Racing vs Nacional: match statistics
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Racing vs Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Racing play Nacional in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 15 August 2026. Venue: Parque Osvaldo Roberto.
Current form
Racing: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Nacional: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Racing scores 1.26 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Nacional scores 1.52 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.37 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Racing 52%, Nacional 61%. Over 2.5: Racing 30%, Nacional 70%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Racing has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.51. Racing: 12.6 shots per match, Nacional: 11.9.
Match halves
Racing: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.57. Nacional: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Racing: 16-30 (6 goals). Nacional: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-3. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Racing | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nacional is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Racing · 1.4 pts / match - Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Racing · 1.52 goals / match - Nacional
Racing is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Racing · 1.35 goals / match - Nacional
Racing scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
Nacional scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Racing keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Racing
Over / Under - Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Racing is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / match - Racing · 1.3 pts / match - Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Racing - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Racing
Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Racing | Liga | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.09 | 2.37 | ▲ 2.87 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 51% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 45% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 68% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 72% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Racing 0 - 1 - 3 Nacional. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Racing and Nacional play?
Racing face Nacional on 15 August 2026 in Primera División at Parque Osvaldo Roberto. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Racing and Nacional?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Racing won 0, Nacional won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Racing vs Nacional?
Racing score 1.26 goals per game on average and Nacional 1.52. The Primera División average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Racing's matches and 61% of Nacional's.
What form are Racing and Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Racing have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Nacional 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Racing vs Nacional?
The statistical background for Racing vs Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.