Quevilly Rouen vs Valenciennes: match statistics
Quevilly Rouen vs Valenciennes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Quevilly Rouen played Valenciennes in National (France). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Quevilly Rouen: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Valenciennes: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Quevilly Rouen scores 0.88 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Valenciennes scores 1.16 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Quevilly Rouen 56%, Valenciennes 60%. Over 2.5: Quevilly Rouen 52%, Valenciennes 52%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Valenciennes has higher xG: 1.47 vs 0.97. Quevilly Rouen: 7.2 shots per match, Valenciennes: 12.0.
Match halves
Quevilly Rouen: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.36. Valenciennes: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Quevilly Rouen: 16-30 (7 goals). Valenciennes: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Valenciennes are the favourites for this fixture: in their last 5 matches they have 3 wins and 2 draws (average 2.2 points per game), while Quevilly have failed to win in that period (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses; average 0.4 points). The visitors create significantly more chances - on the road they average 9.25 shots and 3.92 shots on target per match versus 6.58 and 2.5 for the hosts, and their away xG is 1.18 compared to the hosts' 0.96 xG at home, indicating an advantage in chance quality. Valenciennes have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches with 25% of matches without scoring, while Quevilly have 5 goals in their last 5 and 33% of matches without a goal, which further supports the visitors. The only slight edge for Quevilly is a marginally lower average goals conceded at home (1.42 vs 1.50), but the difference is minimal, and the visitors have a higher clean sheet percentage (17% vs 8%), giving them greater defensive stability.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS (Both Teams To Score) looks more likely: Valenciennes has BTTS in 75% of matches this season and 80% in the last 5, while Quevilly has 46% this season and 60% in the last five. Both sides tend to concede: Quevilly has conceded on average 1.8 goals per match in the last 5 and has 31% clean sheets this season, whereas Valenciennes has only 17% clean sheets and concedes 1.5 goals season-to-date. Combined xG for both teams is 1.76 + 1.18 = 2.94, clearly above the league average of 2.38, and Quevilly averages 5.77 shots on target versus 3.92 for Valenciennes, so there will be plenty of scoring opportunities for both sides. Offensively Valenciennes scored 1.6 goals in the last 5 matches and has 29 goals this season with 12% conversion, while Quevilly has 22 goals this season with 8% conversion—meaning Valenciennes is more efficient but Quevilly creates chances. Based on this I estimate BTTS probability at 70% vs 30% and select BTTS - Yes as the strongest signal, driven by Valenciennes’ dominant stats (75% season/80% last 5), low clean sheet rates for both teams and combined xG of 2.94.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.53 xG for Quevilly Rouen (attack xG 1.76 vs conceded xG 1.30) and 1.16 xG for Valenciennes (attack xG 1.18 vs conceded xG 1.13), totaling 2.69 expected goals. Under a Poisson distribution this implies roughly a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals, about 51% for Over 2.5 and around 28% for Over 3.5, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. Additionally, Quevilly averages 14.62 shots with 5.77 on target, while Valenciennes averages 9.25 shots with 3.92 on target; season-to-date percentages of matches over 1.5 are 69% for Quevilly and 83% for Valenciennes, confirming a tendency toward at least 2 goals. Given the projected 2.69 goals versus the league average of 2.38, I recommend backing the Over side at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is X/2 (draw at Half-Time, Valenciennes win Full-Time): although Quevilly generates more xG (1.76 vs 1.18) and more shots per match (14.62 vs 9.25), the home side are without a win in their last 5 fixtures (0% wins), while Valenciennes have won 60% of their last 5 (3 of 5). Draws at the break are common — in the last 5 matches a Half-Time draw occurred in 40% of Quevilly’s games and 60% of Valenciennes’ games, and seasonally Quevilly lead at the break in 31% of matches versus 8% for the visitors, which suggests an evenly contested first half with a bias toward a draw. Valenciennes have the edge after the break: the visitors win second halves in 50% of matches versus 38% for the home side, and over the last 5 matches the average second-half points are 1.6 for Valenciennes vs 1.0 for Quevilly, increasing the likelihood of a turnaround. Additionally, the visitors score more late goals (7 goals in minutes 76–90 vs 5 for Quevilly) and their matches show a 75% rate of both teams scoring, so the scenario of a level first half followed by a Valenciennes victory is consistent with the data. Considering the higher xG for the home team (1.76) but their poor form (0% in the last 5), combined with Valenciennes’ stronger second-half performance and efficiency (50% second-half wins and 60% overall wins in the last 5), I rate X/2 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Quevilly Rouen | Valenciennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Valenciennes is 450% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Quevilly Rouen · 2.2 pts / match - Valenciennes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valenciennes is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Quevilly Rouen · 1.16 goals / match - Valenciennes
Valenciennes is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Quevilly Rouen · 1.28 goals / match - Valenciennes
Quevilly Rouen scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Valenciennes keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
Valenciennes scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Quevilly Rouen keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Quevilly Rouen
Over / Under - Valenciennes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Quevilly Rouen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 16%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Valenciennes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Quevilly Rouen
Valenciennes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Quevilly Rouen | Liga | Valenciennes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.36 | 2.39 | • 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 70% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 72% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Quevilly Rouen 0 - 0 - 1 Valenciennes. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Quevilly Rouen vs Valenciennes?
The National match finished Quevilly Rouen 3:2 Valenciennes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Quevilly Rouen vs Valenciennes?
Quevilly Rouen score 0.88 goals per game on average and Valenciennes 1.16. The National average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Quevilly Rouen's matches and 60% of Valenciennes's.
What form are Quevilly Rouen and Valenciennes in?
Over the last 5 games Quevilly Rouen have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Valenciennes 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Quevilly Rouen vs Valenciennes?
The statistical background for Quevilly Rouen vs Valenciennes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.