Querétaro vs Tigres UANL: match statistics
Querétaro vs Tigres UANL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Querétaro played Tigres UANL in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 1 August 2026. Venue: Estadio La Corregidora. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Querétaro: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Tigres UANL: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Querétaro scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Tigres UANL scores 1.50 and concedes 2.50. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Querétaro 50%, Tigres UANL 100%. Over 2.5: Querétaro 50%, Tigres UANL 100%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Querétaro has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.34. Querétaro: 14.0 shots per match, Tigres UANL: 12.5.
Match halves
Querétaro: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Tigres UANL: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Querétaro: 46-60 (1 goals). Tigres UANL: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Tigres win (2) because the visitors have the edge in chance quality and finishing — on average 4 shots on target away with a conversion around 13%, compared to 2 shots on target and 0% conversion for Querétaro at home. The hosts do not score at home (average 0 goals per match and 100% of home games without a goal), despite averaging 10 shots and generating xG of 1.06, indicating serious finishing issues. Tigres score on average 1 goal away (xG 1.06), but their defense is vulnerable — they concede an average of 3 goals away and have shipped 8 goals in the last 5 matches, so the game could be open. The xG comparison (1.06 vs 1.06) suggests both teams create a similar number of quality chances, but Tigres convert them better (13% vs 0%), which determines the visitors’ advantage. Based on this, I assess the probabilities as: Tigres win 55%, draw 25%, Querétaro win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 100.0% (Querétaro 100.0% and Tigres 100.0%), and in the last 5 matches BTTS percentages are 80.0% for Querétaro and 60.0% for Tigres, providing a very strong historical signal for both teams to score. Neither side has a clean sheet this season (0.0%), and average goals conceded are 2.0 for Querétaro and 3.0 for Tigres, so both regularly concede. xG confirms Querétaro generates 1.62 xG with 1.26 xG against, while Tigres generates 1.06 xG with 1.62 xG against, suggesting both teams both create and allow scoring opportunities. Additionally, both teams have 100.0% of matches with over 2.5 goals and BTTS this season, and the league BTTS is 61.0%, therefore the strongest signal from the data favors BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects a total of 2.78 goals (1.62 for Querétaro and 1.16 for Tigres), which is 0.28 goals above the 2.5 line, favoring the Over option. Querétaro averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, Tigres 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded, and both teams have had 100% of matches this season with both sides scoring, indicating high bilateral scoring potential. Season-long metrics show 100% of matches over 1.5 and 2.5 for both teams, but in the last 5 fixtures the share of games over 2.5 has dropped to 40% for each side, so confidence on 2.5 is moderate. Additionally, xG and shooting activity confirm offensive pressure: xG_for 1.62 vs 1.06 and average shots 17.0 (Querétaro) versus 8.0 (Tigres). The strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (high probability 92%), therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the best line, while Over 2.5 remains a good but less certain option (≈68%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a draw at half-time: the home side had 100% of available matches level at the break, and in the last five away matches the visitors were level at half-time in 80% of cases (drawingAtHTPercentage_home: 100.0; last5_drawingAtHTPercentage_overall_away: 80.0). Querétaro posts a higher xG of 1.62 versus 1.06 and better recent points form of 1.6 compared to 1.0 over the last five games, giving them the edge for the final result. Tigres concede an average of 3.0 goals per match versus 2.0 for the hosts and are additionally more vulnerable after the break (conceded_2hg_avg_away: 2.0), so I expect the half-time deadlock to be broken in the second half in favour of the home side. Both teams have recorded BTTS in 100% of their season fixtures (seasonBTTSPercentage_home: 100.0; seasonBTTSPercentage_away: 100.0) and therefore the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time with a home win after 90 minutes (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Querétaro | Tigres UANL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Querétaro is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / match - Querétaro · 0.5 pts / match - Tigres UANL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tigres UANL is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Querétaro · 1.5 goals / match - Tigres UANL
Querétaro is 150% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Querétaro · 2.5 goals / match - Tigres UANL
Querétaro scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Tigres UANL keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Tigres UANL scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Querétaro keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Querétaro
Over / Under — Tigres UANL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Querétaro - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tigres UANL - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Querétaro
Tigres UANL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Querétaro | Liga | Tigres UANL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.76 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 21% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 90% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- QuerétaroYellow cardJuan Martínez Jr.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Querétaro 0 - 1 - 1 Tigres UANL. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Querétaro vs Tigres UANL?
The Liga MX match finished Querétaro 3:2 Tigres UANL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Querétaro and Tigres UANL?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Querétaro won 0, Tigres UANL won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Querétaro vs Tigres UANL?
Querétaro score 1.00 goals per game on average and Tigres UANL 1.50. The Liga MX average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Querétaro's matches and 100% of Tigres UANL's.
What form are Querétaro and Tigres UANL in?
Over the last 5 games Querétaro have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Tigres UANL 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Querétaro vs Tigres UANL?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.