Radnik Bijeljina vs Željezničar: match statistics
Radnik Bijeljina vs Željezničar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Radnik Bijeljina played Željezničar in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Radnik Bijeljina: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Željezničar: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Radnik Bijeljina scores 0.89 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Željezničar scores 0.89 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Radnik Bijeljina 30%, Željezničar 37%. Over 2.5: Radnik Bijeljina 33%, Željezničar 33%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Željezničar has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.13. Radnik Bijeljina: 9.1 shots per match, Željezničar: 9.1.
Match halves
Radnik Bijeljina: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.48. Željezničar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Radnik Bijeljina: 76-90+ (7 goals). Željezničar: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.11 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Radnik Bijeljina has strong home credentials: they average 1.00 goal and have an xG of 1.24 per match at home, while conceding only 0.54 goals and keeping 62% clean sheets in home fixtures. Željezničar on the road scores 0.69 goals on average with an xG of 1.04 and concedes 1.08 goals per game, and their away win rate is only 23% with 54% losses. Match-event stats indicate a home advantage: 9.77 average shots and 3.54 shots on target per match versus 7.92 and 2.85 for the visitors, with conversion rates of 10% versus 9%. In the last 5 games both teams average 1.6 points per match, but Radnik has scored 6 and conceded only 1, while Željezničar has 5 scored and 2 conceded, suggesting better defensive form for the hosts. On this basis I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates are 43% for Radnik and 31% for Željezničar, yielding an average of around 37%, close to the league BTTS average of 36%. In the last 5 matches Radnik has 0% BTTS and Željezničar 20%, indicating a marked drop in Goal/Goal occurrences in recent form. Željezničar scores only 0.69 goals per match with xG 1.04 and has a conversion rate of 9% from an average of 2.85 shots on target, while Radnik scores 1.07 goals on average with xG 1.32, so the hosts are more likely to find the net. Radnik also has 43% clean sheets this season versus Željezničar’s 31%, and in the last 5 matches average goals conceded are 1.0 for the home side and 2.0 for the visitors, which further supports No Goal. Considering these figures, I rate 'No' as the stronger signal (70%) versus 'Yes' (30%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG model: home xG is 1.32 and xG against the visitors is 1.40, yielding an expected 1.36 goals for Radnik; for Željezničar xG_for 1.04 and home xG_against 1.24 yield 1.14 goals, totaling 2.50 goals. At this aggregate Poisson distribution indicates ~71% probability of Over 1.5 goals (29% Under), ~46% for Over 2.5 (54% Under) and ~24% for Over 3.5 (76% Under). Radnik averages 10.21 shots with 3.29 on target and xG 1.32, Željezničar 7.92 shots with 2.85 on target and xG 1.04; Radnik scores 1.07 goals per game and the visitors 0.69, showing some underestimation of goals by xG versus actual scoring. Season metrics confirm Radnik has 64% of matches Over 1.5 goals, Željezničar 46%, while both have low shares Over 2.5 (36% and 31%), therefore the 1.5 line provides the strongest and most reliable signal for an Over bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time appears most likely: the home side were level at the break in 57% of matches, the away side in 54%, yielding an average of about 56% probability for an HT draw. Both teams score little before the break — homes average 0.29 goals HT, guests 0.31 — so the first half should be low-scoring (0:0 or 1:1). After the break the home side have the advantage: home second-half goals average 1.29 versus 0.85 for away, home xG is 1.32 versus 1.04 and they average 10.21 shots versus 7.92, which increases the likelihood of a goal after the break. Additionally, the home team’s points per match are 1.29 versus 0.92 for the visitors and they have more shots on target (3.29 vs 2.85), so the strongest scenario is a Half-Time draw and a home win Full-Time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Radnik Bijeljina | Željezničar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Radnik Bijeljina is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Radnik Bijeljina · 1 pts / match - Željezničar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Željezničar is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Radnik Bijeljina · 1.11 goals / match - Željezničar
Radnik Bijeljina scores in 48% of matches (13 of 27 matches), while Željezničar keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
Željezničar scores in 59% of matches (16 of 27 matches), while Radnik Bijeljina keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Radnik Bijeljina
Over / Under - Željezničar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Radnik Bijeljina is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Radnik Bijeljina · 0.89 pts / match - Željezničar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Radnik Bijeljina - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Željezničar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Radnik Bijeljina
Željezničar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Radnik Bijeljina | Liga | Željezničar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.11 | 2.11 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 36% | • 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 36% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | • 37% | 38% | • 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 72% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Radnik Bijeljina 1 - 2 - 0 Željezničar. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Radnik Bijeljina vs Željezničar?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Radnik Bijeljina 0:3 Željezničar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Radnik Bijeljina and Željezničar?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Radnik Bijeljina won 1, Željezničar won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Radnik Bijeljina vs Željezničar?
Radnik Bijeljina score 0.89 goals per game on average and Željezničar 0.89. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Radnik Bijeljina's matches and 37% of Željezničar's.
What form are Radnik Bijeljina and Željezničar in?
Over the last 5 games Radnik Bijeljina have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Željezničar 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Radnik Bijeljina vs Željezničar?
The statistical background for Radnik Bijeljina vs Željezničar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.