halves
Queen's Park: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.52. Greenock Morton: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Queen's Park: 31-45+ (8 goals). Greenock Morton: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams, favoring a draw. Queen's Park displays poor home form with only 18% wins and a high draw rate (45%) at their home ground, confirmed by a streak of 11 consecutive home matches without a victory. Greenock Morton exhibits an even greater tendency for draws away (50%), which is the highest rate in their statistics. Both teams have a negative goal difference in their matches (Queen's Park -3, Morton -4) as well as similar issues in offensive efficiency – the hosts average only 0.82 goals per home match, while the visitors score 1.08 goals per away game. The recent form of both sides is comparable (Queen's Park: 1.4 PPG, Morton: 1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), and the xG difference is minimal, further supporting the prediction of a drawn outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Queen's Park | Greenock Morton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Greenock Morton is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Queen's Park · 1.6 pts / match - Greenock Morton
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Greenock Morton is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Queen's Park · 1.16 goals / match - Greenock Morton
Queen's Park scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Greenock Morton keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
Greenock Morton scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Queen's Park keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Queen's Park
Over / Under - Greenock Morton
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Greenock Morton is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Queen's Park · 1.44 pts / match - Greenock Morton
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Queen's Park - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 22%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Greenock Morton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 24%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Queen's Park
Greenock Morton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Queen's Park | Liga | Greenock Morton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.57 | 2.42 | ▼ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 49% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 44% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 32% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 69% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 70% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Queen's Park 0 - 1 - 1 Greenock Morton. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Queen's Park vs Greenock Morton?
The Championship match finished Queen's Park 3:2 Greenock Morton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Queen's Park and Greenock Morton?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Queen's Park won 0, Greenock Morton won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Queen's Park vs Greenock Morton?
Queen's Park score 1.04 goals per game on average and Greenock Morton 1.00. The Championship average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Queen's Park's matches and 52% of Greenock Morton's.
What form are Queen's Park and Greenock Morton in?
Over the last 5 games Queen's Park have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Greenock Morton 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Queen's Park vs Greenock Morton?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Queen's Park vs Greenock Morton: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.