Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat: match statistics
Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Raja Casablanca played FUS Rabat in Botola Pro (Morocco). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Raja Casablanca: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. FUS Rabat: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Raja Casablanca scores 1.13 and concedes 0.27 goals per match. FUS Rabat scores 1.20 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Raja Casablanca 20%, FUS Rabat 53%. Over 2.5: Raja Casablanca 7%, FUS Rabat 40%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Raja Casablanca has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.38. Raja Casablanca: 10.9 shots per match, FUS Rabat: 10.5.
Match halves
Raja Casablanca: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.60. FUS Rabat: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Raja Casablanca: 76-90+ (5 goals). FUS Rabat: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Botola Pro: 2.10 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Raja Casablanca as hosts possess a clear defensive edge: unbeaten at home (0% defeats), keeping a clean sheet in 88% of home matches and conceding only 0.13 goals per game on average, with a +9 goal difference in home fixtures. FUS Rabat are vulnerable away — conceding 1.38 goals per away match on average, with only 13% clean sheets and 63% away defeats, which significantly lowers their chances. In attack the visitors scored 8 goals in the last 5 matches versus Raja’s 6, but chance quality favors the hosts: average xG for Raja at home is 1.48 versus 1.31 xG for FUS away, and shots on target 4.38 vs 3.5. Additionally Raja control the game at home (61% possession) and produce more shots (11.75 vs 10) with a similar conversion rate of 11%, and average points in the last 5 matches are 2.2 for Raja versus 2.0 for FUS; therefore I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have similar seasonal goal averages: Raja scores 1.29 and concedes 1.29, while FUS scores 1.13 and concedes 1.38, suggesting both sides typically participate in around 1.3 goals per game. xG confirms realistic scoring opportunities: Raja xG_for 1.45 vs FUS xG_against 1.43, and FUS xG_for 1.31 vs Raja xG_against 1.26. Seasonal BTTS rates diverge (Raja 71% vs FUS 38%, league 47%), but in the last 5 matches Raja has BTTS only 20% whereas FUS 60%, producing a mixed form signal. Additionally Raja records more shots on target (4.57 vs 3.5) and has a higher conversion rate (12% vs 11%), with season totals Raja 17 scored and only 4 conceded vs FUS 18 scored and 20 conceded, although Raja concedes just 0.2 goals on average in the last 5 matches. Considering Raja's high seasonal BTTS, the similar xG profiles and FUS's weaker defense (20 conceded), I assess a higher probability for BTTS - Yes (60%) vs 40% for No (clean sheet expected less likely).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-Poisson model yields expected goals of 1.44 for Raja (xG attack 1.45 vs FUS xG defense 1.43) and 1.29 for FUS (xG attack 1.31 vs Raja xG defense 1.26), totaling 2.73 goals. Season metrics confirm a tendency above 1.5 goals: Raja has 86% of matches over 1.5, FUS 63%, with an average of 74.5%. A Poisson distribution with λ=2.73 gives P(≥2)≈75.7%, P(≥3)≈51.4% and P(≥4)≈29.2%, therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (≈76%), while Over 2.5 shows only a marginal edge (~51%). Additionally, hosts average 4.57 shots on target versus 3.5 for the visitors and have a conversion rate of 12% vs 11% for FUS, which increases the likelihood of chance conversion. Consequently I recommend betting Over 1.5 (line 1.5), as it has the highest probability (76% vs 24% Under) and the cleanest signal from the analyzed data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Raja Casablanca holds a statistical advantage: on average 1.29 goals per home match versus 1.13 scored by FUS Rabat, and 1.57 points per home match vs 0.88 for the visitors. At Half-Time the hosts average 0.71 goals scored and 0.29 conceded, while FUS average 0.63 scored and 0.63 conceded before the break; Raja led at the break in 43% of their season matches and in 4 of the last 5 meetings (80%). Qualitative metrics confirm Raja’s superiority: xG 1.45 versus 1.31 for the visitors, 4.57 shots on target versus 3.5 and conversion 12% vs 11%. Additionally the hosts have 71% clean halves this season and 100% clean halves in the last 5 matches, therefore the strongest signal is a lead at the break and a Half-Time/Full-Time win (1/1). The visitors win only 25% of season matches and led at the break in 25% of cases, so FUS winning scenarios (2/2, 2/1) are assessed as considerably less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Raja Casablanca | FUS Rabat | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Raja Casablanca is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Raja Casablanca · 2 pts / match - FUS Rabat
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FUS Rabat is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Raja Casablanca · 1.2 goals / match - FUS Rabat
Raja Casablanca is 393% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.27 goals / match - Raja Casablanca · 1.33 goals / match - FUS Rabat
Raja Casablanca scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while FUS Rabat keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
FUS Rabat scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Raja Casablanca keeps a clean sheet in 73% (11 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Raja Casablanca
Over / Under - FUS Rabat
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Raja Casablanca is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.07 pts / match - Raja Casablanca · 1.47 pts / match - FUS Rabat
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Raja Casablanca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FUS Rabat - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Raja Casablanca
FUS Rabat
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Botola Pro).
Teams vs league
| Raja Casablanca | Liga | FUS Rabat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.40 | 2.10 | ▲ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 47% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 7% | 35% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 73% | 33% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Raja Casablanca 1 - 0 - 0 FUS Rabat. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat?
The Botola Pro match finished Raja Casablanca 4:1 FUS Rabat. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat?
Raja Casablanca score 1.13 goals per game on average and FUS Rabat 1.20. The Botola Pro average is 2.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Raja Casablanca's matches and 53% of FUS Rabat's.
What form are Raja Casablanca and FUS Rabat in?
Over the last 5 games Raja Casablanca have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and FUS Rabat 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.