Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak: match statistics
Radnik Surdulica clearly dominates this encounter, boasting an impressive home record with 55% wins and just 27% losses at their own stadium. The hosts demonstrate solid offensive efficiency (1.55 goals per game at home) and defensive stability (55% clean sheets). Napredak is in dire form with a streak of five consecutive defeats and a catastrophic away record – zero wins, 64% losses, and a goal difference of -13. The visitors struggle to score on the road (0.45 goals per game, 64% of matches without scoring a goal), which, given the hosts' solid defense, practically eliminates their chances of a positive result. The difference in Expected Goals (xG 1.86 vs 1.1) and overall quality of play confirms Radnik's superiority, who should capitalize on their home advantage and secure three points.
Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Radnik Surdulica played Napredak in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Radnik Surdulica: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Napredak: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Radnik Surdulica scores 1.22 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Napredak scores 0.87 and concedes 2.09. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Radnik Surdulica 43%, Napredak 57%. Over 2.5: Radnik Surdulica 35%, Napredak 61%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Radnik Surdulica has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.31. Radnik Surdulica: 12.4 shots per match, Napredak: 10.7.
Match halves
Radnik Surdulica: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.39. Napredak: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Radnik Surdulica: 31-45+ (8 goals). Napredak: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Radnik Surdulica clearly dominates this encounter, boasting an impressive home record with 55% wins and just 27% losses at their own stadium. The hosts demonstrate solid offensive efficiency (1.55 goals per game at home) and defensive stability (55% clean sheets). Napredak is in dire form with a streak of five consecutive defeats and a catastrophic away record – zero wins, 64% losses, and a goal difference of -13. The visitors struggle to score on the road (0.45 goals per game, 64% of matches without scoring a goal), which, given the hosts' solid defense, practically eliminates their chances of a positive result. The difference in Expected Goals (xG 1.86 vs 1.1) and overall quality of play confirms Radnik's superiority, who should capitalize on their home advantage and secure three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Radnik Surdulica | Napredak | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Radnik Surdulica is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Radnik Surdulica · 0.87 goals / match - Napredak
Radnik Surdulica is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Radnik Surdulica · 2.09 goals / match - Napredak
Radnik Surdulica scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Napredak keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
Napredak scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while Radnik Surdulica keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Radnik Surdulica
Over / Under - Napredak
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Radnik Surdulica is 134% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Radnik Surdulica · 0.61 pts / match - Napredak
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Radnik Surdulica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Napredak - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Radnik Surdulica
Napredak
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Radnik Surdulica | Liga | Napredak | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 2.75 | ▲ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 49% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 71% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Radnik Surdulica 1 - 0 - 0 Napredak. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak?
The SuperLiga match finished Radnik Surdulica 2:1 Napredak. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak?
Radnik Surdulica score 1.22 goals per game on average and Napredak 0.87. The SuperLiga average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Radnik Surdulica's matches and 57% of Napredak's.
What form are Radnik Surdulica and Napredak in?
Over the last 5 games Radnik Surdulica have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Napredak 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.