Radnički Niš vs OFK Beograd: match statistics
Radnički Niš vs OFK Beograd: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Radnički Niš played OFK Beograd in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Radnički Niš: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. OFK Beograd: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Radnički Niš scores 1.18 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. OFK Beograd scores 1.32 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Radnički Niš 50%, OFK Beograd 50%. Over 2.5: Radnički Niš 50%, OFK Beograd 46%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Radnički Niš has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.37. Radnički Niš: 11.9 shots per match, OFK Beograd: 11.4.
Match halves
Radnički Niš: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.57. OFK Beograd: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Radnički Niš: 31-45+ (8 goals). OFK Beograd: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Radnički Niš is a narrow favorite based on home metrics: the hosts score 1.57 and concede 1.14 goals per home match, with average xG for 1.37 and xG against 1.45 and a positive home goal difference of +6. OFK Beograd away averages 1.50 goals scored and 1.36 conceded, posts higher average xG (1.54) but also higher xG against (1.70) and a smaller away goal difference +2, which suggests the visitors create chances but are less reliable defensively. Over the last 5 matches both teams average 1.4 points; Radnički Niš recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses with a 5-7 goal record, while OFK Beograd has 1 win and 4 draws with a 7-6 record, and the percentage of matches without scoring is 21% for both. Shot statistics show marginal differences: the visitors average 12.93 shots and 4.36 on target away versus the hosts’ 11.79 and 4, with conversion rates 12% vs 13% for the home side, so chance volume is similar but the hosts are slightly more efficient. Considering the hosts’ better defense (1.14 vs 1.36 conceded), higher conversion rate and superior home goal balance, I predict a home win; estimated probabilities: home 45%, draw 32%, away 23%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The dominant signal is the high BTTS rate for the visitors: OFK Beograd has a season BTTS of 64% versus Radnički Niš's 36%, while the league average is 52%, which favors a both teams to score scenario. In the last 5 matches the away side had BTTS 60% (7 goals for and 6 conceded), the home side 40% (5 scored and 7 conceded), indicating a greater tendency for the visitors to be involved in Goal/Goal matches. Creation metrics confirm this: OFK generates on average xG 1.54 and 12.93 shots (4.36 on target) per match, while the hosts face xG against 1.81 and only 3.0 shots on target from opponents, so the hosts are exposed to conceding. The counterargument is that the hosts keep a clean sheet in 36% of matches and the visitors in 29%, but the low clean sheet rates do not offset the visitors' creation advantage. Therefore I assign a 65% probability to BTTS - Yes and 35% to No, with the Yes pick based on the visitors' 64% season BTTS and markedly higher xG and shot volume from the visitors (1.54 xG, 12.93 shots) versus the hosts' defensive vulnerability (1.81 xG against).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects 1.46 goals for Radnički Niš and 1.68 for OFK Beograd (total 3.14), computed from offensive xG: 1.21 for the home side and 1.54 for the away side, and allowed xG: 1.81 (home) and 1.70 (away). Seasonal percentages of matches over 1.5 stand at 64% for the home team and 71% for the away team (average ~67%), which strongly supports the Over 1.5 option. Percentages for Over 2.5 are 36% at home and 57% away (average ~47%), and in the last 5 matches Over 2.5 occurred in 40% (home) and 60% (away), so Over 2.5 has a moderate probability. Shot stats (9.86 shots and 3.0 on target for the home side vs 12.93 and 4.36 for the away side) and BTTS 36% (home) and 64% (away) confirm both teams have goal-scoring capability. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 with an estimated probability of about 82%, therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time a draw is more likely: both teams have identical average first-half goals (0.64 for Radnički Niš and 0.64 for OFK Beograd) and half-time draws occur in 57% of the home team’s matches and 64% of the away team’s matches. Over the full match the visitors are the favorite — OFK have 43% wins this season versus 21% for the home side and average 1.64 points per game compared to Radnički Niš’s 0.93, with the visitors’ xG at 1.54 versus the home side’s 1.21. OFK are also more active offensively (on average 12.93 shots and 4.36 on target versus 9.86 and 3.0 for the hosts) and are more likely to improve the score after the break (an average of 1.71 goals in the second half versus 1.29 for the hosts). Additionally, 79% of the visitors’ matches feature at least one goal in the second half versus 64% for the hosts, so the scenario draw at half-time and away win at full-time (X/2) receives the highest probability (30%), with a 20% chance of a final draw (X/X) and lower shares for the remaining outcomes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Radnički Niš | OFK Beograd | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
OFK Beograd is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Radnički Niš · 1.32 goals / match - OFK Beograd
Radnički Niš scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while OFK Beograd keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
OFK Beograd scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Radnički Niš keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Radnički Niš
Over / Under - OFK Beograd
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Radnički Niš is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Radnički Niš · 1.25 pts / match - OFK Beograd
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Radnički Niš - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
OFK Beograd - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Radnički Niš
OFK Beograd
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Radnički Niš | Liga | OFK Beograd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.69 | • 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 29% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 71% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Radnički Niš 1 - 0 - 0 OFK Beograd. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Radnički Niš vs OFK Beograd?
The SuperLiga match finished Radnički Niš 1:2 OFK Beograd. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Radnički Niš vs OFK Beograd?
Radnički Niš score 1.18 goals per game on average and OFK Beograd 1.32. The SuperLiga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Radnički Niš's matches and 50% of OFK Beograd's.
What form are Radnički Niš and OFK Beograd in?
Over the last 5 games Radnički Niš have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and OFK Beograd 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Radnički Niš vs OFK Beograd?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.