Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia Białystok: match statistics
Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia Białystok: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Raków Częstochowa play Jagiellonia Białystok in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match date is 13 May 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Raków Częstochowa: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Jagiellonia Białystok: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Raków Częstochowa scores 1.50 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Jagiellonia Białystok scores 1.65 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Raków Częstochowa 56%, Jagiellonia Białystok 65%. Over 2.5: Raków Częstochowa 47%, Jagiellonia Białystok 65%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Jagiellonia Białystok has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.67. Raków Częstochowa: 14.0 shots per match, Jagiellonia Białystok: 15.2.
Match halves
Raków Częstochowa: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82. Jagiellonia Białystok: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Raków Częstochowa: 76-90+ (11 goals). Jagiellonia Białystok: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I assess that Raków has the higher probability of victory, as they average 1.33 goals scored at home and concede only 0.87, while Jagiellonia on the road score 1.2 and concede 1.00. The home side generate 1.64 xG on average at home with 4.2 shots on target and a conversion rate of around 10%, whereas the visitors have 1.57 xG away with 4.53 shots on target and a 9% conversion, giving Raków a slight edge in quality of chances. In the last 5 matches Raków scored 10 goals and won 3 of 5, averaging 2.0 points per game, while Jagiellonia have 8 goals and 2 wins in their last 5 with an average of 1.6 points, so recent form also favors the hosts. Additionally, Raków win 47% of their home matches and have 40% of games without conceding, whereas the visitors win 33% of away games and have 27% of matches without scoring, which increases the risk of defeat for Jagiellonia. Considering the higher efficiency of the hosts (10% vs 9%) and better xG for Raków, I predict a home victory as the most likely outcome, although a draw remains realistic given the visitors’ relatively solid performances.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Raków Częstochowa | Jagiellonia Białystok | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Raków Częstochowa is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Raków Częstochowa · 2 pts / match - Jagiellonia Białystok
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Jagiellonia Białystok is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Raków Częstochowa · 1.65 goals / match - Jagiellonia Białystok
Raków Częstochowa scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Jagiellonia Białystok keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Jagiellonia Białystok scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Raków Częstochowa keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Raków Częstochowa
Over / Under — Jagiellonia Białystok
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jagiellonia Białystok is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Raków Częstochowa · 1.47 pts / match - Jagiellonia Białystok
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Raków Częstochowa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Jagiellonia Białystok - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia Białystok
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Raków Częstochowa | Liga | Jagiellonia Białystok | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.68 | 2.74 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 58% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Raków Częstochowa 1 - 0 - 0 Jagiellonia Białystok. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Raków Częstochowa 0:2 Jagiellonia Białystok. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
Raków Częstochowa score 1.50 goals per game on average and Jagiellonia Białystok 1.65. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Raków Częstochowa's matches and 65% of Jagiellonia Białystok's.
What form are Raków Częstochowa and Jagiellonia Białystok in?
Over the last 5 games Raków Częstochowa have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Jagiellonia Białystok 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia Białystok: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.