Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin: match statistics
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Radomiak Radom played Motor Lublin in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 6 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Radomiak Radom: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Motor Lublin: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Radomiak Radom scores 1.62 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Motor Lublin scores 1.35 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Radomiak Radom 73%, Motor Lublin 62%. Over 2.5: Radomiak Radom 62%, Motor Lublin 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Radomiak Radom has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.39. Radomiak Radom: 14.1 shots per match, Motor Lublin: 11.7.
Match halves
Radomiak Radom: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.00. Motor Lublin: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Radomiak Radom: 76-90+ (10 goals). Motor Lublin: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Radomiak Radom scores on average 2.00 goals at home and concedes only 0.92 per match, with average xG 1.66 for and 1.24 against, indicating strong offensive efficiency and relatively solid defensive performance. Motor Lublin away averages 1.33 goals scored and concedes 1.92, with away xG 1.44 and xG against 2.04, suggesting defensive issues on the road. However, the visitors are on a clear run of form — winning 4 of their last 5 matches and averaging 2.6 points over that span (7 scored, 2 conceded), while Radomiak has just 1 win in their last 5 (6–7 in goals). Radomiak creates more chances at home (15.15 shots and 5.00 shots on target per match, 13% conversion) than Motor away (11.50 and 4.08, 12% conversion), and goalless game frequency is 15% for the hosts versus 25% for the visitors. Considering the hosts’ favorable goal difference (+14), higher home win rate (54%) and superior defensive metrics (0.92 vs 1.92 goals conceded per match), I favor a Radomiak victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates are high: Radomiak has BTTS in 57% of matches, Motor in 67%, with a league average of 57%. Both teams score at similar rates — 1.36 goals per match for Radomiak and 1.33 for Motor — and season goal tallies of 42:40 (Radomiak) and 35:38 (Motor) indicate frequent goal exchanges. xG data corroborates scoring opportunities: xG_for 1.36 (Radomiak) versus xG_against 1.63 and xG_for 1.44 (Motor) versus xG_against 2.04, while shots on target 3.14 vs 4.08 suggest both sides generate chances. In the last 5 matches Radomiak had BTTS in 80% of games, Motor in 40%, giving mixed short-term signals, but the seasonal 57%/67% rates and high volume of chances (and the fact Motor concedes on average 1.92 goals vs Radomiak 1.07) favour BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams show a high share of matches with at least 2 goals: Radomiak records 71% of season matches over 1.5 goals, Motor 83%, with over 0.5 at 86% for the home side and 100% for the away side. xG analysis shows Radomiak at xG 1.36 and Motor at xG 1.44; accounting for opponents’ average xG allowed (Motor concedes 2.04 xG, Radomiak 1.63) a simple model yields expected 1.70 goals for the home team and 1.53 for the visitors, totaling 3.23 goals. That 3.23 aggregate increases the probability of Over 2.5 despite seasonal divergence (Over 2.5: 36% for Radomiak vs 67% for Motor), so I assess Over 2.5 at ~59%. Over 3.5 is less likely — season rates 21%/42% (average ~31.5%) — therefore I assign it a 32% probability. The strongest signal is Over 1.5: high shares of Over 1.5 (71%/83%), very high Over 0.5 rates (86%/100%) and an expected 3.23 goals all favor the Over on the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time with Radomiak winning after the match (X/1). Seasonally, hosts drew at half-time in 50% of matches and visitors in 58% — the average of these values gives roughly a 54% chance of a draw at the break; hosts led at the break in 36% of matches versus Motor’s 17%. Radomiak has the stronger defense on the season: they concede on average 1.07 goals per game compared to Motor’s 1.92, and the xG against is 1.63 versus 2.04 for the visitors, which favors their chances of a win after half-time; additionally the hosts score on average 0.86 goals before the break. Assuming a draw at half-time, I estimated a 45% chance of the hosts winning in the second half (hence X/1 24%), keeping the draw at ~30% (X/X 16%), and a visitors’ win after a draw at ~25% (X/2 14%). Although Motor are in clear form (4 wins from 5, 80%), the xG comparison and average goals conceded support the X/1 scenario as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Radomiak Radom | Motor Lublin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Motor Lublin is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Radomiak Radom · 2.6 pts / match - Motor Lublin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Radomiak Radom is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.62 goals / match - Radomiak Radom · 1.35 goals / match - Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Radomiak Radom · 1.46 goals / match - Motor Lublin
Radomiak Radom scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Motor Lublin keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
Motor Lublin scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Radomiak Radom keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Radomiak Radom
Over / Under - Motor Lublin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Motor Lublin is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Radomiak Radom · 1.35 pts / match - Motor Lublin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Radomiak Radom - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Motor Lublin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Radomiak Radom
Motor Lublin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Radomiak Radom | Liga | Motor Lublin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.15 | 2.72 | • 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 58% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 25% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 77% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Radomiak Radom 0 - 1 - 0 Motor Lublin. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Radomiak Radom 1:1 Motor Lublin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
Radomiak Radom score 1.62 goals per game on average and Motor Lublin 1.35. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Radomiak Radom's matches and 62% of Motor Lublin's.
What form are Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin in?
Over the last 5 games Radomiak Radom have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Motor Lublin 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.