Racing Córdoba vs San Telmo: match statistics
Racing Córdoba vs San Telmo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Racing Córdoba played San Telmo in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 26 July 2026. Venue: Estadio Miguel Sancho. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Racing Córdoba: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. San Telmo: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Racing Córdoba scores 0.95 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. San Telmo scores 0.80 and concedes 1.05. League average: 1.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Racing Córdoba 43%, San Telmo 35%. Over 2.5: Racing Córdoba 43%, San Telmo 30%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Racing Córdoba has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.31. Racing Córdoba: 11.6 shots per match, San Telmo: 9.7.
Match halves
Racing Córdoba: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.62. San Telmo: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Racing Córdoba: 46-60 (5 goals). San Telmo: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.88 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Racing Córdoba is the favorite in this fixture: at home they average 1.4 goals per match with an average xG of 1.58, while San Telmo register only 0.56 goals away with xG 0.85. The hosts create significantly more chances — 12.8 shots and 3.8 on target per home match versus 6.11 shots and 1.78 on target in away games for the visitors — and have a higher conversion rate (11% vs 9%). Racing controls the game (55% possession at home vs 46% for San Telmo) and less frequently finish matches goalless (FTS 30% for the hosts vs 56% for the visitors), which limits San Telmo’s offensive opportunities. Defensively the average goals conceded are similar (0.90 for Racing vs 0.89 for San Telmo), but the visitors concede far more high-quality chances (xG against 1.73 for San Telmo vs 0.99 for Racing), which favors the hosts. In the last 5 matches Racing have 1.4 points per game with 2 wins, while San Telmo have only 1.0 points and 1 win; additionally San Telmo are yet to win away (win% = 0), therefore I predict a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Racing Córdoba creates significantly more chances than San Telmo: on average 12.55 shots and 4.27 shots on target with xG 1.68 versus 6.11 shots and 1.78 on target with xG 0.85 for the visitors, translating into a seasonal goals average of 1.00 for Racing and 0.56 for San Telmo. The home side has a high clean sheet rate — 45% of matches — and a low seasonal BTTS rate of 27%, while San Telmo has 33% clean sheets and 44% BTTS, indicating matches involving Racing more often finish with at least one clean sheet. In the last 5 fixtures both teams have 40% of matches with both teams scoring, but Racing averages 1.2 goals over the last 5 while San Telmo only 0.8, so in the short term the visitors still score less frequently. Considering the low away goals average (0.56), San Telmo’s poor shots on target (1.78) and Racing’s superiority in chance creation (12.55 shots, xG 1.68), a No BTTS scenario is more likely — I assess it at 70% for 'no' and 30% for 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG: Racing Córdoba has xG_for 1.68 vs 0.85 for San Telmo, and xG_against for San Telmo is 1.73 vs 1.41 for Racing, which averaged gives expected goals of 1.71 for the home side and 1.13 for the visitors (total 2.84). A Poisson model with these λ shows the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is around 77–78%, so Over 1.5 is the strongest signal. Over 2.5 is moderate — about 54% for over vs 46% for under — while Over 3.5 is only ~32% (Under ~68%), making larger lines less attractive. Additionally Racing creates many chances: on average 12.55 shots and 4.27 shots on target, compared to 6.11 and 1.78 for San Telmo, and season metrics show Racing has Over1.5 in 64% of matches, San Telmo in 44%, which supports the Over 1.5 bet. At the same time BTTS rates — 27% for Racing and 44% for San Telmo — suggest that an Over 1.5 selection without needing to take a high line (>2.5) offers the best risk-to-expected-return profile.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is X/1 (draw at Half-Time, Racing Córdoba win at Full-Time). Racing has a clear offensive advantage: xG 1.68 versus 0.85 for San Telmo, 12.55 shots per match versus 6.11 and 4.27 shots on target versus 1.78, indicating more chances especially after the break. However, a draw at the break is common — the home side has HT draws in 45% of matches, and San Telmo in 56%, with average goals by Half-Time 0.55 (Racing) vs 0.33 (San Telmo), so I expect a draw after 45 minutes. San Telmo have no away wins in the stats (winPercentage_away 0.0) and draw 67% of away matches, while Racing have 36% home wins and a season average of 1.27 points per match, which increases the likelihood of a turnaround in the second half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Racing Córdoba | San Telmo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Racing Córdoba is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Racing Córdoba · 1 pts / match - San Telmo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Racing Córdoba is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Racing Córdoba · 0.8 goals / match - San Telmo
San Telmo is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Racing Córdoba · 1.05 goals / match - San Telmo
Racing Córdoba scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while San Telmo keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
San Telmo scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Racing Córdoba keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Racing Córdoba
Over / Under - San Telmo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Racing Córdoba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
San Telmo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Racing Córdoba
San Telmo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Racing Córdoba | Liga | San Telmo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.14 | 1.88 | • 1.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 39% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 43% | 31% | • 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 39% | • 40% |
| Goal before half-time | • 57% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 69% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Racing Córdoba 0 - 0 - 1 San Telmo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Racing Córdoba vs San Telmo?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Racing Córdoba 2:1 San Telmo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Racing Córdoba vs San Telmo?
Racing Córdoba score 0.95 goals per game on average and San Telmo 0.80. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Racing Córdoba's matches and 35% of San Telmo's.
What form are Racing Córdoba and San Telmo in?
Over the last 5 games Racing Córdoba have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and San Telmo 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Racing Córdoba vs San Telmo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Racing Córdoba vs San Telmo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


