Raków Częstochowa vs Nieciecza: match statistics
Raków Częstochowa holds the advantage in this match, despite their average home form. The hosts boast a better xG balance (1.63 vs. 1.55), indicating higher quality chance creation, and a significantly stronger defense at home (1.1 goals conceded on average) compared to Nieciecza's weak away defense (1.8 goals conceded). Nieciecza demonstrates offensive efficiency (FTS% only 10%), but their high rate of goals conceded away (avg. 1.8) and negative goal difference (-4) are significant weaknesses. The form of both teams in the last five matches is identical (1-2-2), but Raków's higher ball possession (54%) and superior home defense work in their favor. I expect a tough but victorious match for the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to Raków's low win rate at home (only 30%).
Raków Częstochowa vs Nieciecza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Raków Częstochowa play Nieciecza in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match date is 21 February 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Raków Częstochowa: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Nieciecza: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Raków Częstochowa scores 1.50 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Nieciecza scores 1.26 and concedes 1.91. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Raków Częstochowa 56%, Nieciecza 71%. Over 2.5: Raków Częstochowa 47%, Nieciecza 56%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Raków Częstochowa has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.50. Raków Częstochowa: 14.0 shots per match, Nieciecza: 12.6.
Match halves
Raków Częstochowa: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82. Nieciecza: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Raków Częstochowa: 76-90+ (11 goals). Nieciecza: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Raków Częstochowa holds the advantage in this match, despite their average home form. The hosts boast a better xG balance (1.63 vs. 1.55), indicating higher quality chance creation, and a significantly stronger defense at home (1.1 goals conceded on average) compared to Nieciecza's weak away defense (1.8 goals conceded). Nieciecza demonstrates offensive efficiency (FTS% only 10%), but their high rate of goals conceded away (avg. 1.8) and negative goal difference (-4) are significant weaknesses. The form of both teams in the last five matches is identical (1-2-2), but Raków's higher ball possession (54%) and superior home defense work in their favor. I expect a tough but victorious match for the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to Raków's low win rate at home (only 30%).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Raków Częstochowa | Nieciecza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Raków Częstochowa is 33% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Raków Częstochowa · 1.8 pts / match - Nieciecza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Raków Częstochowa is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Raków Częstochowa · 1.26 goals / match - Nieciecza
Raków Częstochowa is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Raków Częstochowa · 1.91 goals / match - Nieciecza
Raków Częstochowa scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Nieciecza keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 34 matches).
Nieciecza scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Raków Częstochowa keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Raków Częstochowa
Over / Under — Nieciecza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Raków Częstochowa is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Raków Częstochowa · 1.09 pts / match - Nieciecza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Raków Częstochowa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nieciecza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Raków Częstochowa
Nieciecza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Raków Częstochowa | Liga | Nieciecza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.68 | 2.74 | ▲ 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 58% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 25% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 73% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Raków Częstochowa 1 - 0 - 0 Nieciecza. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Raków Częstochowa vs Nieciecza?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Raków Częstochowa 1:0 Nieciecza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Raków Częstochowa vs Nieciecza?
Raków Częstochowa score 1.50 goals per game on average and Nieciecza 1.26. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Raków Częstochowa's matches and 71% of Nieciecza's.
What form are Raków Częstochowa and Nieciecza in?
Over the last 5 games Raków Częstochowa have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Nieciecza 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raków Częstochowa vs Nieciecza?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Raków Częstochowa vs Nieciecza: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.