Quilmes vs Tristán Suárez: match statistics
Quilmes vs Tristán Suárez: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Quilmes played Tristán Suárez in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Venue: Estadio Centenario Dr. José Luis Meiszner. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Quilmes: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Tristán Suárez: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Quilmes scores 1.00 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Tristán Suárez scores 1.08 and concedes 0.75. League average: 1.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Quilmes 25%, Tristán Suárez 42%. Over 2.5: Quilmes 42%, Tristán Suárez 42%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Quilmes has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.28. Quilmes: 10.0 shots per match, Tristán Suárez: 10.4.
Match halves
Quilmes: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Tristán Suárez: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Quilmes: 31-45+ (3 goals). Tristán Suárez: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.91 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1) due to their very strong home defense: Quilmes concedes only 0.2 goals per game on average and has 80% clean sheets and 0% losses at the stadium (40% wins, 60% draws). Tristán Suárez creates more clear chances away (3.6 shots on target vs 2.6 for Quilmes) and has an average xG of 1.15 per game versus the home side’s xG 1.2, but the visitors’ finishing rate is 10% compared to Quilmes’ 11%, so the actual attacking edge is marginal. In the last five matches both teams scored 4 goals each, but Quilmes conceded 6 goals versus 7 for Tristán, and Quilmes’ home record dwwdd (2 wins, 3 draws) indicates greater stability at home. Quilmes nevertheless has a high share of home matches without scoring (60%), while Tristán failed to score in 40% of away games, suggesting a potentially low final score. Based on this I assess probabilities: home 50%, draw 30%, away 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Tristán Suárez has kept a clean sheet in 80% of matches this season and failed to score in 40% of fixtures, while Quilmes has a season BTTS rate of 57% and averages 1.29 goals per game. Quilmes records 1.37 xG per game versus 1.62 xG conceded by Suárez, yet Suárez actually concedes only 0.6 goals per game on average this season, indicating shot-stopping/defensive efficiency. Short-term, in the last 5 matches Suárez concedes 1.4 goals and has a 60% BTTS rate in that sample, and both teams have scored 4 goals each across their last 5 matches, which raises BTTS risk. Quilmes averages 12.29 shots per game versus Suárez’s 7.8 with a similar number of shots on target 3.57 vs 3.6, so they have scoring opportunities, but Suárez’s dominant season signal (80% clean sheets and 20% season BTTS) makes No Goal/BTTS - No more likely, hence the pick ‘no’.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated expected goals are 1.50 for Quilmes and 1.02 for Tristán Suárez (total 2.52), derived from home xG 1.37 and xG against visitors 1.62, plus away xG 1.15 and xG against home 0.89. That totals 2.52 goals, clearly above the league average of 1.91, implying a high probability for Over 1.5 (≈72%) and a moderate probability for Over 2.5 (≈46%). Season metrics support this signal: Quilmes has 71% of matches Over 1.5, averages 1.29 goals and 12.29 shots per match, while Tristán Suárez averages 0.8 goals and 7.8 shots. However, Tristán Suárez also has 80% clean sheets and only 20% BTTS occurrences, which suppresses the likelihood of Over 2.5/3.5, so the most reliable market based on the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Quilmes drew at half-time in 71% of their matches, while Tristán Suárez led at the break in 40% of games. After the interval Quilmes is stronger: they average 0.71 goals in the second half versus 0.2 for Tristán Suárez, and the home side won second halves in 56% of cases compared to 0% for the visitors. Quilmes also creates more chances (xG 1.37 vs 1.15, on average 12.29 shots per match vs 7.8 and 3.57 shots on target vs 3.6), while Tristán concedes an xG of 1.62 compared to 0.89 for the hosts, which increases the likelihood of home goals after the break. Although the visitors have 80% clean sheets and BTTS only 20%, the hosts’ advantage in shots and points gained in second halves (14 pts vs 5 pts) supports a half-time draw with a Quilmes turnaround. Therefore the HT/FT selection most supported by the data is X/1 (draw/Quilmes win).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Quilmes | Tristán Suárez | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tristán Suárez is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Quilmes · 1 pts / match - Tristán Suárez
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tristán Suárez is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Quilmes · 1.08 goals / match - Tristán Suárez
Tristán Suárez is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Quilmes · 0.75 goals / match - Tristán Suárez
Quilmes scores in 42% of matches (5 of 12 matches), while Tristán Suárez keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 matches).
Tristán Suárez scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Quilmes keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Quilmes
Over / Under - Tristán Suárez
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tristán Suárez is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Quilmes · 1.33 pts / match - Tristán Suárez
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Quilmes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tristán Suárez - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Quilmes
Tristán Suárez
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Quilmes | Liga | Tristán Suárez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.83 | 1.91 | • 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 31% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 39% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 71% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Quilmes 0 - 1 - 1 Tristán Suárez. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Quilmes vs Tristán Suárez?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Quilmes 0:1 Tristán Suárez. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Quilmes and Tristán Suárez?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 0, Tristán Suárez won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Quilmes vs Tristán Suárez?
Quilmes score 1.00 goals per game on average and Tristán Suárez 1.08. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Quilmes's matches and 42% of Tristán Suárez's.
What form are Quilmes and Tristán Suárez in?
Over the last 5 games Quilmes have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Tristán Suárez 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Quilmes vs Tristán Suárez?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.