Radnik Bijeljina vs Sloga Doboj: match statistics

Sloga Doboj are showing a clearly superior results trend: in their last five matches, they have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and only 1 defeat, while Radnik Bijeljina have failed to win any of their four matches this season. The visitors are notably more reliable defensively, conceding just 2 goals in their last five matches, while away from home they allow an average of 0.67 goals and keep a clean sheet in 67% of their appearances. Radnik score an average of 1.5 goals at home, but also concede as many as 3.5 goals per match and have kept no clean sheets. Sloga’s away attack is not particularly efficient, however, averaging just 0.33 goals scored, with an xG of 0.79 and 67% of matches ending without a goal — factors that significantly increase the likelihood of a draw. Nevertheless, the visitors’ superior recent form and better defensive organisation point towards a narrow victory.

The strongest signal points to at least one team failing to score: Sloga Doboj had BTTS in 0% of its matches so far, and in their last 5 games, both teams scored on none of the occasions. The visitors average just 0.33 goals per season and 0.6 over their last five matches, with only 1.0 shots on target and an xG of 0.79. At the same time, Sloga kept a clean sheet in 67% of matches, while conceding only 0.4 goals per game across their last 5 fixtures, which significantly limits Radnik’s chances. Radnik did record BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches, but scored just 0.8 goals per game and failed to win 4 of their 5 most recent outings. The hosts’ weak defence, conceding 2.6 goals per match lately, could allow Sloga to win without conceding, making BTTS - No the more likely outcome.

Sloga Doboj have conceded just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, or 0.4 per game, and none of those fixtures went over 2.5 goals. The visitors themselves averaged only 0.6 goals scored, with an xG of 0.84, so their attacking potential remains limited despite Radnik’s weaker defense. Radnik conceded as many as 2.6 goals per game across their last five matches, but Sloga averaged only 1 shot on target and kept a clean sheet in 67% of their games. The hosts have greater creative potential, with an xG of 1.42 in their last five appearances compared with the 1.09 xG allowed by Sloga, supporting a scenario of around one Radnik goal. The projected total of 2.10 goals gives a clear edge to the Under 3.5 option, as at least four goals would be required for it to lose, while Sloga’s profile consistently limits the number of goals.

Sloga Doboj are showing clearly superior current form: over their last five matches, they averaged 2.0 points, won 60% of their games and conceded just 0.4 goals per match, while Radnik averaged 0.4 points and conceded 2.6 goals. At half-time, the visitors were unbeaten in 80% of their five most recent appearances, drawing 40% and leading 40% of the time, whereas the hosts went into the break trailing in as many as 40% of their matches. Sloga’s defensive record also supports a cautious opening, as they conceded an average of just 0.2 goals in the first halves of these games and kept a clean sheet in 80% of cases. After the break, Radnik conceded an average of 1.6 goals, while Sloga drew 60% of their second halves, indicating that the visitors are well placed to turn an evenly matched game in their favour during the closing stages. The most likely outcome, therefore, remains a draw at half-time followed by a Sloga Doboj victory at the final whistle: X/2.