Scotland - ChampionshipStark's ParkData current as of 08 September 2026

Raith Rovers vs Arbroath: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Raith Rovers vs Arbroath: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Raith Rovers play Arbroath in Championship (Scotland). The match date is 12 September 2026. Venue: Stark's Park.

Current form

Raith Rovers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Arbroath: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Raith Rovers scores 1.40 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Arbroath scores 0.80 and concedes 0.80. League average: 1.76 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Raith Rovers 40%, Arbroath 40%. Over 2.5: Raith Rovers 20%, Arbroath 20%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 16%.

xG, shots and style

Raith Rovers has higher xG: 1.38 vs 0.82. Raith Rovers: 10.2 shots per match, Arbroath: 4.2.

Match halves

Raith Rovers: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.40. Arbroath: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

Raith Rovers: 0-15 (2 goals). Arbroath: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 1.76 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 16%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.89)
(3.25)
(3.50)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.4Goals scored / match0.8
Raith RoversArbroath
0.6Goals conceded / match0.8
Raith RoversArbroath
47%Average possession51%
Raith RoversArbroath
5Shots on target / match2.6
Raith RoversArbroath

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.2Shots per match4.2
Raith RoversArbroath
5Shots on target2.6
Raith RoversArbroath
13.7%Shot conversion19%
Raith RoversArbroath
47%Possession51%
Raith RoversArbroath
1.38xG for0.82
Raith RoversArbroath
0.83xG against1
Raith RoversArbroath

Shooting quality

Raith Rovers: Counter-attackingArbroath: Efficient finishing
Raith RoversArbroath
Accuracy (shots on target)49%62%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.20
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Raith Rovers is 25% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Raith Rovers · 1.6 pts / match - Arbroath

Raith Rovers
DWWLW
Season result split
60% W20% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
DW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 0.83BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Arbroath
LDWWD
Season result split
40% W40% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.82Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Raith Rovers is 75% better for: goals scored per match.

1.4 goals / match - Raith Rovers · 0.8 goals / match - Arbroath

Raith Rovers is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.6 goals / match - Raith Rovers · 0.8 goals / match - Arbroath

Raith Rovers scoring profile: strong

Raith Rovers scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Arbroath keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

Arbroath scoring profile: mixed

Arbroath scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Raith Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

7Goals scored (season)4
Raith RoversArbroath
3Goals conceded (season)4
Raith RoversArbroath
2Average goals in match1.6
Raith RoversArbroath
7Goals scored (last 5)4
Raith RoversArbroath
3Goals conceded (last 5)4
Raith RoversArbroath

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal60%
Raith RoversArbroath
60%2 goals20%
Raith RoversArbroath
0%3 goals0%
Raith RoversArbroath
0%4 goals0%
Raith RoversArbroath

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal60%
Raith RoversArbroath
0%2 goals20%
Raith RoversArbroath
0%3 goals0%
Raith RoversArbroath
0%4 goals0%
Raith RoversArbroath

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

36%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time0%
Raith RoversArbroath
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Raith RoversArbroath
40%Scored in both halves20%
Raith RoversArbroath

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Raith RoversArbroath
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Raith RoversArbroath
40%BTTS - last 540%
Raith RoversArbroath

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time40%
Raith RoversArbroath
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Raith RoversArbroath
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Raith RoversArbroath

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Raith RoversArbroath
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Raith RoversArbroath
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Raith RoversArbroath

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Raith Rovers is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.2 pts / match - Raith Rovers · 1.2 pts / match - Arbroath

Raith Rovers - half-time state
60% leading40% draw0% trailing
Arbroath - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.2Points per match (1st half)1.2
Raith RoversArbroath
1Goals scored (1st half)0.2
Raith RoversArbroath
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
Raith RoversArbroath
1.2Average goals (1st half)0.4
Raith RoversArbroath
80%Clean sheet before half-time80%
Raith RoversArbroath
20%No goal before half-time80%
Raith RoversArbroath

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per match (2nd half)1.2
Raith RoversArbroath
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
Raith RoversArbroath
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Raith RoversArbroath
0.8Average goals (2nd half)1.2
Raith RoversArbroath
60%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Raith RoversArbroath
60%No goal after half-time40%
Raith RoversArbroath

Raith Rovers - second-half results

20% W60% R20% P
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Arbroath - second-half results

20% W60% R20% P
6
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Raith Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Arbroath - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.41.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Raith Rovers
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Arbroath
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.80
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+53%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Raith Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Arbroath

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Raith RoversLigaArbroath
Average goals in match 2.001.76 1.60
Both teams scored 40%36% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 20%16% 20%
Clean sheets 40%38% 40%
Goal before half-time 80%60% 40%
Goal after half-time 60%64% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.76
Average goals per match
36%
Both teams scored
16%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.08
Home goals / match
0.68
Away goals / match
+59%
Home attack advantage
+37%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
20%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Raith Rovers 1 - 1 - 2 Arbroath. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do Raith Rovers and Arbroath play?

Raith Rovers face Arbroath on 12 September 2026 in Championship at Stark's Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Raith Rovers and Arbroath?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Raith Rovers won 1, Arbroath won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Raith Rovers vs Arbroath?

Raith Rovers score 1.40 goals per game on average and Arbroath 0.80. The Championship average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 16% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Raith Rovers's matches and 40% of Arbroath's.

What form are Raith Rovers and Arbroath in?

Over the last 5 games Raith Rovers have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Arbroath 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raith Rovers vs Arbroath?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.