Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County: match statistics
Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Queens Park Rangers played Derby County in Championship (England). The match was played on 14 October 2026. Venue: MATRADE Loftus Road. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Queens Park Rangers: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Derby County: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Queens Park Rangers scores 1.22 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Derby County scores 0.89 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Queens Park Rangers 67%, Derby County 56%. Over 2.5: Queens Park Rangers 44%, Derby County 56%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Queens Park Rangers has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.42. Queens Park Rangers: 16.1 shots per match, Derby County: 12.0.
Match halves
Queens Park Rangers: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.56. Derby County: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Queens Park Rangers: 31-45+ (5 goals). Derby County: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Queens Park Rangers are 6th, while Derby County sit 22nd. However, the hosts have failed to win any of their last 5 matches, drawing 4 of them. QPR create significantly more chances at home, averaging 21.75 shots per match compared with Derby’s 11 away from home, while their xG stands at 2.27 against 1.22 for their opponents. The hosts’ main problem is finishing: despite this advantage, they average just 1 goal at home and have failed to score in half of those matches. Derby also average 1 goal away from home, but concede 1.5 per match compared with QPR’s 1 at home. The greater volume of chances and more solid defence point to QPR, although their run of draws means a share of the points remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have scored in 50% of their matches this season, but Queens Park Rangers have failed to score in 50% of their games, compared with 25% for Derby County. In their last 5 matches, each side averaged just 0.8 goals, increasing the risk that at least one will fail to find the net in this match. The xG figures of 1.64 for the home side and 1.22 for the visitors, along with the fact that Queens Park Rangers are yet to keep a clean sheet, point towards goals. Despite these attacking prospects, the low scoring rate reflected in their recent results gives a slight edge to BTTS - No: at least one team is expected not to score, rather than both teams finding the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line was not breached in any of Derby’s matches in the sample, and held in 75% of Queens Park Rangers’ matches. Over their last five games, both teams averaged 0.8 goals scored, while their matches went Over 2.5 goals in 20% and 40% of cases, respectively. Their attacking potential is higher than the results suggest, with average xG of 1.64 for the hosts and 1.22 for the visitors, so 2 or 3 goals remain realistic. However, the projected total of 2.36 goals suggests that reaching 4 would require significantly more clinical finishing than in recent matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest first-half signal is that Queens Park Rangers were trailing at half-time in 3 of their 4 matches and did not lead at the break in any of them, while Derby led in 2 of 4. The hosts concede an average of 1.5 goals before half-time, compared with 0.5 for the visitors, which points to a Derby lead at the break. Derby are slightly more likely to hold on to that result than QPR are to turn the game around: the hosts have won none of their 4 matches and average just 0.25 goals after the break. However, the 2/2 HT/FT pick is not a strong conviction, as QPR have a higher average attacking xG (1.64 versus Derby’s 1.22), and 4 of their last 5 matches ended in draws. Therefore, 2/X and X/X remain viable alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Queens Park Rangers | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Queens Park Rangers is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Queens Park Rangers · 0.4 pts / match - Derby County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Queens Park Rangers is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Queens Park Rangers · 0.89 goals / match - Derby County
Queens Park Rangers is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Queens Park Rangers · 1.67 goals / match - Derby County
Queens Park Rangers scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
Derby County scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Queens Park Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Queens Park Rangers
Over / Under - Derby County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Queens Park Rangers is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Queens Park Rangers · 1.11 pts / match - Derby County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Queens Park Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Queens Park Rangers
Derby County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Queens Park Rangers | Liga | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | • 67% | 66% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 63% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 22% | 20% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Queens Park Rangers 0 - 0 - 2 Derby County. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County?
The Championship match finished Queens Park Rangers 4:1 Derby County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Queens Park Rangers and Derby County?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Queens Park Rangers won 0, Derby County won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County?
Queens Park Rangers score 1.22 goals per game on average and Derby County 0.89. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Queens Park Rangers's matches and 56% of Derby County's.
What form are Queens Park Rangers and Derby County in?
Over the last 5 games Queens Park Rangers have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Derby County 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.