Queen's Park vs Inverness CT: match statistics

Inverness CT are more likely to win: they have picked up 7 points in their last 5 matches, compared with just 4 for Queen's Park. The visitors average 1.5 goals per away match, while the hosts manage just 0.75 at home and have failed to score in half of those games. The quality of chances also favours Inverness, whose away xG stands at 1.18, compared with Queen's Park's 1.00 at home. The hosts have lost 3 of their 4 home matches and concede an average of 1.75 goals in them, although Inverness's 2 draws in 4 away games mean a share of the points remains a realistic outcome.

It is more likely that at least one team will fail to score, primarily because of Queen's Park's poor finishing. The hosts average 0.75 goals per match and have failed to score in 50% of their games, while Inverness CT average 1.5 goals and have drawn a blank in 25% of matches. The attacking gap has also been clear over their last five outings: Queen's Park averaged 0.6 goals, compared with 1.6 for the visitors. The case for BTTS - Yes is supported by the fact that Inverness CT concede an average of 1.5 goals, but BTTS has landed in only 25% of the hosts' matches, compared with 36% across the league. Therefore, despite the visitors' attacking threat, Queen's Park failing to score remains the main risk to BTTS.

In the teams’ matches to date, at least 2 goals have been scored in 75% of cases, providing the strongest signal for Over 1.5 goals. Inverness average 1.5 goals per match, while Queen's Park score 0.75, but have conceded an average of 1.4 goals across their last 5 games. On the other hand, all of Queen's Park’s matches to date have finished Under 2.5 goals, and the league average is 2.02 goals, making higher goal lines less convincing. The 2.3-goal forecast accounts for both the visitors’ attacking potential and the more cautious pattern in the hosts’ matches; Over 1.5 goals is the preferred play.

In their last five matches, Queen's Park have yet to lead at the break and were trailing at half-time in three of those five games, while Inverness led in two. During this run, the hosts averaged just 0.2 goals before half-time and conceded 1.2, pointing to a greater chance of the visitors taking an early lead. Inverness have recently scored 1.6 goals per match compared with Queen's Park's 0.6, and averaged 1.0 goals after the break against the hosts' 0.4, giving them a case for maintaining their advantage until the final whistle. The forecast is tempered by the hosts' higher xG, at 1.29 compared with the visitors' 1.18, but given both teams' current scoring form, Inverness to lead at half-time and win remains the most likely HT/FT outcome.