Argentina - Prim B NacionalEstadio CentenarioData current as of 05 August 2026

Quilmes vs Almagro: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Quilmes vs Almagro: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Quilmes play Almagro in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 8 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Centenario.

Current form

Quilmes: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Almagro: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Quilmes scores 0.95 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Almagro scores 0.91 and concedes 1.09. League average: 1.92 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Quilmes 27%, Almagro 36%. Over 2.5: Quilmes 36%, Almagro 27%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 32%.

xG, shots and style

Quilmes has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.10. Quilmes: 11.1 shots per match, Almagro: 8.6.

Match halves

Quilmes: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.55. Almagro: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

Quilmes: 31-45+ (5 goals). Almagro: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prim B Nacional: 1.92 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 32%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.64)
(3.35)
(5.50)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.95Goals scored / match0.91
QuilmesAlmagro
0.91Goals conceded / match1.09
QuilmesAlmagro
47%Average possession45%
QuilmesAlmagro
3.45Shots on target / match2.77
QuilmesAlmagro

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.14Shots per match8.59
QuilmesAlmagro
3.45Shots on target2.77
QuilmesAlmagro
8.6%Shot conversion10.6%
QuilmesAlmagro
47%Possession45%
QuilmesAlmagro
1.4xG for1.1
QuilmesAlmagro
1.29xG against1.63
QuilmesAlmagro

Shooting quality

Quilmes: BalancedAlmagro: Balanced
QuilmesAlmagro
Accuracy (shots on target)31%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Almagro is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Quilmes · 2 pts / match - Almagro

Quilmes
LWLLD
Season result split
27% W32% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-7-9
1.14 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Almagro
WWLWD
Season result split
36% W23% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-9
1.32 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-6
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Quilmes is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.91 goals / match - Quilmes · 1.09 goals / match - Almagro

Quilmes scoring profile: mixed

Quilmes scores in 45% of matches (10 of 22 matches), while Almagro keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).

Almagro scoring profile: mixed

Almagro scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Quilmes keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).

21Goals scored (season)20
QuilmesAlmagro
20Goals conceded (season)24
QuilmesAlmagro
1.86Average goals in match2
QuilmesAlmagro
6Goals scored (last 5)7
QuilmesAlmagro
9Goals conceded (last 5)5
QuilmesAlmagro

How often they score at least...

45%1 goal59%
QuilmesAlmagro
32%2 goals27%
QuilmesAlmagro
18%3 goals5%
QuilmesAlmagro
0%4 goals0%
QuilmesAlmagro

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal68%
QuilmesAlmagro
18%2 goals18%
QuilmesAlmagro
14%3 goals9%
QuilmesAlmagro
0%4 goals5%
QuilmesAlmagro

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time5%
QuilmesAlmagro
5%BTTS in both halves0%
QuilmesAlmagro
27%Scored in both halves5%
QuilmesAlmagro

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS23%
QuilmesAlmagro
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
QuilmesAlmagro
60%BTTS - last 540%
QuilmesAlmagro

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time45%
QuilmesAlmagro
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
QuilmesAlmagro
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
QuilmesAlmagro

2nd half

59%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
QuilmesAlmagro
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
QuilmesAlmagro
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
QuilmesAlmagro

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Quilmes is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Quilmes · 0.95 pts / match - Almagro

Quilmes - half-time state
23% leading50% draw27% trailing
Almagro - half-time state
14% leading55% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)0.95
QuilmesAlmagro
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.27
QuilmesAlmagro
0.41Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
QuilmesAlmagro
0.82Average goals (1st half)0.77
QuilmesAlmagro
73%Clean sheet before half-time64%
QuilmesAlmagro
68%No goal before half-time86%
QuilmesAlmagro

After half-time (2nd half)

1.27Points per match (2nd half)1.41
QuilmesAlmagro
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
QuilmesAlmagro
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
QuilmesAlmagro
1.05Average goals (2nd half)1.23
QuilmesAlmagro
59%Clean sheet after half-time59%
QuilmesAlmagro
59%No goal after half-time50%
QuilmesAlmagro

Quilmes - second-half results

27% W45% R27% P
26
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Almagro - second-half results

36% W32% R32% P
21
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding257%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Quilmes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Almagro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Quilmes
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
2
3
16-30
5
0
31-45
3
4
46-60
5
1
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Almagro
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
4
16-30
2
6
31-45
5
5
46-60
3
3
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.93
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
32%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+4%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
27%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
23%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Quilmes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Almagro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.68
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).

Teams vs league

QuilmesLigaAlmagro
Average goals in match 1.861.92 2.00
Both teams scored 27%41% 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%32% 27%
Clean sheets 41%38% 32%
Goal before half-time 50%55% 45%
Goal after half-time 59%70% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.92
Average goals per match
41%
Both teams scored
32%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.15
Home goals / match
0.77
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
55%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Quilmes 0 - 1 - 2 Almagro. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Almagro
1 : 0
Quilmes
Club Almagro
2 : 2
Quilmes AC
Quilmes AC
0 : 1
Club Almagro

FAQ

When do Quilmes and Almagro play?

Quilmes face Almagro on 8 August 2026 in Prim B Nacional at Estadio Centenario. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Quilmes and Almagro?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 0, Almagro won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Quilmes vs Almagro?

Quilmes score 0.95 goals per game on average and Almagro 0.91. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Quilmes's matches and 36% of Almagro's.

What form are Quilmes and Almagro in?

Over the last 5 games Quilmes have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Almagro 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Quilmes vs Almagro?

The statistical background for Quilmes vs Almagro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.